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  #1  
Old 08-18-2021, 05:40 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,546
Default 8/18: Saratoga (Day 25; $142k P6 C/O)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-OFF/TURF (P6, P3, DD)

$142k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #7 Lemieux 6-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #2 Shine 6-1 3rd


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Thegoddessofsnakes 5th
Next Best: #4 Let Them Eat Cake 6th
Best Value: #7 Crowding Out 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Sand and Sea 3rd


7th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Before You 4-1 WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #1 Bayshore Foxes 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Cadeau de Paix 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Air Calvary 6-1 7th


8th: CLM, 3+, 7f-OFF/TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Musical America WON ($5.70)
Best Value: #11 Troubling Moon 3rd
Next Best: #1 Taos 6th


9th: Bolton Landing, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Tricky reads on lightly-raced (5 second timers) juvy gals with invaders from Ellis (Amoss), DEL/PRX (Reid), Gulfstream (Casse; as discussed Tuesday on ATR) & even Keeneland (Ward)..

Most Likely: #8 Fulminate 7-2 9th
Best Value: #9 Chi Town Lady 8-1 WON ($12.80)
Next Best: #5 Poppy Flower 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Derrynane 5-1 5th


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Clear Humor 1-1 WON ($3.50)
Best Value: #4 Capt' Remington 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Multiple Expansion 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Damilano 3-1 4th


P6 Grid:

5: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-9 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
8: 2-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x2x3x1 = $72
All A's: 1x2x2x2x2x1 = $16

$1 Pick-6 (1,3,4,6,7,8/8/7/2,3,5,8,9,10/9/1,9) Paid $24.60 x 4 = $98.40 (5OF6) ~ All A's: $49.20


P5 Grid:

6: 4-9 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
7: 1-7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
8: 2-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 8-9 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x1 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x2x1 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x3 = 54 x .50 = $27
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9

$0.50 Pick-4 (7/2,3,5,8,9,10/9/1,9) Paid $108.50 (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-18-2021 at 06:39 PM.
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Old 08-19-2021, 01:38 PM
essayamx essayamx is offline
Sunshine Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2015
Posts: 89
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Another awesome set of opinions Steve. One away from the clean sweep!
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