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  #1  
Old 07-22-2023, 06:24 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 7/22: Saratoga (4th-11th); Monmouth (R8-12, X-C P5)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Husband Material 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Inspector 4-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Yono 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Achilles Heel 6-1 7th


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Zeitlos 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Undervalued Asset 2-1 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Huntress for Hire 3-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Dear Lady 5-1 5th


6th: Caress (G3), F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Our Flash Drive 7-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Roses for Debra 9-5 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #2 Bubble Rock 2-1 3rd


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Has the look of one of those important Spa juvy sets..

Most Likely: #5 Valentine Candy 3-1 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #7 Dive Bomber 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 General Partner 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Annointed 4-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Taking Candy 8-1 WON ($27.60)
Next Best: #1e Schermerhorn ownership entry 4th/8th
Exotics Use: #5 Fearless Soldier 6-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Harrington 15-1 9th


P5 Grid:

4: 3-6 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
5: 1-8 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
6: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

5: 1-8 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
6: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4-5 (C)
7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (1-3-5-3) Paid $232.00 (A-A-A-A)


9th: Coaching Club of America Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Don't see where there's an auto-toss from this..

Best Value: #3 Sacred Wish 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Southlawn 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Wet Paint 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Super Add: #4 Gambling Girl 5-2 3rd


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #9 A La Carte 8-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Daufuskie Island 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Accretive 8-5 WON ($3.70)


11th: CLM, 4+, 6f

Kind of a messy nightcap..

Best Value: #8 Digital Future 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1e Rice entry 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Just Call Ray 8-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Air Show 15-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
10: 6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 8 (A), - (B), 1e (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1e in 11th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-3 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
10: 6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12



MONMOUTH PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Monmouth Cup (G3), 3+, 9f (.20 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Proxy 3-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #7 Whelan Springs 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Calibrate 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Antigravity 6-1 4th



CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid (3:29pm ET):

MTH 8: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAR 6: 1-3 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
MTH 11: 9 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
SAR 9: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
MTH 12: 3-7 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x2x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-8 in MTH 11th)


9th: Wolf Hill, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Eamonn 10-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Witty 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Fore Harp 7-2 10th
Super Add: #7 Nothing Better 3-1 5th


10th: Molly Pitcher (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Distinctlypossible 9-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Search Results 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Shotgun Hottie 6-1 WON ($18.40)
Super Add: #6 Loved 5-1 4th


11th: United Nations (G1), 3+, 11f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Red Knight 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Foreign Relations 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Catnip 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Limited Liability 5-1 4th


12th: Haskell (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Extra Anejo 5-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Salute the Stars 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Arabian Knight 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Mage 3-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

9: 1-5 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
10: 3-4-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 9 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
12: 3-7 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x4 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x4x1x2 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup: 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3-8 in 11th)



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: San Clemente (G2), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Spicybug 6-1 12th
Best Value: #9 Ocean Club 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Paris Secret 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Anisette 4-1 WON ($6.20)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 07-23-2023 at 07:02 AM.
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  #2  
Old 07-22-2023, 01:06 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
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SAR SCR/CHG'S

MTH SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 07-22-2023, 05:38 PM
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moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,622
Default

I think Arabian Knight is a great horse but yeesh. Below even money in the Haskell? I am hammering Mage at 5/1.
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