7/4: Ellis Park (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

ELLIS PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N2L, 3yo, 7f (.20 P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Fave seems legit and Merit probably has been meant for one turn..

Most Likely: #7 Give Me a Reason 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Merit 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Not This Boy 6-1 WON ($6.26)
Exotics Use: #3 Run Jalen Run 9-2 2nd


5th: Dade Park Dash, 3yo, 5.5f-OFF (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Joe Shiesty is deserving fave off Walker win Derby Week, but 'other' Foster (Alwaysintomischief) has sneaky look turning back..

Most Likely: #1 Bear River 3-1 WON ($6.14)
Next Best: #6 Committeeofone 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Barksdale 7-2 4th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Fairly mysterious set of babies with Lynch sending favored Mrs Worldwide (5-2) to 2nd start from tricky post..

Best Value: #2 Rita's Legacy 12-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Mrs Worldwide 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Dawn After Dawn 10-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Bread to Run 5-1 4th


7th: MCLM/$30k, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Grapes for Eloise 8-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Mystical Chant 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Pam Pam 6-1 WON ($18.34)
Super Add: #1 Play Maker 10-1 7th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-OFF (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Silver Heist 3-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Lips Say Bliss 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Our Dream Rye'd 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Gatlinburg 6-1 7th


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Claret Beret WON ($7.06)
Next Best: #1 Raconteuse 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Leo Toro 2nd
Super Add: #2 Mac to Moore 3rd


P5 Grid:

5: 1-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-12 (A), 7-11 (B), - (C)
7: 9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 12-13 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4x1 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAAC): 3x2x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

6: 2-12 (A), 7-11 (B), - (C)
7: 9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 12-13 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

ELP SCR/CHG'S