7/7: Belmont at Aqueduct ($114k Must Pay P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT ~ CLOSING DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Crash the Gate 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Typhoon Fury 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Betta Go Go Go 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Arleta 8-1 4th


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$114k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here.. Empire Magic is supposed to win this and have to be encouraged by 6/8 gate work to sharpen his break after being hampered in debut..

Most Likely: #1 Empire Magic 3-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Santagata 9-2 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #3 Watch Over Me 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Happy's Smile Late SCR


5th: NY-Port Washington, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Quirky quintet..

Most Likely: #1 Marvelous Maude 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Snowy Evening 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Silver Skillet 6-5 WON ($3.10)


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Juvy state breds with Rudy's McDiesel the hot working fave with inside draw and capable Gomez..

Most Likely: #2 McDiesel 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Dancing Bear 15-1 WON ($19.40)
Next Best: #6 Shoot the Waves 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Caddiemaster 6-1 6th


P4 Grid:

3: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), 3-6-9 (C)

All A's: 2x1x4x1 = 8 x $3 = $24
Backup (AAAC): 2x1x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Next to no speed, but Carol T has a template for success here if repeating race 2 back. While Cancel sides with Foxy Cara, hustling Ramon Vasquez a more than suitable replacement..

Best Value: #2 Carol T 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Foxy Cara 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Scoring Chance 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Super Add: #8 Capital Gal 5-1 7th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD)

Moyglare home bred Eternal Silence stayed in US after modest domestic bow in Valley View (6th, beaten 3L) and owns class edge making 4yo debut today..

Most Likely: #8 Eternal Silence 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #6 Collaboration 9-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Lullaby Land 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Hola Gata 7-2 6th


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Outer

Bit of a messy end to the sequence with 5 class droppers and 4 stretchouts. Quite Confidential SCR'D moves to Linda and faces state breds for first time which might be enough v. this group..

Best Value: #7 Starlight Dancer 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Pinstripepizzo 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Alette d'Oro 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #5 Practical Royalty 15-1 7th


P6 Grid:

4: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2-5 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 3-5-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x1x4x1x3 = $60
All A's: 1x3x1x2x1x3 = $18
Backup (AAAAAC): 1x3x1x2x1x4 = $24 (3-5-6-8 in 9th)


P5 Grid:

5: 1-2-5 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 3-5-6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x2x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-5-6-8 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

6: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5-7 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x4x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BAQ SCR/CHG'S