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#1
11-23-2024, 05:59 AM
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11/23: Churchill Downs (5th-11th); Fair Grounds (6th-10th)
CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Crazily competitive, demanding some value.. Best Value: #1 Feeling Beachy 12-1 4th Next Best: #6 My Brazilian Girl 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #8 High Shot 4-1 2nd Super Add: #4 Just a Coed 12-1 9th 6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Banishing 7-2 WON ($5.60) Next Best: #1 Harrodsburg 5-2 2nd Best Value: #2 Banjo Chris 9-2 4th Exotics Use: #9 Wico 4-1 3rd 7th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #7 Sea Vista 5-2 2nd Best Value: #5 Restless Renegade 12-1 5th Next Best: #10 Mo Quality 3-1 WON ($8.20) Exotics Use: #9 Tomasello 12-1 6th 8th: Chilukki (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Two Sharp a logical and worthy favorite and the one to catch, but hardly has to win. Oeuvre a danger drawing outside and keeping her in sight under Loveberry.. Best Value: #7 Oeuvre 6-1 4th Next Best: #4 Two Sharp 2-1 WON ($3.94) Exotics Use: #6 Positano Sunset 10-1 5th Super Add: #2 Pigalle 9-2 6th P4 Grid: 5: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 1-5 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C) 7: 5-7 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C) 8: 4-7 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x2 = 64 x .50 = $32 All A's: 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 Backup (AAAC): 2x2x2x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 (2-6 in 8th) 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #6 Trust Issues 8-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Banned for Life 7-2 WON ($3.04) Exotics Use: #4 Colorado Cruiser 10-1 5th 10th: Commonwealth (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Hi-5) Been waiting for Lagynos to take a step forward and like the other short prices here, he'll need to to beat the 2 Ontario breds.. Most Likely: #1 My Boy Prince 6-1 5th Best Value: #5 Piper's Factor 20-1 4th Next Best: #7 Lagynos 4-1 WON ($9.12) Exotics Use: #9 Evade 7-2 2nd 11th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (Hi-5) Most Likely: #7 Golden Gamble 7-2 WON ($7.10) Next Best: #3 Girl Math 2-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Calamity 4-1 4th Super Add: #1 Ceebee 20-1 8th P5 Grid: 7: 7 (A), 5 (B), - (C) 8: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 6-9 (A), 4 (B), - (C) 10: 1-5 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C) 11: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x3 = 108 x .50 = $54 All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAACA): 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 10th) P4 Grid: 8: 4-6-7 (A), (B), - (C) 9: 6 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C) 10: 1-5 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C) 11: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x3 = $54 All A's: 3x1x2x3 = $18 Backup (AAACA): 3x1x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (7-9 in 10th) FAIR GROUNDS POST-SCRATCHES 6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD) Murky pace picture.. Most Likely: #3 Gavea 3-1 3rd Best Value: #11 Trail Ridge Road 10-1 10th Next Best: #4 Austere 4-1 WON ($4.40) Exotics Use: #9 Inventing 12-1 8th 7th: Andrew Ney Memorial-LA, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Faves aren't any great shakes.. Most Likely: #8 Hi Yah 6-1 5th Best Value: #5 Mike J 10-1 9th Next Best: #6 Bron and Brow 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Not On Herb 9-2 4th 8th: Jacob V. Morreale Memorial-LA, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD) Wildly competitive group. Note horses returning FG that have dirtied up form from the summer-fall seasons at DeD, LaD & EvD. Behemah Star for instance.. Best Value: #7 Blue Cheese 6-1 9th Next Best: #3 Behemah Star 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Highland Creek 5-1 8th Super Add: #6 Allnight Moonlight 7-2 5th 9th: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD) Only pace players look like Create Trouble and Ocean City.. Most Likely: #7 Create Trouble 9-2 10th Best Value: #8 Verstappen 10-1 WON ($18.40) Next Best: #!0 Gray's Fable 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #9 Ocean City 6-1 6th 10th: John Valene Memorial-LA, F&M-3+, 1m-70y Most Likely: #3 Free Like a Girl 3-5 WON ($2.80) Best Value: #9 Wonderrand 15-1 5th Next Best: #8 Clearly a Test 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Olivia G 30-1 7th P5 Grid: 6: 3-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 7-8-10 (A), 3-5-9 (B), - (C) 10: 3 (A), - (B), 9 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x6x1 = 108 x .50 = $54 All A's: 3x3x2x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27 Backup (AAAAC): 3x3x2x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27 (9 in 10th) P4 Grid: 7: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 7-8-10 (A), 3-5-9 (B), - (C) 10: 3 (A), - (B), 9 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x1 = $36 All A's: 3x2x3x1 = $18 Backup (AAAAC): 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (9 in 10th) Let's get lucky! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-24-2024 at 02:56 PM. 
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#2
11-23-2024, 09:06 AM
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Early SCR's for Saturday’s card at Churchill Downs. Fast/Firm (Lane 2, 12 ft.):
R2: 7 R5: 2, 15 R6: 4, 6, 7 R7: 11, 12, 14 R9: 1, 3, 7
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
11-23-2024, 11:57 AM
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Good luck everyone 👍🐎💰 https://youtu.be/cVnbiYHCb1A?si=UjYC8RGPZOc0-gIT
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#4
11-23-2024, 12:55 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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