3/22: Fair Grounds (Derby Day; Bayou/Bluegrass P5)

[Kasept]

FAIR GROUNDS ~ BAYOU/BLUEGRASS P5


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Good Going 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Take Note of This 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Love Song 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Shrewd Operator 8-1 8th


2nd: LA-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Free Scrim!

Best Value: #2 Free Scrim 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mai Tai No Ice 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Custom's Cleared 3-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Shot Gun Shack 9-2 2nd


3rd: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Devastating 5-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Atarah 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Contorted 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Stylish Lady 9-2 6th


4th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 St. Armand's Key 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Le Gris 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Breaking Alone 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Freedom's Way 9-2 5th


5th: LA-Crescent City Oaks, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Margie's Intention 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Blue Fire 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Canal Street 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Powdered Sugar 12-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 5-7-10 (A), 8-9-11 (B), - (C)
2: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x $1.50 = $54


6th: LA-Costa Rising, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Big Chopper 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Geaux Sugar 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Brian's Iron Mike 7-2 6th
Super Add: #3 El Dinero 12-1 8th


7th: LA-Crescent City Derby, 3yo, 8.5f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 He's Late Again 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cajun Mitole 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Sippin On Gin 5-1 WON ($11.20)
Super Add: #5 Dapper Moon 7-2 6th


8th: Tom Benson Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (STK P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Way to Be Marie 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #4 Tufani 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Fun With Flags 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Stir Crazy 8-1 5th


P5 Grid:

4: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
6: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-9 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-8-12 in 8th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (1,11,12/2,3/4,7,14-16/4/3,5,7,10,13) Paid $165.90


P4 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-9 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 1-12 (B), 8-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (8-9-11 in 8th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2,3/4,7,14-16/4/3,5,7,10,13) Paid $87.25


9th: New Orleans Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Field in flux with Kinetic, Tarantino already running at OP and Touchuponastar/Bishops Bay uncertain to run here..

Most Likely: #7 Sierra Leone 7-5 4th
Best Value: #9 Komorebino Omoide 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Hall of Fame 4-1 2nd


Bayou/Bluegrass P5 Grid:

FG 9: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
TP 11: 3-9-11 (A), 5-7-13 (B), - (C)
FG 11: 7 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
TP 12: 5-6-9 (A), 3-4-10 (B), - (C)
FG 12: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x1x6x3 = $108
All A's: 1x3x1x3x3 = $27
Backup (AACAA): 1x3x1x3x3 = $27 (8 in FG 11)


10th: Muniz Memorial Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Spirit of St. Louis 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Redistricting 9-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Dancin in Da'nile 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Brilliant Bertie 5-1 8th


11th: Bourbonette Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Ridiculously well-matched field and note Bracelet gets in and WILL run. Cox/Machado a silly 36% together ($1.74). Not sure why White Rocks has to win..

Best Value: #9 Fixin to Bee SCR
Next Best: #3 Admit 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 White Rocks 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Bless the Broken 10-1 WON ($15.18)


11th: Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Good Cheer 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #8 Secret Faith 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Ahavah 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Gowells Delight 8-1 3rd


12th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Oy..

Best Value: #6 Baby Max 5-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Poster 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Flying Mohawk 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 California Burrito 7-2 7th


12th: Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f

Best Value: #3 Tiztastic 8-1 ~ The Steve Asmussen 'Lock of the Week' WON ($17.00)
Next Best: #5 Caldera 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Chunk of Gold 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Instant Replay 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

8: 1-3-4-12 (A), - (B), 8-9-11 (C)
9: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-6 (A), 7-8-10 (B), - (C)
11: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3-5-9 (A), 1-6-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x5x1x7 = 140 x .50 = $70
All A's: 4x1x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (CAAAA): 3x1x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (8-9-11 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

9: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-8-10 (A), 7-12 (B), - (C)
11: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3-5-9 (A), 1-6-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x2x7 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A's: 1x4x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


Let's get lucky!
Steve