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#1
04-16-2016, 06:04 AM
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4/19: Keeneland (7th-11th); Oaklawn (5th-12th)
OAKLAWN PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3) Best Value: #6 Mom's On Strike 8-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #8 Lil Sweet Sea 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Princess Palomar 4-1 3rd Super Add: #10 Grace At Midnight 7-2 8th 5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3) Best Value: #4 Woodman's Luck 6-1 4th Next Best: #3 Tapitsphere 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Fourth of July 5-2 6th Super Add: #1 Mallard's Bro 12-1 5th 6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3) Take shots with this bizarre group.. Best Value: #11 Traci Is Ready 20-1 8th Next Best: #4 Dancinanimaux 8-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Lady Paislee 5-2 2nd Super Add: #9 Hold Me Fast 12-1 3rd 7th: 14th Instant Racing, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3) Most Likely: #4 Cash Back 3-1 WON ($6.60) Best Value: #1 She's a Bootsy Too 8-1 4th Next Best: #5 Durango 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Just Wicked 3-1 5th 8th: 19th Northern Spur, 3yo, 1m (P3) Most Likely: #2 Madtap 7-2 7th Next Best: #6 Major League 3-1 5th Best Value: #10 Malibu Max 20-1 8th Exotics Use: #9 Decorated Soldier 4-1 WON ($8.60) 9th: 70th Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3) Most Likely: #2 Melatonin 7-2 2nd Next Best: #8 Effinex 2-1 WON ($5.40) Best Value: #4 Financial Modeling 8-1 DNF-Eased Exotics Use: #6 Upstart 7-2 5th 10th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3) Most Likely: #11 Big Changes 4-1 WON ($7.00) Best Value: #2 Curly Top 8-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Matuszak 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Alabama Tide 9-2 9th P4 Grid: 7: 1-4-5 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C) 8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 5-7-9-10 (C) 9: 2-8 (A), 1 (B), 4-6 (C) 10: 2-11 (A), 5-8-10 (B), 1-3 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50) $0.50 Pick-4 (4/9/8/1,11) Paid $116.45 (A-C-A-A) 11th: 80th Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD) Kentucky Derby gate awaits several out of this with a number of invaders joining the solid participants along the Smarty-Southwest-Rebel lead up. As discussed extensively from here in Hot Springs, Baffert-Oaklawn juggernaut at center of story lines, but while Cupid deserves respect, he's an underwhelming wagering proposition. Feels like Whitmore (9-2) will provide the best key horse value with lightly-raced players like Dazzling Gem and American Pioneer getting bet down some from their ML numbers of 8-1 and 12-1. Moquett said all winter that Whitmore would require racing experience and added ground and from all reports has progressed measurably out of the Rebel. Dazzling Gem a now horse himself after running well despite being slightly under-prepared for Louisiana Derby. Suddenbreakingnews and Creator can pick up pieces.. Most Likely: #8 Whitmore 9-2 3rd Best Value: #7 Dazzling Gem 12-1 4th Next Best: #10 Cupid 2-1 10th Exotics Use: #4 Suddenbreakingnews 5-1 2nd Super Add: #3 Creator 10-1 WON ($25.20) 12th: S/ALW, 4+, 14f Most Likely: #12 Dead On 6-1 9th Next Best: #6 Wild About You 7-2 WON ($10.40) Best Value: #4 Perfectly At Home SCR Exotics Use: #9 Playing a Joke 10-1 P4 Grid: 9: 2-8 (A), 1 (B), 4-6 (C) 10: 2-11 (A), 8-10 (B), 1-3-5 (C) 11: 7-8-10 (A), - (B), 3-4-5-12 (C) 12: 6-12 (A), 4-9 (B), 1-2-3 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50) $0.50 Pick-4 (8/1,11/3/6) Paid $438.45 (A-A-C-A) KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 7th: 86th Ben Ali (G3), 4+, 9f (P5, P4, P3, DD) After Tenacious win, Eagle had some misadventures at FG. Perfect in 2 tries at KEE. Any progress from excellent 4yo debut at GP makes J S Bach a factor at square price. Expect he'll take money.. Most Likely: #6 Eagle 3-1 WON ($6.00) Best Value: #10 J S Bach 10-1 8th Next Best: #5 Noble Bird 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Neck 'n Neck 9-2 5th 8th: 20th Giant's Causeway, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Typical cast for lawn dash and will mix and match 1-3 players from Captiva Island (Matzoball/Jewel) with Motion's nice Miss Ella and turf sprint assassin Delacour's Exaggerated. Miss Ella chased Lady Shipman at SAR last summer and Exaggerated was focused to this after January TAM win.. Best Value: #7 Miss Ella 6-1 5th Next Best: #5 Miss Matzoball 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #9 Exaggerated 8-1 WON ($22.00) Super Add: #6 Jewel of a Cat 7-2 9th 9th: 35th Lexington (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD) Excellent tier two sophs in various states of progress for this. Swipe just missed over surface when last seen in BC Juvy and like all well-drilled Desormeaux players, commands respect. Direct Message won't be 15-1, but Albertrani charge likely the value key after breakthrough effort last and with style that allows him to stalk speed and go. Collected exits Sunland thing looking to find place in sophomore class pecking order. Big Squeeze (10-1) improving with experience and added ground for dangerous and masterful Gary Simms.. Best Value: #2 Direct Message 15-1 4th Next Best: #4 Swipe 9-5 6th Exotics Use: #10 Collected 2-1 WON ($6.40) Super Add: #6 Big Squeeze 10-1 10th 10th: 28th Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (DD) Tepin gives 5# to everyone but still figures as overwhelmingly likely. Euro imports Akatea (Clement) and Wekeela (Brown) kept classy company abroad, but Recepta draws interest at attractive price in first start as mare and off strong series of works.. Most Likely: #8 Tepin 4-5 WON ($2.80) Next Best: #2 Akatea 8-1 9th Best Value: #4 Recepta 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Wekeela 6-1 2nd P4 Grid: 7: 6-10 (A), 5-8-9 (B), 1-4-7 (C) 8: 5-7-9 (A), 1-6-11 (B), - (C) 9: 2-4-10 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C) 10: 8 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x6x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75 $0.50 Pick-4 (2,3,6/9/10/1,8) Paid $86.80 All A's: 2x3x3x1 = $18 ($9 for .50) $1.00 Pick-4 (2,3,6/9/10/1,8) Paid $173.60 11th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5) Hot Zito barn has raced itself into shape and Singleton, 2nd to Direct Message (see above) last, should not lose.. Most Likely: #10 Singleton 2-1 4th Next Best: #4 Colonel Dan 5-1 7th Exotics Use: #9 Street Gray 3-1 WON ($10.20) Super Add: #7 Hint of Roses 7-2 2nd Hi-5 Play: #1 Running Back 10-1 5th P5 Grid: 7: 6-10 (A), 5-8-9 (B), 1-4-7 (C) 8: 5-7-9 (A), 1-6-11 (B), - (C) 9: 2-4-10 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C) 10: 8 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6-7 (C) 11: 10 (A), - (B), 4-7-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x6x5x1x1 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 2x3x3x1x1 = $18 ($9 for .50) $0.50 Pick-5 (2,3,6/9/10/1,8/9) Paid $336.90 (A-A-A-A-C) $0.50 Pick-5 (2,3,6/9/10/1,8/9) Paid $5.65 (4OF5) P4 Grid: 8: 5-7-9 (A), 1-6-11 (B), - (C) 9: 2-4-10 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C) 10: 2-8 (A), 4-6 (B), 3-7 (C) 11: 10 (A), - (B), 4-7-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 6x5x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 3x3x2x1 = $18 ($9 for .50) $0.50 Pick-4 (9/10/1,8/9) Paid $159.90 (A-A-A-C) Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 04-17-2016 at 05:45 AM. 
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#2
04-16-2016, 11:01 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
04-16-2016, 02:37 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
04-17-2016, 03:01 PM
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Quote:
In Memphis now for long, oddball trip home and leave for Louisville after the show Friday.. Derby Fortnight coverage starts 4/25!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
04-17-2016, 03:13 PM
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Quote:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=KK5YGWS5H84
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#8
04-17-2016, 03:45 PM
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Quote:
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
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