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  #1  
Old 05-13-2016, 12:11 PM
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Benny Benny is offline
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Default Swarm intelligence Derby betting coup?

Twenty punters collectively picked the top four horses in this year's race using a platform developed by an American company
https://cosmosmagazine.com/technolog...y-betting-coup

Swarm theory suggests that individual members of a group will influence each other to arrive at the most accurate or probable answer.

“Forcing polarised groups into a swarm allows them to find the answer that most people are satisfied with,” Rosenberg told Christian Science Monitor.

“Our vision is to enable the power of group intelligence for everybody.”

In the case of the Kentucky Derby, 20 volunteers – all horse racing fans – took part in a simple online exercise to pick the winner of the race.

Each logged into the UNU program and were asked a question at the exact same time.

The individual users then used magnet-shaped cursors to drag a digital puck towards what they believe to be the right answer.

The puck is pushed and pulled until a collaborative decision settles on one answer (see example in the video below).

A post-race poll of the 20 participants found that not one of them predicted the final line-up on their own.

It is not the UNU system’s first success at sports betting. In the past it has successfully predicting Super Bowls and NCAA bowl basketball games. It has also picked Academy Awards winners and presidential primary winners.
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  #2  
Old 05-13-2016, 12:23 PM
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knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Benny View Post
Twenty punters collectively picked the top four horses in this year's race using a platform developed by an American company
https://cosmosmagazine.com/technolog...y-betting-coup

Swarm theory suggests that individual members of a group will influence each other to arrive at the most accurate or probable answer.

“Forcing polarised groups into a swarm allows them to find the answer that most people are satisfied with,” Rosenberg told Christian Science Monitor.

“Our vision is to enable the power of group intelligence for everybody.”

In the case of the Kentucky Derby, 20 volunteers – all horse racing fans – took part in a simple online exercise to pick the winner of the race.

Each logged into the UNU program and were asked a question at the exact same time.

The individual users then used magnet-shaped cursors to drag a digital puck towards what they believe to be the right answer.

The puck is pushed and pulled until a collaborative decision settles on one answer (see example in the video below).

A post-race poll of the 20 participants found that not one of them predicted the final line-up on their own.

It is not the UNU system’s first success at sports betting. In the past it has successfully predicting Super Bowls and NCAA bowl basketball games. It has also picked Academy Awards winners and presidential primary winners.

Well figuring the 4 favorites were top 4 it is not surprising,
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  #3  
Old 05-13-2016, 01:34 PM
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The first four picks by the public crossed the finish line 1-2-3-4 according to their odds. THAT is swarm intelligence!
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  #4  
Old 05-13-2016, 02:39 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Is this like when you get 40 mooks to guess how many beans in a jar , and take the avg and come the closest?
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  #5  
Old 05-13-2016, 10:09 PM
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Awesome! The game needs lots of Hipster douchebags pounding their chest and declaring victory as the favorites run 1-2-3-4. PREY!
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  #6  
Old 05-14-2016, 12:49 AM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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Awesome! The game needs lots of Hipster douchebags pounding their chest and declaring victory as the favorites run 1-2-3-4. PREY!
I thought something similar when reading this earlier.
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  #7  
Old 05-14-2016, 05:33 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
Awesome! The game needs lots of Hipster douchebags pounding their chest and declaring victory as the favorites run 1-2-3-4. PREY!
www.twitter.com
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  #8  
Old 05-14-2016, 07:52 AM
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Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
I need to install a breathalyzer on my IPad
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  #9  
Old 05-16-2016, 09:36 AM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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This is laughable. The betting public in a $100,000,000 pool has the same picks in order. How about a story on every Joe at the Derby?
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