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Swarm intelligence Derby betting coup?
Twenty punters collectively picked the top four horses in this year's race using a platform developed by an American company
https://cosmosmagazine.com/technolog...y-betting-coup Swarm theory suggests that individual members of a group will influence each other to arrive at the most accurate or probable answer. “Forcing polarised groups into a swarm allows them to find the answer that most people are satisfied with,” Rosenberg told Christian Science Monitor. “Our vision is to enable the power of group intelligence for everybody.” In the case of the Kentucky Derby, 20 volunteers – all horse racing fans – took part in a simple online exercise to pick the winner of the race. Each logged into the UNU program and were asked a question at the exact same time. The individual users then used magnet-shaped cursors to drag a digital puck towards what they believe to be the right answer. The puck is pushed and pulled until a collaborative decision settles on one answer (see example in the video below). A post-race poll of the 20 participants found that not one of them predicted the final line-up on their own. It is not the UNU system’s first success at sports betting. In the past it has successfully predicting Super Bowls and NCAA bowl basketball games. It has also picked Academy Awards winners and presidential primary winners.
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The virtue of a man ought to be measured, not by his extraordinary exertions, but by his everyday conduct. Blaise Pascal |
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Well figuring the 4 favorites were top 4 it is not surprising, |
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The first four picks by the public crossed the finish line 1-2-3-4 according to their odds. THAT is swarm intelligence!
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Is this like when you get 40 mooks to guess how many beans in a jar , and take the avg and come the closest?
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Awesome! The game needs lots of Hipster douchebags pounding their chest and declaring victory as the favorites run 1-2-3-4. PREY!
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I thought something similar when reading this earlier.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
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This is laughable. The betting public in a $100,000,000 pool has the same picks in order. How about a story on every Joe at the Derby?
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. |