9/30: Churchill (7th-11th); Santa Anita (5th-10th)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+ 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Kantex 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Your So Sillea 7-2 WON ($4.84)
Exotics Use: #6 Altered Shot 3-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Leeloo 10-1 3rd


8th: Jefferson Cup, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 More Than Looks 5-2 WON ($5.26)
Best Value: #1 Ocean Pointe 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Noises Off 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Gaslight Dancer 6-1 7th


9th: Ack Ack (G3), 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Stage Raider 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 O Besos 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Zozos 6-5 WON ($3.54)
Super Add: #3 Three Technique 3-1 3rd


10th: Lukas Classic (G3), 3+, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Trademark 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Rattle N Roll 7-5 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Whelan Springs 12-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Americanrevolution 5-2 6th


11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Metallurgic 5-1 12th
Best Value: #11 Royal Sandrin 15-1 10th
Next Best: #1 Athens Moon 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Elegant Trip 4-1 8th


P5 Grid:

7: 5-6-8 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
8: 7 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
9: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-5-7 (A), 2-6-9 (B), - (C)
11: 8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x6x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A-A): 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
10: 4-5-7 (A), 2-6-9 (B), - (C)
11: 1-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T ($1 70/30 P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Gimme Mo Baby 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Lakota Spirit 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Speed Lane 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Super Add: #4 Cornelia Fort 12-1 4th


6th: SA Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Very interesting and important edition considering Breeder's Cup comes over this strip 5 weeks from today. Clearly goes through Baffert who sends troika of high quality sophomores, but Dr. Schivel earned favoritism on Jon White's line and comes in hot and fresh..

Best Value: #8 Speed Boat Beach 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Dr. Schivel 9-5 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Fort Bragg 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Arabian Lion 5-1 6th


7th: CA-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, $3 Turf P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Petit Filet 6-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #4 Asada Fries 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Lookatherglide 12-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Sassy Prancelot 6-1 6th


8th: Awesome Again (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Hadn't noticed potential for how competitive Bye Bye Bobby (15-1) was until seeing Clocker Report and noting his effort topping stablemate Senor Buscador. While Slow Down Andy is the one to beat, 'other' Fincher and Piroli (12-1) are the fun prices that can impact this..

Most Likely: #3 Slow Down Andy 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #5 Bye Bye Bobby 15-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Piroli 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Defunded 2-1 2nd


9th: Eddie D (G2), 3+, 6.5f-DHT (Golden P4, DD, Hi-5)

Bran and Lane Way are the top contenders, but it is the hill course and turnbacks yield nice priced surprises regularly. I'm a Gambler has been knocking on the breakthrough door and this configuration may suit him. Internet will lose it's mind if Peter Miller jumps up with Radical Right (20-1), but he's a clear contender with solid mark on lawn (11/1-4-3) and career best Beyer (95) coming 2 back in DMR lawn dash..

Best Value: #7 I'm a Gambler 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Bran 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Lane Way 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #11 Radical Right 20-1 9th


10th: City of Hope (G2), 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Hong Kong Harry way the horse to beat, but Il Bellator (15-1) finished a length behind him in the Shoemaker and Irideo (8-1) actually finished in front of both of them. Also, I'm not convinced the Hit the Road (15-1) can't run at this level anymore..

Most Likely: #4 Hong Kong Harry 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #1 Il Bellator 15-1 -
Next Best: #9 Irideo 8-1 -
Exotics Use: #3 Hit the Road 15-1 4th


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

7: 7-11 (A), 10 (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
10: 4 (A), 1 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2 = 12 x $3 = $36
All A's: 2x2x1 = 4 x $3 = $12
Backup (A-C-A): 2x1x1 = 2 x $3 = $6 (7-11 w/ 6 w/ 4)

$3 Turf P3 (7-6-4) Paid $187.50 (A-C-A)


P5 Grid:

6: 2-8 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
7: 4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (2/7/3/6/4) Paid $424.95 (A-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

7: 4-7-11 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (7/3/6/4) Paid $123.65 (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

EARLY CD SCR'S

Fast/Firm (Lane 3, 24 ft.), first post 12:45 p.m.

R2: 7
R3: 1
R4: 10
R6: 8
R7: 1, 4
R10: 3
R11: 13, 14, 15, 16

[Kasept]

CD SCR/CHG'S

SA SCR/CHG'S