10/15: Aqueduct ($33k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Vegas Weekend 3rd
Next Best: #2 Sister Linda 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Triple P 5th


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$33k P6 C/O starts here and there's not a lot of speed signed on..

Most Likely: #2 Lucky Lucky Luke 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Good Rapport 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Strong Light 8-1 WON ($37.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Legendary Lore 5-1 5th


5th: NY-MCLM/$30k, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Woodside Warrior 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #8 Bad Larry 7-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #7 Malibu Mystery 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Chalky Cat 3-1 6th


6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Nice late season group, but Silo Ridge clear horse to beat with a repeat of last figuring very tough..

Most Likely: #4 Silo Ridge Late SCR
Next Best: #6 Phelpsy 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #2 Flying Liam 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Light the Way 6-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

3: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2-5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
5: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
6: 4/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x2x1 = $20
All A's: 2x3x1x1 = $6


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-OFF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Straight Arrow 6-1 WON ($7.70)
Next Best: #13 Shadow Dragon 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Callaloo 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #11 Cut the Cord 2-1 4th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #2 My Last Mission 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Ten Cent Town 6-1 DNF-Lost rider
Exotics Use: #3 G Munning 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #1 General Banker 7-2 WON ($10.20)


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF

Most Likely: #7 Charisse WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #13 Montauk Mystique Late SCR-No rider available
Next Best: #10 My Royal Vow 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Duneen Bay SCR


P6 Grid:

4: 2-8 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
5: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-13 (A), - (B), 6-11-12 (C)
8: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-13/SCR (A), 10-11/SCR (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x1x2x3x4 = $72
All A's: 2x1x1x2x3x2 = $24
Backup (A-A-A-C-A-A): 2x1x1x3x3x2 = $36 (6-11-12 in 7th)


P5 Grid:

5: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-12-13 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-13/SCR (A), 10-11/SCR (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x1x5x3x4 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 1x1x3x3x2 = $18 ($9 for 50)


P4 Grid:

6: 4/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-12-13 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-10-11/SCR-13/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x3x4 = $60 ($30 for .50)
All A's: 1x3x3x4 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

I don't complain about misses often, but I really blew this opportunity. Paid $8,383.