8/29: Saratoga ~ Day 36 ($84k P6 C/O); KY Downs (Spot Plays)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Jackson's Dixie 12-1 8th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #8 Shesalittle Edgy 8-5 7th
Exotics Use: 1 Hazardous Humor 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Backed by Gold 10-1 5th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$84k P6 C/O starts here..

Not an easy start to the carry sequence with 5 exiting the Chancer McPatrick race (T Kraft/Noble Confessor principally) and 2 out of the blowout debut of Ferocious..

Most Likely: #9 T Kraft 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Fiddling Felix 9-2 6th
Next Best: #8 Noble Confessor 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Filoso 10-1 WON ($16.80)


7th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Commander of Truth SCR turns this into a scramble..

Most Likely: #8 Act of Mutiny 5-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Right to Vote 8-1 WON ($11.00)
Next Best: #4 Vintage Vino 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Ciao Chuck 12-1 3rd


8th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hatch 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Flying P entry 8-5 4th/6th
Best Value: #10 Bustin Shout 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Emerald Forest 9-3 7th


P4 Grid:

5: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Merlin's Moment 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Noonzio 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Bob John Ray 7-2 8th
Super Add: #9 Bad Larry 8-1 7th


10th: With Anticipation (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Without Caution 7-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Tenacious Leader 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Test Score 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Cavallo Bay 3-1 3rd


11th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #2 Creditworthy 8-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #8 Reverend Moon 12-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Speed Figures 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Summer in Erin 6-1 3rd


P6 Grid:

6: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x2x3x3x1 = $108


P5 Grid:

7: 1-8 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
9: 6-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (8 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-3 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
9: 6-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1 = $36 ($18 for .50)
All A's: 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (8 in 11th)



KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Sweet Music 12-1 8th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Golden Symphony 15-1 3rd


11th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Clock Tower 9-2 WON ($5.40)



Good luck!
Steve