8/31: Saratoga (5th-13th); KY Downs (8th-11th); Del Mar (8th-11th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Federal Judge 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #6 Accretive 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Pro Oxident 5-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Light Man 8-1 3rd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Laurice 7-2 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #10 Black Dog 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Brindi 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Cat Chat 15-1 7th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Miss Enchanted 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #5 Cara's Time 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Theresasilverlinin 9-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Zadorsky 5-2 2nd

$1 Pick 3 (5/5/9) Paid $70.00


8th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Our Favorite Son 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Guns Loaded 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Tap Into This 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Makes Sense SCR


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ramblin' Wreck 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 O Captain 10-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Samburu 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Barrage 5-1 7th


P5 Grid:

5: 5 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
6: 5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in 5th)


P4 Grid:

6: 5-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 9 (A), 2 (B), 3 (C)
9: 3-6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3 in 8th)


10th: Prioress (G3), 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Two Sharp 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #9 Brightwork 9-2 WON ($7.10)
Best Value: #1 Miuccia 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Tricky Temper 7-2 6th


11th: Spinaway (G1), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

This should be terrific..

Most Likely: #11 Quietside 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Pondering 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 The Queens M G 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Strong State 12-1 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 2-9 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
10: 7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x2x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (ACAAA): 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 2-9 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
9: 3-7 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
10: 7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


12th: Flower Bowl (G2), F&M-4+, 11f-Inner (DD)

SCR Neecie Marie..

Most Likely: #7 McKulick 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 War Like Goddess 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #9 Verbier 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Eternal Hope 5-1 4th


13th: OC-S/ALW, 3+, 1m-OFF

Best Value: #1 Over and Ollie 10-1 WON ($16.40)
Next Best: #12 Palace View Turf SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Heathguard Turf SCR
Super Add: #6 Jhirsch Turf SCR


P5 Grid:

9: 3-7 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
10: 7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 7 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
13: 1-3-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

10: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 1-3-6-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x2x4 = 72 x .50 = $36



KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Nashville Derby (G3), 3yo, 10.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Bellum Justum 7-2 WON ($6.44)
Best Value: #11 Lagynos 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Carson's Run 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Abrumar 15-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Cameo Performance 12-1 8th


9th: Ladies Sprint (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Elm Drive 9-2 12th
Best Value: #10 Red Carpet Ready 15-1 11th
Next Best: #4 Dontlookbackatall 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Secret Money 8-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Danse Macabre 6-1 8th


10th: Ladies Turf (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Implicated 6-1 11th
Next Best: #3 Fluffy Socks 9-2 5th
Best Value: #12 Regal Realm 20-1 12th
Exotics Use: #10 Mission of Joy 4-1 10th
Super Add: #11 Evvie Jets 12-1 3rd


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Birdwatching 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Estuary 15-1 12th
Next Best: #12 Whappen 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #7 Rashmi 8-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Silver Moonlight 6-1 4th


P4 Grid:

8: 6-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-10 (A), 8-11 (B), - (C)
10: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-11 (A), 7-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x2x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Fast Draw Munnings 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Scatify 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Ultra Power 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Super Add: #8 Better Than Gold 12-1 3rd


9th: Green Flash (G3), 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Motorious 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #3 Sassy Nature 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Unconquerable Keen 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #12 Turn On the Jets 5-1 8th


10th: Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

SCR of Adare Manor makes this much more challenging..

Most Likely: #4 Reincarnate 3rd
Best Value: #5 Katonah 7th
Next Best: #3 Dr Venkman 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Il Miracolo 8th


11th: Del Mar Mile, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5_

Best Value: #8 Conclude 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #9 First Peace 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Du Jour 8-5 4th
Super Add: #1 Astronomer 20-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

8: 6-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
11: 1-3-8-9 (A), - (B), 5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50= $48
All A's: 3x2x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-10 in 11th)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

KYD SCR/CHG'S

DMR SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

$210k P6 C/O