Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-01-2024, 05:22 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,106
Default 9/1: Saratoga ~ Day 39 ($210k P6 C/O)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Guile 6-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Adventurous Spirit 8-5 WON ($)
Exotics Use: #9 Get It to Matthew 12-1 DNF-Pulled UP
Super Add: #4 El Alacran 8-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Has the look of a deep, contentious group. Shug debuts $435k Pure Beauty for Ed Hudson (Kathleen O ~ who won her bow at 7f) and she appears ready..

Best Value: #10 Pure Beauty 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Quickick 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Scottish Lassie 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Snowyte 5-2 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Tidal Forces feels like a strong lean for small budgets attacking the P6..

Most Likely: #2 Tidal Forces 3-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Paros 7-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #10 Capture the Flag 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Dude N Colorado 5-1 3rd


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mighty Madison 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Signal From Noise 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 St. Benedict's Prep 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Ringy Dingy 8-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 1-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


10th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

The faves are returning to state bred company and seem like the path through this for C/O players, but note that Boss Tweed ..

Most Likely: #4 Seaver 3-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Run Curtis Run 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Set 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Boss Tweed 15-1 11th


11th: 65th Bernard Baruch-L, 4+, 8.5f-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Taking Candy 5-2: Wire threat for Cherie.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Running Bee 9-5: Fave back to middle distance.. WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #2 Beuys 12-1: ALW type will save ground.. 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Fort Washington 9-2: Lost chance early in U.N. 3rd


Must Pay P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x1x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


12th: 106th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Just 2 shots left to qualify for the Beat Byk final! https://www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/

Most Likely: #7 Arthur's Ride 4-5 5th
Best Value: #5 Pyrenees 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Tapit Trice 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Highland Falls 5-1 WON ($16.00)


13th: NY-MCLM/$30k, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #9 Landauer 10-1 9th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #12 Wild Nugget 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Burn Rubber Late SCR
Super Add: #8 Mama's Middie 2-1 10th


P6 Grid:

8: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
12: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x4x2x2 = $96
All A's: 1x2x2x2x2x2 = $32
Backup (AAAACA): 1x2x2x2x2x2 = $32 (1-6 in 12th)


P5 Grid:

9: 2 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
12: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 9-10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 1x3x2x2x2 = $32 (1-6 in 12th)


P4 Grid:

10: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
12: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 9-12 (A), 10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-6 in 12th)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 09-01-2024 at 09:04 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-01-2024, 09:42 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,106
Default

SAR SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-01-2024, 03:55 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,292
Default

Good luck DT Stables. Get your picture taken today.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:40 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.