Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-07-2024, 08:35 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,270
Default 9/7: KY Downs (6th-12th); Colonial (6th-10th)

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Ladies Marathon (G3), F&M-3+, 12.5-T (P5, P3, DD)

[Smallest field of the day, but 2 Euros add intrigue..

Best Value: #7 Neecie Marie 4-1 WON ($10.02)
Next Best: #6 Vergara 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Chop Chop 5-2 5th
Super Add: #4 Greenfinch 3-1 4th


7th: Music City (G2), 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Really competitive and complication is that 2 long prices (Crown Imperial-30/1, Pharoah's Wine-20/1) won here at 2. Buttercream Babe (9/2) broke MDN here as well, upon debut no less..

Most Likely: #2 Kairyu 6-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Pharoah's Wine 20-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Buttercream Babe 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Simply in Front 15-1 WON ($14.62)


8th: Mint Millions (G3), 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Honest pace should give rise to stalker-closer impact..

Best Value: #1 Emmanuel 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Ancient Rome 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Talk of the Nation 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Funtastic Again 5-1 9th


9th: Franklin-Simpson (G1), 3yo, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Another where the speed should keep it honest. Feels like you want a turn back type as opposed to the 5.5f types that are stretching to 6.5f..

Most Likely: #8 Please Advise 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Mansa Musa 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Vote No 20-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Yellow Card 15-1 2nd


10th: Turf Cup (G2), 3+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Highway Robber 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Get Smokin 12-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Chief Little Rock Paddock SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Integration 8-5 4th


P4 Grid:

7: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 8-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54


11th: Turf Sprint (G2), 3+, 6f-T (DD)

Gear Jockey is now 7, has been away since BCup and may need one, but if Rusty Arnold entered him, he's likely to run well and he's been great over this course. Cogburn way the horse to beat, but he's an unknown here

Most Likely: #4 Cogburn 6-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #1 Gear Jockey 30-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Khaadem 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 One Timer 8-1 6th



COLONIAL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Rosies, 2yo, 5.5f-T (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Governor Sam 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #11 Out On Bail 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Curahee 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Fire Pit 5-1 5th


7th: Kittens Joy, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Trevaggio 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Thrilla 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Siesta Key 6-1 WON ($4.20)
Super Add: #6 Meistersinger 12-1 6th


8th: Da Hoss, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Isivunguvungu 8-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Sweet Cherry Pie 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Dream Shake 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Nothing Better 4-1 2nd


9th: Virginia Oaks, 3yo-F, 9f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Deep Satin 5-1 WON-DH ($3.60)
Best Value: #2 Aspen Dawn 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Oncourtcommentator 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Awesome Czech 10-1 4th


10th: Virginia Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f-Inner (P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Zverev 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Grand Mo the First 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Deterministic 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #9 Echo Lane 15-1 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x1x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54

$0.50 PICK FIVE (2,3,6,10/3,8,10,11/1,3-5,7,10,13/1,7,9-11/1,3,6,10) PAID $70.70


P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x1x4x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 PICK FOUR (3,8,10,11/1,3-5,7,10,13/1,7,9-11/1,3,6,10) PAID $26.10


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 09-07-2024 at 07:25 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-07-2024, 11:38 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,270
Default

KD SCR/CHG'S

CNL SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-07-2024, 01:15 PM
myke myke is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: Jun 2016
Posts: 32
Default

Thanks Steve

Where I am form we don't say good----. We say break a leg.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-07-2024, 03:27 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,860
Default

In the 8th at KD Cash Equity is awfully enticing. Made up a TON of ground on a wire to wire winner (Goliad) at a point when everything was being won on or near the lead. The track today is playing VERY different today than that day.....
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-07-2024, 04:45 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,860
Default

Jeez. That's to bad. Right idea I guess.
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 09-07-2024, 04:46 PM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 18,884
Default

I dont know how Goliad was able to hold on to that lead...
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 09-07-2024, 04:49 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,860
Default

Went 24 and 47 last time and was tooth and nail. Goes 22 and 44 today and is never in doubt.
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:01 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.