9/14: Churchill (4th-11th); Woodbine (4th-12th)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Vino Frizzante 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Prestwick 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Union Mist 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Vanished 3-1 9th


5th: Open Mind, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Zeitlos 8-5 WON ($4.88)
Best Value: #1 Run for the Hills 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Positano Sunset 5-2 2nd


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

At least half this field looks eligible for laurels..

Best Value: #7 Think Big 5-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Star of Wonder 3-1 WON ($6.78)
Exotics Use: #12 Attache 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Harrodsburg 6-1 9th


7th: Locust Grove (G2), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Shotgun Hottie 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Loved 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Free Like a Girl 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Musical Mischief 8-1 WON ($35.64)


8th: Pocahontas (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #13 KIMCHI CAT 9-2 14th
Next Best: #3 La Cara 5-1 WON ($12.72)
Best Value: #10 Lady Kathryn 10-1 13th
Exotics Use: #9 Strong State 5-1 7th


P5 Grid:

4: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 7-10-12 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
8: 13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P5 Grid:

5: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 7-10-12 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
7: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
8: 3-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 4 (2-6/10-1-3) Paid $477.26


9th: TB Society, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Happy Is a Choice 12-1 WON ($30.18)
Next Best: #10 Skelly 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Here Mi Song 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Closethegame Sugar 9-5 7th


10th: Iroquois (G3), 2yo, 1m (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Owen Almighty 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Sandman 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Jonathon's Way 9-2 WON ($4.52)
Exotics Use: #4 Authentic Strike 12-1 9th


11th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #11 Kinetic Control 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Homer's Odyssey 9-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Desert Aire 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #5 Tickled Quist 7-2 5th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
8: 3-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 4-10 (B), - (C)
11: 2-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

8: 3-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 7-10 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
10: 4-5-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x4x3 = 48 x .50 = $24



WOODBINE


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #4 Whisper Not 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #5 Breaking Alone 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Onenightstandards 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Elusive Knight 6-1 5th


5th: Natalma (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #1 Annascaul 3-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Mountain Breeze 5-2 8th
Best Value: #7 And One More Time 20-1 WON ($35.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Ready for Candy 12-1 7th


6th: ON Matron (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Swinger)

Ridiculously competitive. Pick and pray..

Most Likely: #8 Fashionably Fab 4-1 WON ($15.80)
Best Value: #3 Rose's Alibi 15-1 14th
Next Best: #6 Batucada 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #14 Metaphysical 20-1 10th


7th: E. P. Taylor (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (Must Pay .20 P6, P3, DD, Swinger)

Would you think that Moira is only 1-for-5 on WO turf? Her Canadian win last year is the lone tally and she got pace to close into there. She was 3rd in this last year and she'll need to pass Full Count Felicia and Fev Rover to win today. I don't think the Euro 3yo's are that scary either..

Best Value: #4 Full Count Felicia 6-1 WON ($17.60)
Next Best: #3 Fev Rover 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Moira 7-5 2nd


P4 Grid:

4: 2-4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-7-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x3x2x3 = 72 x each .20 = $14.40 x 3 = $43.20

$0.20 Pick 4 (4/6-7-8-4) Paid $418.35 x 3 = $1,255.05


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #5 Ron's Gizmo 3-1 WON ($9.00)
Best Value: #6 Volcanic 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Loose Wire 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 J P Hellish 2-1 6th


9th: Summer (G1), 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Swinger)

Best Value: #14 Winterberry 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 New Century 6-1 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #9 Al Quadra 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Cairo Caper 8-1 5th


10th: WO Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #5 Filo Di Arianna 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Naval Power 1-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Playmea Tune 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Win for the Money 10-1 WON ($29.30)


P5 Grid:

6: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 9-10-14 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x2x3x4 = 216 x each .20 = $42.20 x 2 = $84.40

$0.20 Pick 5 (8-4-5-10-6) Paid $3,684.11 x 2 = $7,368.22


11th: Vigil (G3), 3+, 6f (DD, Swinger)

Most Likely: #7 Patches O'Houlihan 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 I'm A Gambler 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Remuda 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 War Bomber 4-1 3rd


12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (Must Pay Hi-5, Swinger)

Most Likely: #1 South Bend 3-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Souped Up 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Wicked Django 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Cool Kiss 20-1 -


P4 Grid:

9: 9-10-14 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x2x3 = 72 x each .20 = $14.40 x 3 = $43.20


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]

CD SCR/CHG'S

WO SCR/CHG'S

[casp0555]

nice P4 Steve

[myke]

Thanks Steve


the pick four at woodbine a $4 horse, $35.40 horse, $15.80 horse and a $17.60 horse a .20 pick four paid 418 using your 14.40 pick four

[myke]

Steve,


20 cent pick 5 at woodbine pays $3,684

nice job Steve

[atolunch]

Unbelievable job today, what a monster day!!

Congrats and thanks as always.

[Kasept]

Larry, Myke, Billy… Thanks a lot. Kind of a magical day from being at Churchill with Carl Nafzger to finally catching some big multis which eluded me all summer. Was really pleased to find so many interesting horses and use them properly. Hope everybody crushed.