10/3: Belmont at The Big A ($84k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Taken for $25k and dipping down, First Glimpse is the most consistent performer here. After him, you get to a number of in-and-outer types. Mason Mania goes off the claim for Potts (16%)..

Most Likely: #2 First Glimpse 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #5 Mason Mania 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Winter's Ghost 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Allaboutthemoney 10-1 6th


4th: MDN/OC-$, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Murky bunch from a turf route perspective..

Best Value #10 Max N Fifo 10-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Salvation 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Reteko 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ozzy 15-1 3rd


5th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Morey claimed Reflexivity for himself and figures tough, but even money seems like surge pricing. Reylu Gutierrez returns to NY and finds himself on last out graduate Sassy Allie who is the other speed with Reflexivity. If either gets loose, they'll win. Linarite has been 2nd/3rd in 7 straight..

Most Likely: #5 Reflexivity 1-1 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #2 Sassy Allie 9-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Quick Power Nap 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Linarite 4-1 2nd


6th: MCLM/$50k, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Dark Devil 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Wajda 5-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Glint 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Missouri River 4-1 6th


7th: Gio Ponti, 3yo, 1m-T (DD)

Absolutely terrific late season sophomore set where 3 exit the incident-marred Saranac and virtually everyone has similar stalker/midpack running styles. #11-AE Vesting (5-1) would be a major player should he draw in..

Most Likely: #3 Piper's Factor 8-1 6th
Best Value: #4 The Process 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Take Me To Church 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Vesting 5-1 5th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-Outer

Very tough finish to sequences with 5 firsters (3-5-6-10-11) offering hints of potential and Pletcher/Rudy Rod returning eligible 2nd timers (7-9)..

Best Value: #11 So Darn Pretty 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Candy Quest 5-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Tam I Am 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #10 Moonscape 8-1 7th


P6 Grid:

3: 2 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
4: 7-10 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
5: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x1x4x2 = $96
All A's: 1x2x2x1x4x2 = $32


P5 Grid:

4: 1-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x1x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

5: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-4-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-7-10-11 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x1x4x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]