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Old 10-05-2024, 05:40 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,264
Default 10/5: Bel/Big A ($25k C/O); Keeneland (4th-11th); Santa Anita (6th-10th)

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Jockey Club Derby (G3), 3yo, 11f-T (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Legend of Time is coming out which leaves a quirky pace scenario. Not confident about any one player..

Best Value: #5 Deterministic 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 El Rezeen 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Carson's Run 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #2 Dashman 8-1 4th


6th: Belmont Turf Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Murderously difficult three-quarters dash with a host of rock solid candidates including several looking to break through at upper echelon like Maya Prince, Mischievous Angel, Senbei and Axthelm..

Best Value: #4 Maya Angel 12-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Determined Kingdom 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Senbei 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Super Add: #1 Axthelm 6-1 7th


7th: Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (X-C 2yo P5, P6, P3, DD)

Shelving of Senza Parole makes this wide open. Note MDN's Snowyte & Scottish Lassie exit MSW that produced Quickick who was a solid 2nd to Immersive in yesterday's Alcibiades..

Most Likely: #1 Snowyte 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Scottish Lassie 15-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #3 Pondering 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Icona Mama 15-1 5th


Future Stars Cross Country P5 Grid:

BAQ 7 (3:17p): 1-3-5 (A), 2-9-10 (B), - (C) ~ Frizette
BAQ 8 (3:49p): 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Champagne
SA 3 (5:00p): 8 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Oak Leaf
KEE 9 (5:16p): 1-6 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C) ~ Futurity
SA 9 (8:00p): 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Pharoah

Simple (A+B): 6x2x1x4x3 = $144
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = $36

$1 PICK FIVE (5/5,10/1,2,8/5/3) Paid $527.50


8th: Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Chancer McPatrick more than backed up flashy debut rally in hair-raising Hopeful and there's plenty of speed signed on here to help his off the pace effort. Pletcher on the attack with Tip Top Thomas who exits one of Spa's top rated baby heats and Uncaged who performed with aplomb in wet debut. Vekoma Rides and Executive Order graduated without early leads and offer value. Dallas Stewart and Valene Farms have a unique Louisiana-bred G1 double opportunity with Smoken Wicked here and in the Futurity at KEE with Dapper Moon..

Most Likely: #10 Chancer McPatrick 6-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #6 Vekoma Rides 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Tip Top Thomas 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Executive Order 15-1 7th


9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

For multi-race purposes, modest budgets may have to rely on Transactional, because if it's not him, it could be any of the next 6-7..

Most Likely: #3 Transactional 2-1 7th
Best Value: #11 Addicted to You 15-1 11th
Next Best: #7 Miztertonic 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Barnstorming 12-1 6th


P5 Grid:

5: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 10 (A), 6 (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-9 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-10 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)
9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAACA): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-9 in 8th)


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Material Girl 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Off Script 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Bam's Bliss Kiss 12-1 WON ($23.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Endless Vow 10-1 7th


11th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-Outer (DD)

Best Value: #8 Vacation Dance 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Scuttlebuzz 6-1 11th/5th
Exotics Use: #9 Yarrow 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Russi 6-1 6th


12th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Chasing Mo Money 9-2 6th
Next Best: #1 Steadfast Resolve 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #10 Bolt d'Plata 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Hurricane Express 5-1 3rd


P6 Grid:

7: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x1x2x2x3x2 = $72


P5 Grid:

8: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x2x2x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32


P4 Grid:

9: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-8-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x2x2x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-05-2024 at 08:30 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-05-2024, 05:42 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Beuys 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Rebel Red 5-2 WON ($6.74)
Exotics Use: #10 Desert Duke 6-1 SCR
Super Add: #12 Clyde's Got a Gun 8-1 2nd


5th: OC/Cond., 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Macho Music 3-1 WON ($6.14)
Best Value: #2 Eighty West 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Sexagenarian SCR
Exotics Use: #9 Ace It 6-1 5th


6th: Woodford (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 No Nay Hudson 5-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Nobals 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Souper Quest 7-2 8th
Super Add: #11 Gear Jockey 20-1 12th


P5 Grid:

6: 5-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54


7th: TB Club of America (G2), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Zeitlos 4-1 WON ($9.46)
Next Best: #3 Brightwork 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Clearly Unhinged 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Spirit Wind 7-2 2nd


8th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Chili Flag 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Gina Romantica 3-1 WON ($8.84)
Best Value: #5 Walkathon 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Tarawa 9-2 6th


9th: Breeders Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ferocious 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Filoso 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 East Avenue 3-1 WON ($7.56)
Exotics Use: #10 Dapper Moon 9-2 4th


10th: Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Carl Spackler 2-1 WON ($4.14)
Best Value: #8 Spirit of St Louis 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 More Than Looks 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Running Bee 12-1 4th


11th: MSW, 3+, 7f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Eglise 8-5 WON ($6.62)
Best Value: #2 Nyquist Frequency 15-1 5th
Next Best: #7 It's My Life 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Big Salt Lick 30-1 4th


P4 Grid:

8: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 PICK FOUR (4/5/9/5) Paid $104.26


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-05-2024 at 07:25 PM.
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  #3  
Old 10-05-2024, 05:43 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: Oak Leaf (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Non Compliant 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #1 Rio Del Sol SCR
Next Best: #4 Nooni 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Tenma 5-2 3rd


6th: MSW, F&M/3-5yo, 1m-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Interplay 12-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Mizzyaan 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Exotics Use: #6 Holly Goquickly 20-1 10th
Super Add: #2 Fire Ban 30-1 6th


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

6: 2-4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2x3 = 24 x $3 = $72


7th: Chillingworth (G3), F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Sweet Azteca 3-5 4th
Next Best: #2 Hope Road SCR
Best Value: #6 Kirstenbosch 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 One Magic Philly 5-1 WON ($9.60)


8th: Rodeo Dr. (G2), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Lucky Girl 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Iscreamuscream 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Aspen Grove 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Be Your Best 12-1 6th


9th: American Pharoah (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Best Value: #3 Citizen Bull 5-2 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #7 Getaway Car 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 McKinzie Street 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #5 Emerald Bay 6-1 4th



Future Stars Cross Country P5 Grid:

BAQ 7 (3:17p): 1-3-5 (A), 2-9-10 (B), - (C) ~ Frizette
BAQ 8 (3:49p): 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Champagne
SA 3 (5:00p): 8 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Oak Leaf
KEE 9 (5:16p): 1-6 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C) ~ Futurity
SA 9 (8:00p): 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Pharoah

Simple (A+B): 6x2x1x4x3 = $144
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = $36

$1 PICK FIVE (5/5,10/1,2,8/5/3) Paid $527.50


10th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Farley Hall 30-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Kings Road 4-5 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Curvino 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Coach Chuck 15-1 7th


P5 Grid:

6: 2-4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x1x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48


P4 Grid:

7: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-4-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x4x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-06-2024 at 07:12 AM.
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  #4  
Old 10-05-2024, 10:42 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 10-05-2024, 03:17 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,264
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Nick Tammaro’s Future P5

Leg 1
A: 1,3,9,10
B: 2

Leg 2
A: 10
B: 2,6,9

Leg 3
A: 8
B: 3,4,6

Leg 4
A: 4,5,9
B: 10

Leg 5
A: 1,3,7
B: 5
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #6  
Old 10-05-2024, 11:43 PM
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atolunch atolunch is online now
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Great capping on display today Coast to Coast!

Congrats and thanks as always.
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  #7  
Old 10-06-2024, 07:03 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Great capping on display today Coast to Coast!

Congrats and thanks as always.
THX Larry. Hope everyone did well. Had some good ideas. Missing Our Shot in the Woodford was costly.

Sorry for misposting some of the multis. Had to go out with Tina for the day and couldn't adjust.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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