Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-12-2024, 07:28 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,266
Default 10/12: Keeneland (X-C P5 w/ BAQ 7-9th)

KEENELAND ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5/BAQ 7-8-9


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 El Muheet 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Lucky Mischief 5-2 WON ($6.70)
Best Value: #6 Maui Strong 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Blue Chair Bay 7-2 4th


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

5: 4-5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2x2 = 16 x $3 = $48

$3 PICK 3 (4/3/1) Paid $162.03


BELMONT 7th (3:17p): Floral Park, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Loon Cry 4-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Hollywood Walk 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Love Appeals 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Secret Money 3-1 WON ($7.60)


Cross Country P5 Grid:

BAQ 7: 1-2-3 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
KEE 6: 4-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
BAQ 8: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
BAQ 9: 5-8 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
KEE 8: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x4x1 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups (ACAAA + AAAAC): 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3 in KEE 8)


KEENELAND 6th (3:40p): OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Giant Mischief 6-5 WON ($3.70)
Best Value: #6 Lofty Adjudicator 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Bromley 9-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Cyclone Mischief 7-2 4th


BELMONT 8th (3:49p): NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Betterluckythangood 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Born Dancer 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Locke and Key 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Laurel Valley 10-1 8th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 My Little Punky 5-1 WON ($11.10)
Next Best: #6 Keepsake 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Princess Aliyah 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Taverna 4-1 3rd


BELMONT 9th (4:20p): ALW, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Pentathlon 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Certified Loverboy 15-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Rocketeer 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Escalation Clause 7-2 2nd


KEENELAND 8th (4:44p): QEII Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Soprano 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 She Feels Pretty 5-2 WON ($5.08)
Best Value: #2 Caitlinhergrtness 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Candala 9-2 8th


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Bartulia 30-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Komorebino Omoide 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Baton Rouge 9-2 4th
Super Add: #12 Surface to Air 20-1 WON ($50.12)


10th: ALW/N2L, 2yo, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Coal Battle 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Poster 5-1 WON ($5.76)
Exotics Use: #12 Curahee 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 The Brigade 8-1 6th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-12 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
9: 9-10-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x1x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups (AACAA): 3x2x1x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3 in 8th)

$0.50 PICK 5 (4,8/12/3/12/1,13-16) Paid $2,266.19 (A-A-C-A-A)
$0.50 PICK 5 CONSO (4,8/12/3/12/1,13-16) Paid $14.81


P4 Grid:

7: 6-12 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C)
9: 9-10-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups (ACAA): 2x3x4x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (2-6-10 in 8th)

$0.50 PICK 4 (12/3/12/1,13-16) Paid $1,234.75 (A-A-A-A)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-12-2024 at 06:22 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-12-2024, 11:38 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,266
Default

BAQ SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-12-2024, 12:57 PM
monkeyco's Avatar
monkeyco monkeyco is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: So. Calif.
Posts: 47
Default

Heads up Steve! Born Dancer is #3 on the xpressbet site. I’d hate for you to punch the wrong ticket if it hits! Good luck!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-12-2024, 05:22 PM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 18,884
Default

Surface to Air
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-12-2024, 06:24 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,266
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by monkeyco View Post
Heads up Steve! Born Dancer is #3 on the xpressbet site. I’d hate for you to punch the wrong ticket if it hits! Good luck!
THX! Coach beat us there with Big Blue..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-12-2024, 06:25 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,266
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
Surface to Air
Bwahahaha...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-12-2024, 06:50 PM
monkeyco's Avatar
monkeyco monkeyco is offline
Les Bois
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: So. Calif.
Posts: 47
Default

Amazing handicapping and strategy!! Turf P3, P4 twice, P5 + 6 consos! I picked a good day to mindlessly follow along! Thanks a bunch! I’lll buy you a beer when you’re out here’s in California for BC! (Or maybe 10 cases of beer!!&#128518
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-13-2024, 06:12 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,266
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by monkeyco View Post
Amazing handicapping and strategy!! Turf P3, P4 twice, P5 + 6 consos! I picked a good day to mindlessly follow along! Thanks a bunch! I’lll buy you a beer when you’re out here’s in California for BC! (Or maybe 10 cases of beer!! )
Mark..

Thanks and you're totally welcome.. Hearing that makes the work even more worthwhile and I hope many others benefited as well. Once Cherie won the G1 it was a good afternoon and it got more exciting when Surface to Air won the 9th..

See you at Del Mar!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:35 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.