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#1
10-30-2024, 06:31 PM
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11/1-2: Del Mar ~ 41st Breeder's Cup
41ST BREEDERS' CUP ~ FRIDAY
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Red Flag 8-5 WON ($4.20) Best Value: #4 Navy Man 6-1 5th Next Best: #6 Skinner 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Dothraki 6-1 6th 2nd: Sen. Ken Maddy, F&M-2+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #1 Stay and Scam 9-2 3rd Next Best: #3 Just Nails 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Twirling Queen 6-1 WON ($5.00) Super Add: #6 Kissed by Fire 5-2 4th 3rd: CA-Golden St. Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #1 Hot Girl Walk 5-2 6th Best Value: #9 In the Air Tonight 15-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Tequilaandtherapy 10-1 WON ($24.00) Exotics Use: #6 Rizzleberry Rose 6-1 5th 4th: TB Aftercare Alliance, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) As good as the Juvy Turf races that come later.. Most Likely: #10 Chasing Liberty 15-1 WON ($15.60) Best Value: #15 Uncle Dude 20-1 13th Next Best: #6 Supa Speed 6-1 12th Exotics Use: #4 Mi Bago 20-1 5th Super Add: #5 Scipio 8-1 4th 5th: CA-Golden St. Juvenile, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #3 R Heisman 7-2 2nd Best Value: #5 Shea Brennan 10-1 3rd Next Best: #4 I'm a Bad Boy 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #7 Speedy Wilson 6-1 WON ($10.80) P5 Grid: 1: 5 (A), - (B), - (C) 2: 1-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C) 3: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54 All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAAC): 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-8 in 5th) P4 Grid: 2: 1-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C) 3: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54 All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AAAC): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-8 in 5th) 6th: Breeders' Cup Juvy Turf Sprint (G1), 2yo, 5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #8 Ecoro Sieg 7-2 8th Next Best: #2 Aesterius 9-2 6th Best Value: #9 Shareholder 12-1 12th Exotics Use: #3 Big Mojo 4-1 4th Super Add: #7 Whistlejacket 5-1 5th $3 TURF P3 Grid: 6: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 1-4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 2x2x4 = 16 x $3 = $48 7th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, J-Filly/Distaff DBL, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #3 Immersive 3-1 WON ($6.00) Best Value: #2 Snowyte 15-1 8th Next Best: #5 Quickick 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #9 American Bikini 5-1 9th Super Add: #10 Scottish Lassie 5-2 4th P4 Grid: 4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C) 6: 2-8-9 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C) 7: 3 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x1 = $45 All A's: 3x2x3x1 = $18 Backup (AAAC): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-5 in 7th) 8th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3) Most Likely: #1 Lake Victoria 8-5 WON ($3.40) Next Best: #7 Thought Process 5-2 9th Best Value: #9 Kilwin 20-1 5th Exotics Use: #13 Vixen 15-1 6th Super Add: #6 Virgin Colada 20-1 13th 9th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (Juvy/Classic DBL, DD, Hi-5) Top 4 are overwhelmingly likely, but find a use for Ireland-campaigned, American-bred (Quality Road/Lemon Drop Kid mare) first time dirt player Hill Road. Work reports pointing to a big try.. Best Value: #6 Citizen Bull 10-1 WON ($33.80) Next Best: #1 East Avenue 5-2 9th Exotics Use: #5 Jonathon's Way 9-2 7th Super Add: #10 Chancer McPatrick 3-1 6th Hi-5 Play: #3 Hill Road 30-1 3rd 10th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (Juvy Turf/Turf DBL, Hi-5) Most Likely: #10 Mentee 15-1 12th Best Value: #1 Satono Carnaval 20-1 9th Next Best: #5 Zulu Kingdom 8-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Dream On 20-1 5th Super Add: #6 Iron Man Cal 30-1 2nd P5 Grid: 6: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 2-3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 1 (A), - (B), 7 (C) 9: 1-6 (A), 3-5-10 (B), - (C) 10: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 2x4x1x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 Backup (AACAA): 2x4x1x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (7 in 8th) P4 Grid: 7: 2-3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 1 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 9: 1-5-6 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C) 10: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60 All A's: 4x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-01-2024 at 10:04 PM. 
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#2
10-31-2024, 09:24 PM
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CAPITAL OTB $1,500 BANKROLL CHALLENGE ~ $100 PER RACE/$200 CLASSIC
6th: Breeders' Cup Juvy Turf Sprint (G1), 2yo, 5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5) $2 TRI: 2-8 w/ 2-4-7-8-9-12 w/ 2-4-7-8-9-12 (2x5x4 = 40 x $2 = $80) $10 W-PL: 9 ($20) 7th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, J-Filly/Distaff DBL, DD, Hi-5) $20 EXA: 3 w/ 2-4-5-9 ($80) $10 W-PL: 2 ($20) 8th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3) $1 TRI: 1-7 w/ 1-2-6-7-8-9-11 w/ 1-2-6-7-8-9-11 (2x6x5 = $60) $2 P3: 1-7 w/ 1-6 w/ 1-4-5-10-11 (2x2x5 = 20 x $2 = $40 9th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (Juvy/Classic DBL, DD, Hi-5) $40 EXA BOX: 1-6 ($80) $5 EXA: 5-10 w/ 1-6 ($20) 10th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (Juvy Turf/Turf DBL, Hi-5) $1 TRI: 1-10 w/ 1-4-5-10-11-12 w/ 1-4-5-10-11-12 (2x5x4 = 40 x $2 = $40) $1 TRI: 1-4-5-10-11-12 w/ 1-10 w/ 1-4-5-10-11-12 (5x2x4 = 40 x $2 = $40) $10 WIN: 1, 10 ($20) 4th: Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) $40 EXA BOX 6-8 $20 WIN: 8 5th: Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5f-T (All Turf P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) $1 TRI: 6-9 w/ 1-2-6-9-10-11 w/ 1-2-6-9-10-11 (2x5x4 = $40) EXA: 1-2-6-9-10-11 w/ 6-9 (5x2 = 10 x $2 = $20) $40 WIN: 6 6th: Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (All Dirt P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) $2 TRI: 2-9 w/ 1-2-7-9 w/ 1-2-4-5-6-7-9 (2x3x5 = 30 x $2 = $60) $4 DBL: 2-9 w/ 1-2-3-11-12 (2x5 = 10 x $4 = $40) 7th: Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P6, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) $10 EXA: 1-2-3 (3x2 = 6 X $10 = $60 $10 WIN: 1 .50 P3: 1-2-3-11 w/ 2-12-13 w/ 2-3-4-5-10 (4x3x5 = 60 x .50 = $30) 8th: Breeders' Cup Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) 13 w/ 1-2-7-8-12 w/ ALL (1x5x12 = $60) 1-2-7-8-12 w/ 13 (5x1 = 5 x $4 = $20) $20 WIN: 13 9th: Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) $5 EXA: 2-3-4-10 (4x3 = 12 x $5 = $60) $1 P3: 2-3-4-5-10 w/ 2-4-9-10 w/ 8-12 (5x4x2 = $40) 10th: Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5) $3 EXA BOX: 2-4-7-9-10 (5x4 = 20 x $3 = $60) $5 P3: 2-4 w/ 8-12 w/ 8-9 (2x2x2 = 8 x $5 = $40) 11th: Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5) $40 WIN: 8 $6 DBL: 8-12 w/ 8-9-12 (2x3 = 6 x $6 = $36) $12 EXA: 6-7-9 w/ 8-12 (3x2 = 6 x $4 = $24) 12th: Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (Hi-5) $40 WIN: 8 $3 EXA BOX: 3-8-9-12-14 (5x4 = 20 x $3 = $60)
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-05-2024 at 05:44 AM.
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#3
11-01-2024, 12:33 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-01-2024 at 01:35 PM.
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#4
11-01-2024, 10:34 PM
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41ST BREEDERS' CUP ~ SATURDAY
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #7 Invigorated 12-1 3rd Next Best: #10 Jeweled Shillelagh 8-1 7th Exotics Use: #11 Lahaina Flavor 5-1 6th Super Add: #3 Rimprotector 12-1 9th 2nd: Bayakoa (G3), F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #4 Alpha Bella 8-5 2nd Best Value: #7 Show Card Paddock SCR Next Best: #3 Hope Road 6-5 WON ($2.60) Exotics Use: #2 Desert Dawn 10-1 3rd 3rd: Goldikova (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #3 Fluffy Socks 10-1 8th Next Best: #1 Aspen Grove 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #2 Sacred Wish 4-1 3rd Super Add: #4 Mouffy 10-1 4th 4th: Breeders' Cup F&M Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #6 Society 3-1 2nd Best Value: #8 Soul of an Angel 12-1 WON ($41.60) Next Best: #9 Ways and Means 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #4 Vahva 4-1 8th 5th: Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5f-T (All Turf P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #9 Cogburn 7-5 5th Next Best: #6 Star of Mystery 10-1 4th Best Value: #10 Isivunguvungu 20-1 7th Exotics Use: #2 Motorious 8-1 2nd Super Add: #1 Believing Late SCR All TURF P4 Grid: 5: 6-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 1-2-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2-3-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 P5 Grid: 1: 7-10 (A), - (B), 3-11 (C) 2: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 3: 1-3 (A), 2 (B), - (C) 4: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 6-9 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 Backup (CAAAA): 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-11 in 1st) P4 Grid: 2: 3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 3: 1-3 (A), 2 (B), - (C) 4: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 5: 6-9 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 6th: Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (All Dirt P4, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Thorpedo Anna 4-5 WON ($2.80) Best Value: #7 Honor D Lady 30-1 7th Exotics Use: #4 Alice Verite 30-1 4th Super Add: #1 Candied 15-1 3rd All DIRT P4 Grid: 6: 2-7 (A), - (B), 4 (C) 8: 2-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 2-4-9 (A), 1-6-7-8-11 (B), - (C) 12: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x8x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 7th: Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P6, P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #3 Shahryar 10-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Rousham Park 20-1 2nd Next Best: #11 Rebel's Romance 5-2 WON ($5.80) Exotics Use: #2 Emily Upjohn 5-1 8th Super Add: #12 Gold Phoenix 15-1 4th 8th: Breeders' Cup Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #13 Newgate 20-1 4th Next Best: #12 Arthur's Ride 15-1 12th Exotics Use: #2 Highland Falls 20-1 9th Super Add: #8 Pyrenees 30-1 7th Hi-5 Play: #1 Forever Young 6-1 3rd P5 Grid: 4: 6 (A), 8 (B), - (C) 5: 6-9 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C) 6: 2-7 (A), - (B), 4 (C) 7: 1-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (AACAA): 1x2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (4 in 6th) P4 Grid: 5: 6-9 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C) 6: 2-7 (A), - (B), 4 (C) 7: 1-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup (ACAA): 2x1x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 9th: Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #10 Moira 8-1 WON ($13.60) Best Value: #2 Full Count Felicia 12-1 7th Next Best: #4 War Like Goddess 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #3 Cinderella's Dream 4-1 2nd Super Add: #5 Didia 12-1 3rd 10th: Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #2 Gun Pilot 20-1 4th Next Best: #4 Nakatomi 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #9 Remake 8-1 11th Super Add: #10 Mullikin 7-2 3rd P4 Grid: 7: 1-2-3-11 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 2-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 11th: Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #8 More Than Looks 20-1 WON ($15.80) Next Best: #12 Carl Spackler 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #6 Notable Speech 7-2 3rd Super Add: #3 Geoglyph 30-1 5th Hi-5 Play: #9 Johannes 9-2 2nd 12th: Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (Hi-5) Best Value: #8 Post Time 12-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Domestic Product 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #12 Mufasa 12-1 11th Super Add: #14 Skippylongstocking 4-1 6th Hi-5 Play: #3 Full Serrano 15-1 WON ($28.80) P5 Grid: 8: 2-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 2-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 3x2x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54 P4 Grid: 9: 2-10 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 2-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C) 12: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) All A's: 2x3x3x2 = $36 Let's get lucky! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-02-2024 at 11:23 PM.
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#6
11-02-2024, 11:47 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
11-02-2024, 11:48 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
11-02-2024, 11:34 PM
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Thanks so much for your endless efforts and insights. All culminating in a spectacular Breeders Cup Weekend.
Appreciate your write ups and opinions on Citizen Bull, Soul of an Angel, Full Serrano and many others lead to a very profitable weekend! Congats and thanks again as always!!  
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#12
11-03-2024, 11:21 AM
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Quote:
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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