11/9: Aqueduct ($35k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 9f-Outer (P6, P3, DD)

$35k P6 C/O starts here and it's a daunting sequence..

Most Likely: #3 Deterministic 2-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #6 Right to Vote 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Main Beach 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Royal Majesty 7-2 3rd


6th: OC-S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Ooof.. Brutally deep and difficult set as start of P5 and 2nd leg of carryover sequences. Murky pace scenario adds to the intrigue..

Most Likely: #2 Omni King 9-2 WON ($7.30)
Best Value: #6 Outta Waterbury 12-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Funny Uncle 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Life and Light 15-1 2nd


7th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Vinsanity 6-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Magnificent Mile 5-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Beaver State 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Best Bet 9-2 8th


8th: Turf Sprint Ch., 3+, 6f-Outer (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Alogon 9-2 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #9 Senbei 5-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Son of a Birch 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Shefflin 8-1 7th


9th: Red Smith (G2), 3+, 11f-T (DD)

City Man has never gone this far, but 10-1 is the number to play around with him. Rebel Red is 8-1 and needs to take another step forward for Cherie, but appears poised to do that. Race obviously goes through Shug with Limited Liability and Integration. Master Piece has been rock solid in spots like this for an extended period for Dutrow/Iavarone.

Best Value: #4 City Man 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Limited Liability 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Master Piece 5-2 9th
Super Add: #9 Rebel Red 8-1 3rd


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3yo-F, 6f

Tough finish to the card with many firsters and droppers..

Best Value: #7 Tower Twenty Two 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #13 Awesome Roberta 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Furry Fox Late SCR
Super Add: #1 Bella Luna Mia 12-1


P6 Grid:

5: 3-6 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
10: 7-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x2x4x2 = $96
All A's: 2x1x2x2x2x2 = $32
Backup (ACAAAA): 2x2x2x2x2x2 = $64 (6-7 in 6th)


P5 Grid:

6: 2-6 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
10: 7-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (ACAAAA): 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (5-7 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-9 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
10: 7-10/SCR-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (CAAA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-7 in 7th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve