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#1
10-23-2007, 09:14 PM
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Your best bet of the weekend
Let's hear it and why. Favorite, longshot, whatever.
Mine is Gottcha Gold at the 8-1 ML. I know, I know, there's "all kinds of speed in here, he can't win". BS- this horse will make the lead and just refuses to quit. His last three races have been some of the most stunning performances of the year; setting suicidal fractions and should have won all three. Additionally, my instinct says a few of the supposed speed types will take back, except GG and the headstrong Wanderin Boy, who will pack it in at the 1/2 mile pole. When GG gets to the top of the stretch with a 4 length lead, good luck running him down.
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you 
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#2
10-23-2007, 09:16 PM
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I can't wait to go back to this thread afterwards, I have some ideas but will come back to it probably tomorrow..Good luck phil
I do this in Byk terms, with it being the whole day Best Value of the day: Smarty Deb - 30/1 Most Likely Winner: Benny the Bull - 6/1; La Traviata 5/2 Exotics Use: Purim - 20/1 Exotics Use: Shamindan - 20/1 Exotics Use: Old Man Buck - 20/1 In the Juv Fillies, I think Smarty Deb has a heck of a shot to hit the board at her 30/1 ML. People have no idea who these connections are so she will be ignored, she has been at Monmouth for a month and has two works over the track, Monmouth plays like Emerald Downs, a very bouncy type surface. Her Thorograph sheet is very strong, pairing her last two races which should mean a move forward. She is bred to like the distance also which is a question mark for alot of others. I do no like Indian Blessing or Irish Smoke at all, both debuted real fast and have little room for improvement. I think Proud Spell could be tough but Smarty Deb doesn't have to improve 'that' much to contend at a huge number. In the Turf, I think Shamindan has a shot to upset Dylan Thomas at 20/1. He is lightly raced, getting 5lbs, and he cycled back to his top in his last race. Another pattern that singles a move forward and he doesn't have to improve that much to contend with Dylan Thomas, because of the weight and the probablity of him saving ground. My two best bet against's of the day are Indian Blessing and Unbridled Belle, both have real ouchy patterns and shouldn't hit the board or any part of the any possible supers. I also am tossing Midnight Lute as he has Sinister Minister written all over him, but won't consider him a bet against because many are already doing it, from what I have heard from some of my friends and other boards. Last edited by Scav : 10-24-2007 at 10:56 AM.
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#3
10-23-2007, 09:23 PM
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Lear's Princess (Distaff) 6-1 ml.
I know it's a tough field, but just think she's improving more and more each start. With Hystericalady parked out in no man's land & both Indian Vale and Unbridled Belle both being "in and outers", she looks the best. Ginger Punch supplemented doesn't scare me and doubt she wants going this long.
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"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#4
10-23-2007, 09:23 PM
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Quote:
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#8
10-23-2007, 10:32 PM
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I'm going with Lahudood on this one. K mac's high on this one. She'll be ready to pounce on the speed at a very square price. Loved her last out, (damn me for not betting her), and if she duplicates an effort like that, we cash heavy. We will be keying her in all three tri spots.
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#9
10-23-2007, 10:38 PM
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Quote:
I like Maryfield in the FM Sprint as well. Lahudood likes FIRM grass and I am worried about her only having one recorded work since the Flower Bowl.
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RIP Monroe.
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#10
10-23-2007, 10:44 PM
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Quote:
thoughts on Oprah Winney?
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We've Gone Delirious
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#11
10-23-2007, 11:00 PM
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I hate that show...
Oh, the filly, well never mind... I think that Dream Rush, La Traviata and Shaggy Monstress get in a meltdown pace battle and Maryfield benefits. Of Oprah chooses to rate (as she has proven she can) she could be in a similar position to Mary. As for the pace duel, Shaggy goes first, the La Trav. DR could hang on for a piece.
__________________
RIP Monroe.
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#12
10-23-2007, 11:13 PM
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Good Luck!
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We've Gone Delirious
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#13
10-23-2007, 11:50 PM
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My bomb is Purim! Cashed big time on his last out and he will get some of my money this weekend.
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Me and PP at Lanes End
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#14
10-24-2007, 12:23 AM
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wandering boy......
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#15
10-24-2007, 12:41 AM
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Quote:
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#19
10-24-2007, 08:23 AM
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Quote:
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#20
10-24-2007, 08:44 AM
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There are about six horses I like a lot to win who should be prices.
But who cares about 8/1 and 10/1 shots when you get triple digit odds on the Midnight Lute - to - Idiot Proof - to Benny The Bull straight trifecta in the BC Sprint.
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