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#1
10-26-2013, 09:23 AM
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10/26: Belmont Park ($173k C/O)
Well, what's yet one more C/O flirtation? Got through first 4 legs cleanly Friday but knew trouble was brewing when Linda Rice's 6-1 Make a Decision was getting bet in the state-bred turf route 9th. The Medaglia d'Oro 3yo, who missed the summer turf season, followed his recent ALW win with another good effort and couldn't be denied in deep stretch. Then in a surprising development, 10th race winner Lemon Lashes ($32.00) -- 4th choice for me as an exotics player but left off my P6 play -- was the lone uncovered runner in the pool and everyone has another chance at the sextet with $173k as the jackpot. Leave for California this afternoon with Breeders' Cup ATR live from Santa Anita starting Monday!
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD) Not sure what to do about the pair of Pletcher firsters.. Most Likely: #10 Tourist 4-1 7th Best Value: #4 Wicked Strong 8-1 WON ($10.20) Next Best: #9 Endowment Manager 3-1 8th Exotics Use: #1 Bourbon Sense 10-1 3rd 6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD) As always, state-bred ALW makes for a great opportunity. Spread and use the big numbers.. Most Likely: #5 Joy Seeker 6-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #9 Ascended Fever 8-1 2nd Exotics Use: #6 Image of Noon 7-2 4th Best Value: #10 Kimmies Lucky Star 30-1 7th Super Add: #7 Silver Silence 20-1 8th 7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Candyman E 3-1 WON ($6.50) Next Best: #12 Readbytheline 6-1 10th Best Value: #9 The Truth and K G 8-1 6th Exotics Use: #1a Congressional Page 4-1 8th 8th: 38th Bold Ruler (G3), 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Pace edge at first blush to Strapping Groom but note blinker addition to not-slow-to-begin-with Clearly Now. Could trigger prompt or duel scenario. Big Screen gets chance to sit behind that pair. This may be more complicated event than it looks and no one is without chance as a result.. Most Likely: #6 Strapping Groom 9-5 4th Best Value: #5 Clearly Now 6-1 WON ($9.80) Next Best: #2 Big Screen 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #4 Politicallycorrect 5-1 6th 9th: 19th Turnback the Alarm (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD) Most Likely: #6 Centring 2-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Royal Lahaina 6-1 4th Next Best: #2 Street Secret 3-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Moon Philly 10-1 6th 10th: NY-OC/N1X, 3+, 7f-T Bizarroworld could get very loose up front.. SCR NOTES: #13 (AE) Gimme Credit (7-2) gets in and is a major player..[/i] Most Likely: #8 Bizarroworld 4-1 8th Best Value: #9 Carson Bandit 10-1 5th Next Best: #13 Gimme Credit 7-2 7th Exotics Use: #5 Precious Metal 15-1 WON ($23.20) <$150 P6 Play: 5: 1-4-9-10 6: 5-9 7: 2-9-12 8: 2-5-6 9: 6 10: 8 4x2x3x3x1x1 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-2-9-12 8: 2-5-6 9: 2-5-6-7 10: 8-9-13 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-26-2013 at 05:46 PM. 
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#3
10-26-2013, 11:04 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
10-26-2013, 05:42 PM
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#5 Precious Metal the lone covered runner in P6. Any other winner produces $530k must-pay C/O into Sunday's closing day card..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
10-26-2013, 05:47 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
10-26-2013, 05:49 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
10-26-2013, 05:50 PM
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Quote:
As Tom Durkin just said, "Have a nice day!"
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#8
10-26-2013, 07:13 PM
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In the meantime you have done an amazing job of identifying the possible winners this week including several double figures. Your handicapping has been basically bang on. Just a matter of keying the right horses on those multis. And getting awful lucky.
In the last leg today if the #1 gets out earlier there is another carryover.
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