Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #21  
Old 04-30-2014, 12:06 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

pps

http://www.brisnet.com/brisnet_promos/14Oaks.pdf
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 04-30-2014, 12:11 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

On the one hand, Untapable looks like a total standout on paper.

On the other hand, Rosie from the 13-hole.

Think I'll have some other coverage.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 04-30-2014, 12:13 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

My play will revolve around (in order)

13-Untapable
3-Sugar Shock
6-Kiss Moon
9-Unbridled Forever
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 04-30-2014, 12:28 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

She'll probably end up the 2nd choice, but I'm definitely using Rosalind in the Oaks.
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 04-30-2014, 05:10 PM
theguarantee theguarantee is offline
Louisiana Downs
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: NY
Posts: 310
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Im looking at the Alysheba now. Between the 1 and 9 I think there is enough speed to not let Appealing Tale steal the race.
Maybe. That said, Bradester's best two races came A. Setting a soft pace (Lezcano was up that day) and B. Sitting just off a fair to soft pace. Granted, his last was against (IMO) the best horse in training (Palace Malice) but he set a hot pace there and completely folded.
Moonshine Mullin simply cannot run with Appealing Tale. You really think Calvin gets super aggressive and forces the issue? I guess after the last front running score he might, especially from the rail...but I would think he'd be content to try to save ground and lay just off an (to me) obviously faster horse.
And even if they don't go crazy it still might not be enough to steal the race. But honestly, I think if the pace is super soft it might hurt AT's chances...he's the type that you want to run fast early and make them chase or get a bid lead and try to hold on.
Anyway, I'll be using WTC, AT and Golden Ticket all as A's...Normandy is a B for me.

Anyone commence any sort of opinions in the 9th? Least favorite kind of race for me (as a pk-3/pk-4 player) where I can only really feel comfortable tossing the 9, but can't really knock the favorites.
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 04-30-2014, 08:52 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by herkhorse View Post
you're probably right, but I'm using Kiss Moon on top in some Oaks/Derby doubles.
I will be using her in some horizontals, but in race, she will be underneath on most tickets.
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 04-30-2014, 10:21 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
On the one hand, Untapable looks like a total standout on paper.

On the other hand, Rosie from the 13-hole.

Think I'll have some other coverage.
She can go 3 wide 3 wide and still win, comfortably. I would prefer that to getting her stuck in traffic inside trying to save ground.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 05-01-2014, 12:49 PM
TouchOfGrey's Avatar
TouchOfGrey TouchOfGrey is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: Floral Park, NY
Posts: 921
Default

Normandy Invasion scratched from Alysheba after returning from track this morning with a minor hoof issue, as per Fox Hill Farm tweet.
__________________
"An Absolute Thriller!!" - Grassy wins a six-way photo finish, Saratoga 9th, 8-22-09
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 05-01-2014, 01:37 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post
She can go 3 wide 3 wide and still win, comfortably. I would prefer that to getting her stuck in traffic inside trying to save ground.
I think 3w3w is a pretty optimistic projection considering the rider.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 05-01-2014, 10:18 PM
2MinsToPost's Avatar
2MinsToPost 2MinsToPost is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,760
Default

Byron King picks Thank You Marylou, and looking this over, 3rd start on dirt with Birdstone blood, hummmm. 30-1 ML will not hold with his pick, with that said a nice play for the odds this horse should get.
Reply With Quote
  #31  
Old 05-02-2014, 06:22 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

It doesn't sound like I missed much not getting NBC Sports Network, but it would have been nice to have seen the Oaks in real time!

Untapable to the Preakness???
__________________
Tod Marks Photo - Daybreak over Oklahoma
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 05-02-2014, 07:08 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,266
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
Untapable to the Preakness???
Shouldn't they wait to see how her stablemate fares in the Derby first?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 05-02-2014, 08:37 PM
booner's Avatar
booner booner is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Russellville, KY
Posts: 1,242
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
Untapable to the Preakness???
Why run in the Preakness? Aim higher....
__________________
"Success does not consist in never making blunders, but in never making the same one a second time." -
Josh Billings
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 05-02-2014, 08:37 PM
Bigsmc's Avatar
Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,577
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Shouldn't they wait to see how her stablemate fares in the Derby first?
If her stablemate runs well enough to move on to the Preakness, are they not allowed to have more than one entry?

If you think you have two horses that can win a Triple Crown race, why leave one in the barn?
Reply With Quote
  #35  
Old 05-02-2014, 10:04 PM
tywizard tywizard is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Kentucky
Posts: 438
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc View Post
If her stablemate runs well enough to move on to the Preakness, are they not allowed to have more than one entry?

If you think you have two horses that can win a Triple Crown race, why leave one in the barn?
If Tapiture won and you're sitting with the top colt and filly....You give the colt a chance at the TC. I believe that's Steve's point.
Reply With Quote
  #36  
Old 05-02-2014, 10:34 PM
Aly-Sheba's Avatar
Aly-Sheba Aly-Sheba is offline
Turf Paradise
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Out West
Posts: 227
Default

I think they wait and see also.

I feel bad for the people who bet fashion plate!! That was ridiculous that they did not pull her out of the gate and look at her. It sure looked like she got tangled up in the gate. Gary Stevens jumped right back on her and that was a mistake. But those who bet on her got screwed!!
Reply With Quote
  #37  
Old 05-02-2014, 11:32 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post
She can go 3 wide 3 wide and still win, comfortably. I would prefer that to getting her stuck in traffic inside trying to save ground.
...

3 wide 3 wide, and runs 1:48.68. This is going to be a MONSTER thorograph figure. I could argue for a -4 or -5.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #38  
Old 05-08-2014, 12:59 PM
Aly-Sheba's Avatar
Aly-Sheba Aly-Sheba is offline
Turf Paradise
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Location: Out West
Posts: 227
Default

Maybe I'm missing it, but I did not see the official payouts for the future bet for the Oaks on drf or can't find on the ky oaks website? I do see the will pays on the site, but you would think CDI would want to promote it the actual payoffs. Drf showed the playoffs for the Derby future, but not the Oaks? Just curious
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:49 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.