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Old 08-15-2014, 07:30 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 8/15: Saratoga (Day 25; Morrissey)

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Mysterious NYB's with reliance on trainers, pedigrees, works demanded thanks to the 5 firsters. Pricey Omagoddonna (12-1) and Timely Cat (15-1) merit looks having worktab and pedigree respectively to their credit..

Most Likely: #6 Ten Penny Princess 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Omagoddonna 12-1 DNF-Bled
Next Best: #5 Bebop Raindrop 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Timely Cat 15-1 4th


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tizquick 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Upstart 2-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Bo Bop 4-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Deputy Busterstone 12-1 4th


3rd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Happy to get My Pal of Pals to his 5yo debut after nearly injurious Belmont fire drill, but trip likely too short for him. Should serve as perfect tightening for stretch out assignment in next 10-14 days..

Most Likely: #1 Rangey 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Slamarama 20-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Cap'n Raymond 4-1 WON ($8.60)


4th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Street Girl 2-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Rubindy 4-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Sheer Drama 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Taketheodds 3-1 5th


5th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Hmm.. Typically tough turf sprint to end P5/P4 sequences..

Most Likely: #8 Latigo Trail 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Best Value: #6 Sir Maurice 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Vischer Ferry 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Spark to Ignite 20-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

1: 6-7 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-4 (C)
2: 2 (A), 4 (B), 5-6 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 3 (C)
4: 4 (A), 3 (B), 1-2 (C)
5: 8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple main: (A's/B's-4x2x3x2x3) $72
Full with backups (A/B/C's):


P4 Grid:

2: 2-4 (A), 5-6 (B), 7 (C)
3: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), 3 (C)
4: 4 (A), 3 (B), 1-2 (C)
5: 8 (A), 6-7 (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple main: (A's/B's-4x3x2x3): $36
Full with backups (A/B/C's):


6th: NY-OC/C, 3+, 6f (PG/S, P3, DD)

Horatio could get a nice stalking trip behind those who wish to be closer to the pace. Price is square..

Best Value: #6 Horatio 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1a Night Maneuver 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Half Nelson 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Chilton LATE SCR


7th: MSW, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 De Facto 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Decisive Edge 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Northeast Bound 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Trecastle 5-1 WON ($12.40)


8th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Blinkered Mariel N Kathy is the only candidate to impede Stormin Elle from getting loose up front. Race unfolds based on how that pair go early..

Best Value: #7 Stormin Elle 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Tabreed 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Maximova 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Super Add: #2 Mariel N Kathy 10-1 2nd


9th: 11th Morrissey-NY, 3+, 6.5f (DD)

7yo Quick Money was a clever claim by Joe Imperio and Michelle Nevin then pounced on immediately after him. Tactical veteran can sit behind pace and is simply the best price horse with a chance in here..

Most Likely: 5 Moonlight Song 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Quick Money 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Saratoga Snacks 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Big Business 5-2 2nd


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #6 My Four Rewards 8-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Share 'n Stone Late SCR-Flipped paddock
Exotics Use: #4 Barbara's Smile 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Malibu Queen 2-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

7: 2-8 (A), 6 (B), 1-5-10 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 5 (B), 1-2-4 (C)
9: 4 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-6-7 (C)
10: 6-10 (A), 4-9-12 (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple main: (A's/B's-3x3x3x5): $67.50
Full with backups (A/B/C's):


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-15-2014 at 06:12 PM.
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Old 08-15-2014, 11:09 AM
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Steve Byk
 
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SAR SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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