Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #301  
Old 06-03-2017, 07:37 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,270
Default

Sir Barton 3rd True Timber, who had potential to prompt the pace, knocked out of Belmont by a fever..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #302  
Old 06-03-2017, 08:56 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

I already love Multiplier. After hearing Brendan Walsh,I really love him.

He could be the bet of the year in the Belmont. Kind of like Creator , last year
Reply With Quote
  #303  
Old 06-05-2017, 10:36 PM
richard burch's Avatar
richard burch richard burch is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: new jersey
Posts: 1,751
Default

Epicharis (Hagiwara/Lemaire)
Classic Empire (Casse/Leparoux)
Looking At Lee (Asmussen/I. Ortiz Jr.)
J Boys Echo (Romans/TBD)
Meantime (Lynch/Smith)
Multiplier (Walsh/Rosario)
Senior Investment (McPeek/Hill)
Tapwrit (Pletcher/J. Ortiz)
Twisted Tom (C. Brown/Casellano)
Gormley (Shirreffs/Espinoza)
Patch (Pletcher/Velazquez)
Irish War Cry (Motion/Maragh)
Hollywood Handsome (Stewart/Geroux)

I'm thinking Twisted Tom, Epicharis or Gormley will win this race with Irish War Cry, Jboys Echo also as viable options. Really liking T. Tom though.
__________________
Support your local Re-run or horse rescue organization.
https://www.rerunottb.com/:)
Reply With Quote
  #304  
Old 06-05-2017, 11:55 PM
10 pnt move up's Avatar
10 pnt move up 10 pnt move up is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,745
Default

looks like a lot of pace to me just looking at the names
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
Reply With Quote
  #305  
Old 06-07-2017, 02:27 PM
Seattleallstar's Avatar
Seattleallstar Seattleallstar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,866
Default

wtf Taprwrit at lower odds than Gormley. Multiplier will then become my play for the Belmont
Reply With Quote
  #306  
Old 06-07-2017, 04:23 PM
cakes44's Avatar
cakes44 cakes44 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,744
Default

I like Tapwrit.
Reply With Quote
  #307  
Old 06-07-2017, 08:18 PM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44 View Post
I like Tapwrit.
I'm not being a smart ass, or a dick, but what do you like Tapwrit to do? Run off the board?
Reply With Quote
  #308  
Old 06-07-2017, 09:08 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
I'm not being a smart ass, or a dick, but what do you like Tapwrit to do? Run off the board?
More like Sarcastic smart ass dick, right ?
Next thing your gonna say is Multiplier isn't gonna gallop, right ?
Reply With Quote
  #309  
Old 06-08-2017, 12:13 AM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
More like Sarcastic smart ass dick, right ?
Next thing your gonna say is Multiplier isn't gonna gallop, right ?
No. I honestly don't know what people have seen in Tapwrit.
Reply With Quote
  #310  
Old 06-08-2017, 03:01 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default

The horse that Epicharis beat by 12 at Mombetsu just won the Tokyo Derby by open lengths. Unfortunate to see he might have lameness issues.
Reply With Quote
  #311  
Old 06-08-2017, 08:57 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
No. I honestly don't know what people have seen in Tapwrit.
A case could be made that he had trip issues in both the Bluegrass and the KD (and considering the horrific trip in the KD, he finished better than most in the field). If he runs his race and gets a decent trip he is definitely a win candidate.

Alternatively, he could easily find trouble, spit the bit, then finish the race beating only Epicharis home.
Reply With Quote
  #312  
Old 06-08-2017, 09:12 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
A case could be made that he had trip issues in both the Bluegrass and the KD (and considering the horrific trip in the KD, he finished better than most in the field). If he runs his race and gets a decent trip he is definitely a win candidate.

Alternatively, he could easily find trouble, spit the bit, then finish the race beating only Epicharis home.
What Odds do you give of Epicharis finishing Dead Last?
Reply With Quote
  #313  
Old 06-08-2017, 09:22 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
What Odds do you give of Epicharis finishing Dead Last?
I was being facetious, I honestly didn't think anyone would take that literally. He is a massive play against, but he's probably not the worst horse in the race.

What chances do you give Epicharis of going to the gate at 4-1?
Reply With Quote
  #314  
Old 06-08-2017, 09:27 AM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is online now
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,558
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
What Odds do you give of Epicharis finishing Dead Last?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
I was being facetious, I honestly didn't think anyone would take that literally. He is a massive play against, but he's probably not the worst horse in the race.

What chances do you give Epicharis of going to the gate at 4-1?
I think he is 2-1 that hes not even in the gate Saturday. Being treated for lameness two days before a mile and a half race. I agree with you Dan he is a big play against here. I don't know what to do with this race but feel if Irish war Cry can run his race he will win this easy but that's a big if.
Reply With Quote
  #315  
Old 06-08-2017, 09:29 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
I was being facetious, I honestly didn't think anyone would take that literally. He is a massive play against, but he's probably not the worst horse in the race.

What chances do you give Epicharis of going to the gate at 4-1?
I was trying to see if you'd throw something out there maybe 3-1 ish and I'd offer to book it for you. Kitan seems to like him and I think he is pretty sharp with these Foreign horses. I think he floats up. I think there may be some that will dismiss out of hand and incorrectly based upon Thunder Snow's Derby
Reply With Quote
  #316  
Old 06-08-2017, 09:34 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
I think he is 2-1 that hes not even in the gate Saturday. Being treated for lameness two days before a mile and a half race. I agree with you Dan he is a big play against here. I don't know what to do with this race but feel if Irish war Cry can run his race he will win this easy but that's a big if.
Thanks Tom, I hadn't seen that yet. Missed training this morning. There is no way he goes.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...ness-treatment
Reply With Quote
  #317  
Old 06-08-2017, 09:40 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
I was trying to see if you'd throw something out there maybe 3-1 ish and I'd offer to book it for you. Kitan seems to like him and I think he is pretty sharp with these Foreign horses. I think he floats up. I think there may be some that will dismiss out of hand and incorrectly based upon Thunder Snow's Derby
Thunder Snow's derby had zero impact on my assessment. As bad as the US 3yo crop is, the horses Epicharis has faced internationally are even more dreadful.
Reply With Quote
  #318  
Old 06-08-2017, 11:27 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
I was trying to see if you'd throw something out there maybe 3-1 ish and I'd offer to book it for you. Kitan seems to like him and I think he is pretty sharp with these Foreign horses. I think he floats up. I think there may be some that will dismiss out of hand and incorrectly based upon Thunder Snow's Derby

I'm a little biased with this one because I saw him run live at Tokyo and 1) I haven't seen the other contenders up close and 2) it would be cool to say I saw the Japanese Belmont winner run! Besides that, he is much, much better (and less of a maniac) than Lani who I liked to an extent and wasn't disgraced at all in any TC race last year, particularly the Belmont which has a similar type of lack of strength this year. Will be very hard to bet Epicharis now even if he takes his place in the race, especially if he's a low price. The word I got from Japan was that it's a hoof injury that's gradually getting better after the medication, but participation is undecided.
Reply With Quote
  #319  
Old 06-08-2017, 11:38 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
I'm a little biased with this one because I saw him run live at Tokyo and 1) I haven't seen the other contenders up close and 2) it would be cool to say I saw the Japanese Belmont winner run! Besides that, he is much, much better (and less of a maniac) than Lani who I liked to an extent and wasn't disgraced at all in any TC race last year, particularly the Belmont which has a similar type of lack of strength this year. Will be very hard to bet Epicharis now even if he takes his place in the race, especially if he's a low price. The word I got from Japan was that it's a hoof injury that's gradually getting better after the medication, but participation is undecided.
Absolute bet against with this new Info..
Reply With Quote
  #320  
Old 06-08-2017, 12:46 PM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
Absolute bet against with this new Info..
I was betting against him if he was 1,000% healthy.
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital"

- Nathan Israel
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:52 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.