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#301
11-01-2009, 02:02 AM
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#302
11-01-2009, 07:26 AM
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can anyone tell me the start time for the breeders cup on sat.?:
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#305
11-01-2009, 08:23 AM
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#306
11-01-2009, 09:04 AM
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In the Juv Fillies - Connie and Michael is probably the horse who best fits that angle... and the win of hers was at 7 furlongs... not six. If you remember back to last year ... the horse who came into this race as "the worst horse" was 2nd time starter Dave's Revenge. She finished 4th beaten just 3 lengths by Stardom Bound at 64/1 odds. A nose behind Sky Diva for 3rd place. You shouldn't forget about her ... because she makes a great trivia question. The question being 'name the horse who ran 4th in a Breeders Cup in just it's 2nd lifetime start ... and was claimed for $16,000 the following summer" People will instantly think colt ... because any filly who misses 3rd by a nose in a BC race in just it's 2nd start - would figure to have more than 16K residual value as a broodmare prospect. Her dam sire was Afternoon Deelites .. maybe that 4th was her version of a Hollywood Futurity romp over Thunder Gulch. I don't know. Anyway, I'm not sure Connie and Michael has to get bet and will be one of the shortest prices. People will be foolish enough to recall the Forest Music debacle... and FM was a horse who went a record 20.80 at the FT Calder 2yo sale. That was back when that type of preview was unheard of. This is a totally different kind of horse than a one-way speed crazed stopper like FM.
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#307
11-01-2009, 09:32 AM
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#308
11-01-2009, 09:38 AM
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If you're in the camp that is of the believe that Zenyatta's been made to look extremely ordinary in her last two races because of slow paces ... what does that say for Life Is Sweet - who was the only horse in the race even more disadvantaged than Zenyatta in both instances? Life Is Sweet is very likely who I will be betting in the Distaff.
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#309
11-01-2009, 10:13 AM
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Shes ok...
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#310
11-01-2009, 10:36 AM
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Life is Sweet is Jeff Siegal's sleeper bet of the Distaff for all the reasons you just mentioned, she will be completely forgotten and will be a big price.
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#311
11-01-2009, 10:46 AM
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If I am watching the race and I see 25/50 (which would probably be the slowest I have ever seen in a 7f race) I still wouldn't be concerned
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#312
11-01-2009, 10:54 AM
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If you were asking this of a horse that was an outsider and you had reason to think they could make this type of leap at a fair price then one might consider it, but Connie and Michael is just not going to offer the value necessary to take such a calculated risk. NT
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#313
11-01-2009, 11:43 AM
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If Precious Passion wins, I hope nobody gets on here and writes that he had a perfect trip. I've never seen such a race that is so clear cut. The gates open he opens up a 10 length lead, fill in the blank after that.
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#314
11-01-2009, 12:00 PM
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__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
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#315
11-01-2009, 01:01 PM
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Only one prediction to make at this point. Zenyatta wins whichever race she runs in and it's going to be easier than the final margin suggests.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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#316
11-01-2009, 01:08 PM
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#317
11-01-2009, 02:05 PM
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http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...ight-nov-1-tab
Hmm, well according to Mike Welsch, Girolamo's was the fastest work, but he was strongly urged near the end. It sounded like he was most impressed with Regal Ransom and Midshipman...........I would send Girolamo to the Cigar Mile as it doesn't appear he's handling the track all that well; he's usually a fantastic work horse.
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#318
11-01-2009, 02:13 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#319
11-01-2009, 02:22 PM
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Thanks for the bonus weekend comments Steve.
Just found out that I got some free tix for the Saturday Breeder's Cup. Hope to stop by and say hi.
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#320
11-01-2009, 02:38 PM
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I'll be back and forth from the track and paddock Saturday as it looks like I'll be part of SiriusXM's 'Down the Stretch' coverage with Bill Finley, Dave Johnson and Chris McCarron from 10am-7pm EST.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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