Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > The Steve Dellinger Discourse Den
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #341  
Old 09-05-2010, 07:28 PM
dalakhani's Avatar
dalakhani dalakhani is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Washington dc
Posts: 5,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GBBob View Post
You hoping people in the market lose money?
Its pretty strange but I think I was the only one cheering for smooth. I don't agree with him, but I hope he is right.

Welcome to the Smooth Operator/us economy fan club Bob. I think it is just you and me for now.

On another note, I just read Harry Dent's latest newsletter. Scratch anything positive I might have said about him. The guy is an idiot.
Reply With Quote
  #342  
Old 09-05-2010, 07:40 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678 View Post
nasdaq at top 5000 , nasdaq roday 23 and change randall , nasdaq in 10 yrs even if you get a double from here you still not even if you bought at the top
It's sad really. The same group who said housing never goes down.
Reply With Quote
  #343  
Old 09-05-2010, 07:46 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: new york
Posts: 3,670
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
It's sad really. The same group who said housing never goes down.

housing is a disaster randall , hope you didn't buy that condo
Reply With Quote
  #344  
Old 09-05-2010, 07:47 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678 View Post
housing is a disaster randall , hope you didn't buy that condo
Nope.
Reply With Quote
  #345  
Old 09-05-2010, 07:52 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: new york
Posts: 3,670
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
Nope.

smart man


i know some people that bought in the tri sate area in 06 and 07 , it's not pretty , they are stuck paying off something for the next 30 yrs that may be worth less than what they paid for it
Reply With Quote
  #346  
Old 09-05-2010, 07:55 PM
hi_im_god's Avatar
hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,043
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
It's sad really. The same group who said housing never goes down.
which do you think is the bigger bubble now?

equities, housing, or gold?
Reply With Quote
  #347  
Old 09-05-2010, 07:57 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: new york
Posts: 3,670
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
which do you think is the bigger bubble now?

equities, housing, or gold?

neither

bonds are the next bubble to burst
Reply With Quote
  #348  
Old 09-05-2010, 07:59 PM
hi_im_god's Avatar
hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,043
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678 View Post
neither

bonds are the next bubble to burst
i assume that would mean gold's still a good investment. interest rates rising to control rampant inflation and all.

yes? no?
Reply With Quote
  #349  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:00 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
which do you think is the bigger bubble now?

equities, housing, or gold?
None of the above need to be in a bubble....The truth is what ZIRP does is destroy everything in the long run. Counterintuitive.
Reply With Quote
  #350  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:03 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: new york
Posts: 3,670
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
i assume that would mean gold's still a good investment. interest rates rising to control rampant inflation and all.

yes? no?


when the dollar goes kaput , gold will go through the roof , but , at that point it may not matter if you live here , it will all be over
Reply With Quote
  #351  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:07 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Gales is right about bonds but I will bet my left nut that the 10 yr will go below 2% before this is over.
Reply With Quote
  #352  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:14 PM
hi_im_god's Avatar
hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,043
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
Gales is right about bonds but I will bet my left nut that the 10 yr will go below 2% before this is over.
how can gales be right and bond yields are still heading down?

you two need to huddle.
Reply With Quote
  #353  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:17 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
how can gales be right and bond yields are still heading down?

you two need to huddle.
If Gales had said the Nasdaq would collapse at 4k in 2000, would he be wrong? Yes, but it is a timing issue...Bubbles go far longer and higher than anyone imagines. Under 2% on the 10 yr is my call.
Reply With Quote
  #354  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:18 PM
dalakhani's Avatar
dalakhani dalakhani is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Washington dc
Posts: 5,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678 View Post
neither

bonds are the next bubble to burst
LOL Give me a timeline Captain Inflation
Reply With Quote
  #355  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:21 PM
hi_im_god's Avatar
hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,043
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
If Gales had said the Nasdaq would collapse at 4k in 2000, would he be wrong? Yes, but it is a timing issue...Bubbles go far longer and higher than anyone imagines. Under 2% on the 10 yr is my call.
amen.

on the other hand, gold will go up forever.
Reply With Quote
  #356  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:25 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: new york
Posts: 3,670
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dalakhani View Post
LOL Give me a timeline Captain Inflation
why? if i give you a specific time and it hasn't happened yet , you will just tell me i am wrong . there were a lot of people who went broke during the housing bubble on the short side , paulson had the luck and timed it right , but , they were all correct that the bubble would burst
Reply With Quote
  #357  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:25 PM
clyde's Avatar
clyde clyde is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Welsh Pride!
Posts: 13,837
Default

Grasshopper.
Reply With Quote
  #358  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:34 PM
hi_im_god's Avatar
hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,043
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678 View Post
why? if i give you a specific time and it hasn't happened yet , you will just tell me i am wrong . there were a lot of people who went broke during the housing bubble on the short side , paulson had the luck and timed it right , but , they were all correct that the bubble would burst
there will be inflation.

sometime in the future...

check back in 6 months, 6 years, 6 decades, or 6 centuries and you'll see that i was right.

solid prediction gales. not useful but really hard to argue with.
Reply With Quote
  #359  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:35 PM
dalakhani's Avatar
dalakhani dalakhani is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Washington dc
Posts: 5,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gales0678 View Post
why? if i give you a specific time and it hasn't happened yet , you will just tell me i am wrong . there were a lot of people who went broke during the housing bubble on the short side , paulson had the luck and timed it right , but , they were all correct that the bubble would burst
Because it is one of those lame predictions which at some point in time has to come true. The 10 year is at 2.7 and was around 2.5 the other day. I don't have to be Nostradamus to predict that at some point rates will spike higher. How hard is that?

Tell me when, bubble man. This winter? Next spring? Next month? Next week???

You were telling me all last year about this evil inflation and I still don't see it. The environment is still deflationary and will continue to be for at least the next year and possibly beyond.

God asked a question and in my opinion, the bubble is in equities.
Reply With Quote
  #360  
Old 09-05-2010, 08:37 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: new york
Posts: 3,670
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hi_im_god View Post
there will be inflation.

sometime in the future...

check back in 6 months, 6 years, 6 decades, or 6 centuries and you'll see that i was right.

solid prediction gales. not useful but really hard to argue with.
my sister got married in '05 , she wanted to buy a house right away , i told her to wait , i was wrong for a year and half , but now do you think she is glad that she didn't buy or is she still mad at me?
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:18 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.