#21
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#22
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I thought Blue Grass. But I guess that would make sense with Tagg, and he's proven over the Aqu strip.
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#23
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#24
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I agree about AGS needing earning but remember, he'll be one of the top 2 choices in the Blue Grass, with a %750k purse. If he's one of the choices, why should he duck the spot and go elsewhere?
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#25
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AGS could run in the coolmore lexington I imagine, but the 2 weeks is obviously the issue. He needs graded earnings, although if we don't see any more upsets, I think he gets in regardless.
Pletcher's runners: CQ - Wood Scat Daddy - florida derby Any Given Saturday - Bluegrass Cowtown Cat - Illinois Derby Sam P - Santa Anita Derby Deadly Dealer - Arkansas Derby The Bluegrass will be loaded, but the timing (3 weeks out) travel logistics (easy van ride to Churchill after) and the forgiving polytrack surface are all too important to pass up for horses who are already in the derby with earnings and just need a final tune up. |
#26
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Ags is not in the top 30 right now but it looks like about 12-14 of those on the list are not considered Derby candidates right now. AGS could probably get in with a 2nd in the Blue Grass. I suppose the Lexington is a last ditch chance but running that often is not Pletcher's style.
I know AGS was second in the KY Jockey Club and the TB Derby, how much $$$ does he have? I'm guessing about $70k in graded earnings... |
#27
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He's at about $102,000.
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#28
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Cakes, I think you are right, the TB derby was $300k so he made $60k there. The 2yo race where he was second was about $200k, I think.
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#29
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#30
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#32
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I'm guessing the cut-off for graded earnings will be closer to $150,000-$175,000 this year than the $100,000 of years past.
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#33
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Derby earnings level has been about $135,000-$160,000..
The fields as they appear currently: FLORIDA DERBY: Hal's My Hope, J. Rivera Boogie Boggs, J. Bravo J'burg Star, R. Maraagh Notional, R. Albarado Stormello, V. Espinoza Scat Daddy, J. Velasquez Adore the Gold, E. Prado Chelokee, M. Guidry Imawildandcrazyguy, R. Bejarano Bold Start, Manny Cruz ILLINOIS DERBY: Cowtown Cat* Cobalt Blue Freesgood Catman Running WOOD MEMORIAL: Nobiz Likeshobiz Circular Quay Sightseeing Summer Doldrums Sir Whimsey Cowtown Cat* SANTA ANITA DERBY: Sam P. Boutrous Bwana Bull Liquidity Medici Code King of the Roxy Song of Navarone ARKANSAS DERBY: Ketchikan Teufelsberg Officer Rockett Deadly Dealer Curlin BLUE GRASS: Street Sense Any Given Saturday Hard Spun Zanjero Birdbirdistheword Great Hunter
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#34
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Thanks for the list!
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#35
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#37
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Still possible for the Preakness I'm sure.
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#38
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The G1 is very important for the connections of AGS as he is owned by WinStar Farm which is like Coolmore Light. They are a stud operation meaning that racing for them is a means to an end, breeding. As a KY based outfit, the win at KEE is significant as well.
Arky clearly looks easier, he'd be 1-2 there, but I figure he'll be 2-1 in the Blue Grass anyhow. It's not like he's got only an outside shot there. |
#39
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Updated Earings list (horses highlighted are injured, retired or unlikely to enter in Derby). There are others on the list that are probably long shots to make it as well (BirdBird, Kingoftheroxy, Sedgefield, etc..)
I believe Any Given Saturday is around 33 or so on the list. 1) Street Sense 2) Dreaming of Anna 3) Circular Quay 4) Holy Roman Emperor 5) Great Hunter 6) Scat Daddy 7) BirdBirdistheword 8) Stormello 9) Hard Spun 10 Rags to Riches 11) Nobizlikeshobiz 12) Notional 13 King of the Roxy 14 Romance is Diane 15 Xchanger 16 Tiz Wonderful 17 Pirate’s Deputy 18 Kirklees 19 Mount Nelson 20 Curlin 21 Officer Rocket 22 Cobalt Blue 23 Horse Greeley 24 Admiral of the Fleet 25 Cowtown Cat 26 Skip Code 27 Zanjero 28 Ketichikan 29 Sedgefield 30 Liquidity |
#40
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Pirates Deputy just worked the other day. I hope they don't decide to throw him in a prep like the Lexington where he runs 4th or 5th and then they press on to the Derby with him and cost a more deserving horse a shot.
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