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  #21  
Old 04-23-2007, 10:47 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
the horse has worked perfectly the last two times, the horse is fine. he just needed time and from reports, Angel told him the horse runs best off layoffs and just get him ready.

The horse is lock city to hit the board with his turn of foot, and most likely win
2 month layoffs?
You got him as a favorite? Holy Moses. No way Im going for 8 weeks off, Barbaro has not sunk that deep into my bones and that was 5 weeks.
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  #22  
Old 04-23-2007, 10:49 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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So to be a wise guy horse you are not allowed to win preps?
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  #23  
Old 04-23-2007, 10:50 PM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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If you are allowed to win preps my wise guy horse is


smack diddy (new nickname all credit goes to me!)
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  #24  
Old 04-23-2007, 10:52 PM
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hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
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we are far, far away from the title subject. just enjoy the ride.
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  #25  
Old 04-23-2007, 10:54 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Antitrust32
So to be a wise guy horse you are not allowed to win preps?
yes, what has this horse but run a good second at Tampa Bay.

I am not saying he can't win, but he hasn't beat a race. I personally like horses that show me they can win a race, sometime in their life to bet to win

To address Pat, yes, and I am backing it up, The night before the Derby they allow pre betting and good ole Scav is going up there and putting $100 across on CQ, and putting him in all three spots of the tri with 10 horses (10x9x1,1x10x9, 10x1x9) so I am spending $570 on him alone, plus pick threes which I will play day of, and I will probably use 5 horses in the Derby with CQ being one of them. Don't care what the odds, they could be 5/1 and I would still play it
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  #26  
Old 04-23-2007, 10:56 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Antitrust32
If you are allowed to win preps my wise guy horse is


smack diddy (new nickname all credit goes to me!)
How is he 'a wise guy'? the whole country is going to have that horse.

Definition of a 'wise guy' is someone who thinks they have more knowledge of something, and is a smart ass about it.

the horse can't be considered a public horse, which they most often do on Derby Day because everyone wants to play the wise guy horse
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  #27  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:03 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Even though I will be betting him Any Given Saturday is likely the wise guy horse. Zanjero could be another but I have a tough time seeing him go off at less than 20-1 and can't really see a horse termed a wise guy horse that goes off at higher odds than that.
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  #28  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:05 PM
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hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
How is he 'a wise guy'? the whole country is going to have that horse.

Definition of a 'wise guy' is someone who thinks they have more knowledge of something, and is a smart ass about it.

the horse can't be considered a public horse, which they most often do on Derby Day because everyone wants to play the wise guy horse
this is better than enough beers to make homer simpson suggest i hit an aa meeting, a tab of acid, and spinning around in a circle 12 times.
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  #29  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:09 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
yes, what has this horse but run a good second at Tampa Bay.

I am not saying he can't win, but he hasn't beat a race. I personally like horses that show me they can win a race, sometime in their life to bet to win

To address Pat, yes, and I am backing it up, The night before the Derby they allow pre betting and good ole Scav is going up there and putting $100 across on CQ, and putting him in all three spots of the tri with 10 horses (10x9x1,1x10x9, 10x1x9) so I am spending $570 on him alone, plus pick threes which I will play day of, and I will probably use 5 horses in the Derby with CQ being one of them. Don't care what the odds, they could be 5/1 and I would still play it
You sir, are a brave man.
Guess I may have to pull for him if you are going to do that.
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  #30  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:14 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
You sir, are a brave man.
Guess I may have to pull for him if you are going to do that.
This following work will tell me everything I need to know, and what Haskin has to say about him. I am just not going to let a horse like this go off at 10 or 12/1 when he has the most talent in the race, bar none.
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  #31  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:17 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
More talented than Curlin? Street Sense?
yes....While Curlin has been impressive he hasn't run with the big boys yet. Now, people are going to throw Smarty over on me but he beat some horses in NY that year that were decent so I don't include him.

I personally would be surprised if Curlin finished above 7th place
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  #32  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:21 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
This following work will tell me everything I need to know, and what Haskin has to say about him. I am just not going to let a horse like this go off at 10 or 12/1 when he has the most talent in the race, bar none.
Scavs my man he has got to have the race set up. If these horses get really strung out he is going to have a devil of a time passing one after another after another. Ya gotta hope there is a large pack of dead horses running together and the front runners pressing each other hard.
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  #33  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:27 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
Scavs my man he has got to have the race set up. If these horses get really strung out he is going to have a devil of a time passing one after another after another. Ya gotta hope there is a large pack of dead horses running together and the front runners pressing each other hard.
He doesn't need it to set up, he has closed into soft fractions before. His turn of foot will put him into any race. I am far from worried about Pletcher having him ready. I will say this, WHEN CQ wins the Derby, he will NOT win the Preakness, maybe not even run in the race. Races take too much out of him to come back in 13 days.
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  #34  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:28 PM
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hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
This following work will tell me everything I need to know, and what Haskin has to say about him. I am just not going to let a horse like this go off at 10 or 12/1 when he has the most talent in the race, bar none.
"and what Haskin has to say about him"

he's dappled and and strong on the rein? he says that about everyone.

i don't think you'll find a quote on 5 horses in the derby that doesn't include one of these.
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  #35  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:32 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
He doesn't need it to set up, he has closed into soft fractions before. His turn of foot will put him into any race. I am far from worried about Pletcher having him ready. I will say this, WHEN CQ wins the Derby, he will NOT win the Preakness, maybe not even run in the race. Races take too much out of him to come back in 13 days.
Scavs I really believe if he has to pass 3 here, 2 there, 3 more covering the rail and wider..., he is not going to get up. There are so many horses.

Huge set of gonads Scavs. But nobody can accuse you of holding back.
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  #36  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:34 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
He doesn't need it to set up, he has closed into soft fractions before. His turn of foot will put him into any race. I am far from worried about Pletcher having him ready. I will say this, WHEN CQ wins the Derby, he will NOT win the Preakness, maybe not even run in the race. Races take too much out of him to come back in 13 days.
There is always some moron that will go fast in the Derby, I have no issues with getting War Emblem'ed or even going down in flames with CQ. It will take alot to change my mind. Everyone forgets that he has run well at CD, something that should never be overlooked. Which is why I like Zanjero also, I am actually considering a $25 or $50 exacta box with those two.

i think this years Derby is pretty clear cut, i am just waiting for final TG figures to come out, if I had to tout five horses right now they would be

Circular Quay
Zanjero
Street Sense
Scat Daddy
Hard Spun/AGS/Liquidity

Curlin = to the moon
Nobiz = style will hurt him and I refuse to bet Albert the Great progeny
Great Hunter = slow
Stormello = Give this horse to Pletcher and he wins the Derby by 10 lengths
Dominican = will use in the tri but dirt form sucks
Tiago = come on
Rattown Cat = COME ON TWO
Storm in may = thanks for the free table on Derby Day
Slew's Tizzy = can't win but might pull a closing argument and stay around alot longer then should
Xchanger = have no idea who this horse is
cobalt Blue = Come on THREE
Sam P = COME ON FOUR
Sedgefield = COME ON FIVE BIZILLION
T'berg = no comment
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  #37  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:35 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
There is always some moron that will go fast in the Derby, I have no issues with getting War Emblem'ed or even going down in flames with CQ. It will take alot to change my mind. Everyone forgets that he has run well at CD, something that should never be overlooked. Which is why I like Zanjero also, I am actually considering a $25 or $50 exacta box with those two.

i think this years Derby is pretty clear cut, i am just waiting for final TG figures to come out, if I had to tout five horses right now they would be

Circular Quay
Zanjero
Street Sense
Scat Daddy
Hard Spun/AGS/Liquidity

Curlin = to the moon
Nobiz = style will hurt him and I refuse to bet Albert the Great progeny
Great Hunter = slow
Stormello = Give this horse to Pletcher and he wins the Derby by 10 lengths
Dominican = will use in the tri but dirt form sucks
Tiago = come on
Rattown Cat = COME ON TWO
Storm in may = thanks for the free table on Derby Day
Slew's Tizzy = can't win but might pull a closing argument and stay around alot longer then should
Xchanger = have no idea who this horse is
cobalt Blue = Come on THREE
Sam P = COME ON FOUR
Sedgefield = COME ON FIVE BIZILLION
T'berg = no comment
so fired up I am quote myself when I meant to quote Pat
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  #38  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:37 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
Scavs I really believe if he has to pass 3 here, 2 there, 3 more covering the rail and wider..., he is not going to get up. There are so many horses.

Huge set of gonads Scavs. But nobody can accuse you of holding back.
Pat, I want you to watch how he just ENGULFS fields, it doesn't matter how many he has to pass, as long as JV times that ride right, and keeps him straight and his lungs hold, hello winner circle
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  #39  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:38 PM
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PPerfectfan PPerfectfan is offline
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Well I know everyone posted there thoughts so her goes mine. I think Dominican is gonna be the "wiseguy" horse. And I hope he proves me right, cause I will admit, that damned Point Determined got me.
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Me and PP at Lanes End
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  #40  
Old 04-23-2007, 11:40 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
Pat, I want you to watch how he just ENGULFS fields, it doesn't matter how many he has to pass, as long as JV times that ride right, and keeps him straight and his lungs hold, hello winner circle
come on man, put down the bong.
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