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  #21  
Old 06-30-2006, 10:58 PM
Ruffian2 Ruffian2 is offline
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But... you haven't answered my question! Will you...or won't you? Or...are you just too chicken to make a deal with...a woman?
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  #22  
Old 06-30-2006, 11:07 PM
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Independent George Independent George is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bold Brooklynite
There are always the unknown factors of a different track ... shipping ... first stakes race of the year ... etc. etc. etc. ... but ...

... if this race were run at Belmont ... I guarantee you he'd win it.

Take that for what it's worth.

hhhhmmmmmm, about 5 cents, tops.
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  #23  
Old 06-30-2006, 11:59 PM
1st_Saturday_in_May 1st_Saturday_in_May is offline
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I understand your point BoldBrook, but I look at it like this. Siphon City (pp3), Master Command (pp9), Courthouse (pp10), and Alumni Hall (pp11) do their best running from on or just off the lead. That means, BEST CASE SCENARIO, he is three wide around the first turn but more likely four wide. How many horses win when they are four wide around the first turn in a 9f race? Practically none. And lets say that he is able to weather the frontrunners and finds himself alone atop the lane...then he has to hold off Gouldings Green, Congrats, Real Dandy and Good Reward who will be moving late. He's not receiving enough weight - no more than 5lbs from anyone to make a huge difference and I respect your backing of this horse but his race is likely over before the gate opens.
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  #24  
Old 07-01-2006, 12:46 AM
Cunningham Racing
 
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MAYAN KING actually has a big chance in this race and 15-1 ML is just ridiculous....I think he definately factors after getting in lite and appearing to be sitting on a big race on the stretch to around two-turns...GOULDINGS GREEN has a lot of quality and fits in any Gr. II in the country...if he can get clear running from the rail he will factor....the only other horse I personally think can win is GOOD REWARD on the outside...he has a ton of backclass and is actually bred to be better on dirt than on turf - where he's made his nut....I think he runs big in here, but i still find myself turning to Mayan King when it comes down to value...Also, if Alumni Hall takes to Palm Meadows than he can certainly factor here...he is a weird horse that only runs big on certain tracks but there is nothing that says he won't take a liking to that oval...beware..

(1) Mayan King
(2) Gouldings Green
(3) Good Reward
(4) Alumni Hall
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  #25  
Old 07-01-2006, 07:10 AM
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TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
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Mr. Mahgninnuc,

Call me dyslectic, but I see it:
1: Alumni Hall
2: Good Reward
3: Goulding Green
4: Mayan King

You guys really know how to hype a horse with the King. With all that you say he surely has not been tested against these tough of horses, is shipping accross the world, and has a pace challenge.

Still opinions are like a**holes, everyone has one.
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  #26  
Old 07-01-2006, 11:06 AM
Bold Brooklynite
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 1st_Saturday_in_May
I understand your point BoldBrook, but I look at it like this. Siphon City (pp3), Master Command (pp9), Courthouse (pp10), and Alumni Hall (pp11) do their best running from on or just off the lead. That means, BEST CASE SCENARIO, he is three wide around the first turn but more likely four wide.
How did anyone get the impression that Mayan King is a frontrunner?

He's not at all a sprinter or even a miler ... he's a stalking classic distance horse who is just crying out for two turns and 10f ... though this race is only 9f.

He ran on the front end in his last start because he's rounding into peak form and was very sharp in a field which lacked real speed. Granted Post 12 is not a good place to start from ... but there's nearly 3/16 from the starting gate to the turn ... and Mike Luzzi didn't just fall off a turnip truck ... so I wouldn't be too worried about going eight-wide.
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  #27  
Old 07-01-2006, 11:18 AM
jpops757 jpops757 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boldruler
He left NY because Rathor smoked him in his last race. You can't lose allowance races and be HOY.

After thinking about it, HOY will go to Bernardini, Barbaro, Lava Man or Flower Alley. Can't see anyone else with a shot.
Any talk about HOY has gotta have Surf Cat in the mix. The only thing holding this horse back is not shipping out of Calif.
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  #28  
Old 07-01-2006, 11:38 AM
Bold Brooklynite
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boldruler
You can't lose allowance races and be HOY.
Tell that to ... Whirlaway, Armed, Capot, Counterpoint, One Count, Kelso, Roman Brother, Arts And Letters, Personality, Secretariat, Conquistador Cielo, and Charismatic ...

... all of whom lost allowance races ... or even maiden races ... during their Horse-Of-The-Year campaigns.
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  #29  
Old 07-01-2006, 04:10 PM
Ruffian2 Ruffian2 is offline
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Still ignoring me, eh, Bold??
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  #30  
Old 07-01-2006, 05:33 PM
Bold Brooklynite
 
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I just saw the past performances for this race ...

... and Mayan King has the highest Beyer rating ... tied with Master Command ... so ...

... where is all this skepticism coming from?

Also ... I didn't realize that Prairie Meadows racing is at night. Yikes! It'll be midnight in New York by the time this race is run. Shipping ... post 12 ...screws in the ankle ... no decent Italian food ... and now a midnight post time ... Mayan King will have to be outstanding to overcome all this ...

... but fortunately ... he is.
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  #31  
Old 07-01-2006, 05:53 PM
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my miss storm cat my miss storm cat is offline
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Yeah but can he beat Three Hour Nap?
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  #32  
Old 07-01-2006, 05:56 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bold Brooklynite
I didn't realize that Prairie Meadows racing is at night. Yikes! It'll be midnight in New York by the time this race is run. Shipping ... post 12 ...screws in the ankle ... no decent Italian food

BB,

I should have let Contessa know... "Sam and Gabe's".. A very good Italian Steakhouse in Des Moines. Kind of a Gene and Georgetti's (Chicago)..

You've likely not been to Des Moines.. You'd be very surprised. It's a pretty sophisticated town.. A small version of Kansas City basically.
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  #33  
Old 07-01-2006, 06:09 PM
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Pedigree Ann Pedigree Ann is offline
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Does the fact that Rathor and Noble Causeway were totally buried in the Suburban make any difference to your analysis of this race?
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  #34  
Old 07-01-2006, 06:38 PM
Ruffian2 Ruffian2 is offline
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I could swear Bold is ignorning me.............
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  #35  
Old 07-01-2006, 06:48 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
BB,

I should have let Contessa know... "Sam and Gabe's".. A very good Italian Steakhouse in Des Moines. Kind of a Gene and Georgetti's (Chicago)..

You've likely not been to Des Moines.. You'd be very surprised. It's a pretty sophisticated town.. A small version of Kansas City basically.
Were you being sarcastic? Being a small version of Kansas City does not make you a sophisticated town. Kansas City is about as sophisticated as a 3-legged goat.
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  #36  
Old 07-01-2006, 06:55 PM
Cunningham Racing
 
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Rathor sure didn't flatter Mayan King in the Suburban, buit this is an easier group and I'm still going to go with Mayan King at 10-1 or better...he is the value here....Rathor didn't enjoy a good trip either....what the hell was he doing towards the rear in a race with a slow pace...weird....he certainly wasn't ready for a top effort today if he was that disinterested early on in the race.....I went with Dutrow and he just grinded along...Invasor was the best, hands down...
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  #37  
Old 07-01-2006, 06:56 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
Were you being sarcastic? Being a small version of Kansas City does not make you a sophisticated town. Kansas City is about as sophisticated as a 3-legged goat.

You can't know Kansas City that well to say that Mira.. I lived in Kansas City for 2 years.. Worked on and off in Chicago since 1983.. I'll give you Chicago over KC downtown, etc.. But beyond the "city", I'll take KC (The Plaza, et al) and its' 'livableness' over "Chicagoland" any time... And Des Moines is a spotlessly clean, friendly, wealthy small city...
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  #38  
Old 07-01-2006, 07:45 PM
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PSH PSH is offline
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Default Bold Brooklyn

Bold:

Have placed a small win and place bet.....
How do you get your info?
Are you privy to Gary Contessa and his stable as far as info?
Or, are you just handicapping the race like everyone else?

Best of Luck,

PSH
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  #39  
Old 07-01-2006, 08:20 PM
Bold Brooklynite
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
BB,

I should have let Contessa know... "Sam and Gabe's".. A very good Italian Steakhouse in Des Moines. Kind of a Gene and Georgetti's (Chicago)..

You've likely not been to Des Moines.. You'd be very surprised. It's a pretty sophisticated town.. A small version of Kansas City basically.
I travelled frequently to Nevada, Iowa ... just outside Ames ... in the early 1970's.

They were in-and-out business trips ... buzzing through the Des Moines airport many times ... but never saw the town.

I advised Gary to pack his own pasta and biscotti ... and I wouldn't be surprised if he did!

After seeing today's Suburban ... I think Gary made a mistake by not staying home. But the ladies in Iowa are probably thrilled to have Keith Partridge visit them.
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  #40  
Old 07-01-2006, 08:24 PM
Bold Brooklynite
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
Does the fact that Rathor and Noble Causeway were totally buried in the Suburban make any difference to your analysis of this race?
No ... because neither is a 10f horse.

Both would have been competitive at 8f ... possibly with Rathor defeating Invasor ... but 10f is way beyond their scopes.

On the other hand ... Mayan King is a true classic distance horse ... and when he's had a couple of graded-stakes under his belt ... and stays sound d.v. ... I think he can handle Invasor at 10f.
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