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  #1  
Old 06-14-2007, 08:19 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 6/14: Belmont ($47k Carryover)

Maddening miss in the late P4/P3 yesterday after starting out with $60.00 winner in the 6th.. Nice exotics score in the 7th made the day OK, but P4 brought back $2,000+.. Failure to get Loconia (P4 single) or Silver Timber (P3 inclusion) home in tricky 8th the death knell... Argh.. Carryover Thursday with mundane card on tap..


BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3)

1. #6 Fiddlers Warrior 2-1: 10x Contessa loser better last T2D, 1st for tag.. 2nd
2. #8 Ferdi's Prince 5-2: Violette strong 2nd st., on stretch, off breaks.. 3rd
A. #2 Turf Only 12-1: Paraneck on schneid; 4yo returns to taggers.. 4th
B. #4 SCRATCHED SUB: #3 Snuff Box 10-1 WON

$1 EX: $48.50
$1 TRI: $129.50



5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Grand Slam, P3)

1. #8 Tizzy's Jazz 5-1: Tiznow bay best efforts came turfing; Gets Edgar.. 4th
2. #5 SCRATCHED
A. #1e Contessa entry 4-1: 1a Runaway Star looks mildly appealing.. 3rd
B. #7 Pecunia 6-1: Reynolds FL claim a threat with return to best.. WON


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, DD, Super)

1. #4 For Gill 3-1: Maintaining form for Contessa and hot Winning Move team.. 6th
2. #6 Rob's Boy Mat 9-2: Square price on dropper with winning races in PP's.. 3rd
A. #9 Sir Jackie 4-1: Another of the Florida buys from Reynolds-Pompa.. WON
B. #2 Mighty Gulch 7-2: Likely loses Dutrow 'edge' off claim, but compelled to include.. 5th


7th: CLM, 4+, 7f-T (P3, Super)

Super tough elongated turf sprint.. Make or break here in multis..

1. #2 SCRATCHED
2. #1 Bon Marie 12-1: Has scored this odd trip; Needs voyage from tough post.. WON
A. #8 Thunder Anees 30-1: Crazy ML value on 5yo pointing to good effort.. 9th
B. #10 Storm Boot Gold 5-1: Always scared to leave this knocker off tix.. 8th

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #12 Pulpiteer 20-1: Returns to price of acquisition.. 6th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

1. #1 Dixie Dawn 7-5: Simply taking Coa over Bracetty in odd group.. 5th
2. #2 Just Starting 8-5: Note tag and need for weight allocation on winner in 4 of last 6.. 3rd
3. #5 Karakorum Starlet 6-1: Very nice Skip Away daughter excels at BEL.. 2nd


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (Super)

As usual, a rough way to finish.. Bad bunch o' coconuts here..

1. #6 Giggi's Baby 7-2 4th
2. #3 Siempre Verdi 8-1 3rd
A. #10 Two Regal 6-1 2nd
B. #11 Alchera 6-1 6th

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #2 Gypsy Gale 20-1 7th


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 2-6-8
5: 1e-8
6: 4-6
7: 1-8
8: 1
9: 3-6

3x2x2x2x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


@$50 P4/@$25 P3 Plays:

6: 4-6
7: 1-8-10-11-12
8: 1-2
9: 2-3-6

4: 2x5x2x3 = $60
3: 5x2x3 = $30


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-15-2007 at 06:45 AM.
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  #2  
Old 06-14-2007, 11:31 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Considerable key scratches including Mr. Guggenheim (4th); Whole Emblem (5th)' Forward Move (7th)...

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 06-14-2007, 11:45 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Considerable key scratches including Mr. Guggenheim (4th); Whole Emblem (5th)' Forward Move (7th)...

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

Might be the most ridiculous series of scratches ever.

The puzzle to all those races was completely changed. If the cards stay like this until Saratoga it's going to be a very boring six weeks.
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  #4  
Old 06-14-2007, 12:00 PM
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Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
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Steve...any thoughts on the #8 Panicking Petunia in the 9th from your friend Del Carroll? Looks like a "flyer" here with the 6 & 5 to beat.
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  #5  
Old 06-14-2007, 12:47 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cmfhb411
I don't need a graded stake, every other day to enjoy playing Belmont. But it doesn't help the remainder of the meet, when as many stakes as possible are crammed into the second weekend of June.

Good to know.

When exactly did I say I was particularly interested in Graded stakes? Not that it's relevant but I rarely bet Graded stakes.

The day to day racing at Belmont was pretty good at the start of the meet but has been decidedly subpar since Memorial Day and specifically bad the last three racing days.
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  #6  
Old 06-14-2007, 01:08 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Good to know.

When exactly did I say I was particularly interested in Graded stakes? Not that it's relevant but I rarely bet Graded stakes.

The day to day racing at Belmont was pretty good at the start of the meet but has been decidedly subpar since Memorial Day and specifically bad the last three racing days.
what are the reasons for not betting graded stakes, if U don't mind me asking? More $$ in the pools should equal more overlays, esp. when horses like perfict drift run and eliminate the takeout.
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  #7  
Old 06-14-2007, 01:08 PM
-BT- -BT- is offline
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R6) Rob's Boy Matt: this horse is gonna make or break me, b/c im leaving him off my ticket today. Previous win came against same conditions but he was pretty much a gate to wire winner. A pretty good amount of speed in this race, and i don't see him getting an uncontested lead even if he does make it to the front end. His last 3 races leave something to be desired, and though he's making a pretty good drop down to a competitive level i still can't put him on the win ticket

going to use the "Johnny Obvious" selections: 9-4/ possible 2 if speed is holding today

gl all

-bt-
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  #8  
Old 06-14-2007, 01:16 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Posts: 7,440
Default P6 play

R4) 6,8
R5) 1,8
R6) 2,4,6
R7) 5
R8) 1,2
R9) 5,6

96 bucks
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  #9  
Old 06-14-2007, 01:29 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
what are the reasons for not betting graded stakes, if U don't mind me asking? More $$ in the pools should equal more overlays, esp. when horses like perfict drift run and eliminate the takeout.
The races tend to be more formful and overall probably present me with less of the kind of betting opportunities I am looking for.
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  #10  
Old 06-14-2007, 01:45 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Good to know.

When exactly did I say I was particularly interested in Graded stakes? Not that it's relevant but I rarely bet Graded stakes.

The day to day racing at Belmont was pretty good at the start of the meet but has been decidedly subpar since Memorial Day and specifically bad the last three racing days.
Is it usually OK for Suburban day?
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  #11  
Old 06-14-2007, 02:18 PM
-BT- -BT- is offline
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PK6

68
18
49 (left out the speed, might come back to haunt me)
15 11
1
569 = $144

Saver PK6 since i own a small piece of the #3 Snuff Box

3
18
9
5 11
1
569 = $24

gl all

-bt-
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  #12  
Old 06-14-2007, 02:51 PM
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SentToStud SentToStud is offline
Arlington Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by -BT-
PK6

68
18
49 (left out the speed, might come back to haunt me)
15 11
1
569 = $144

Saver PK6 since i own a small piece of the #3 Snuff Box

3
18
9
5 11
1
569 = $24

gl all

-bt-
Congrats on your win.... Big price to boot!
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  #13  
Old 06-14-2007, 03:29 PM
-BT- -BT- is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
Congrats on your win.... Big price to boot!

thanks, wish i took all my pk6 investments and used him on the win ticket

what looked like the the easier portions of the pk6 turned out to be a nightmare, gl to those still alive


late pk4
249
15 11
15
569 = $54

-bt-
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  #14  
Old 06-14-2007, 04:12 PM
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Rootdog1 Rootdog1 is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The races tend to be more formful and overall probably present me with less of the kind of betting opportunities I am looking for.
This is exactly how I feel, you look through the form and you know who is gonna be close at the wire. Rarely can you find a nugget in a Grade 1, but that 25k claimer on a Wed....you might find a nugget that others miss.
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  #15  
Old 06-14-2007, 05:01 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Musical Melody is extremely live in the last race for an outfit that rarely takes much money.
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  #16  
Old 06-14-2007, 05:17 PM
-BT- -BT- is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
Steve...any thoughts on the #8 Panicking Petunia in the 9th from your friend Del Carroll? Looks like a "flyer" here with the 6 & 5 to beat.

nice call!

not sure if i want to put myself through another C/O day tomorrow, today hurt a lot

-bt-
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