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#21
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"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts |
#22
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#23
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Your constantly referring to horseplayers as gamblers would be insulting if we didn't consider the source. I understand it somehow justifies your lack of involvement in this game to make that theoretically insulting reference, as somehow it places you above others, when in fact all it does is expose you as being petty. However, having said that, you also demean yourself further by failing to recognize that a serious student of this game can identify when horses perform in extraordinary and, at least somewhat, inexplicable ways. Now, all of us also know that many things are possible, and hardly cry foul every time a horse runs out of its skin, however, when we see the same trainers ( and, no, I'm not naming names ) doing it repeatedly, with different horses, we see a pattern and are hardly jumping to any conclusions to be suspicious. Believe it or not, many of us also benefit financially in these situations, however that doesn't stop us from also being suspicious. In fact, it are those very suspicions that lead us to these sometimes scores. Sorry to inform you, but it's not all sour grapes by losing horseplayers, but quite often cries for reform in an industry that we love, devote a great deal of our lives to, and support financially. I realize these are not concerns of yours, and that is fine, but do yourself a favor and stop lowering yourself to a level of insulting those of us that do.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#24
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Marty Wolfson sounds like a nice guy. I think it's very generous of him to invite Beyer to see "some of the treatments we give, legally, that can improve a horse." My point was that Pletcher and Mott must obviously be unaware of these great treatments Marty is legally doing....as he has quite magically transformed horses from them - and other competent and respected trainers - into classy stake horses. |
#25
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![]() "There are some frauds so well conducted that it would be stupidity not to be deceived by them."
Charles Caleb Colton |
#26
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#27
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![]() Here we go.
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#28
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In the interest of full disclosure, I thought I would point out the second of your five posts on this board ( two of which are in off topic ).....I was particular excited to see it was in a " Happy Birthday " thread....one for Riot in case anyone is confused. Quote:
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#29
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Did you ever see Miesques Approval in the paddock before the BC, Sunshine Millions, or one of the other stakes races he won? I mean see him up close? Put it this way, it reminded me of when Hulk Hogan played the character Thunderlips in Rocky III....took that robe off....you get the picture. Not to mention he was completely undone...I have never seen a horse act as insane as M.A.
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"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'." |
#30
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You might look at my posts from the past, where I've posted here when he was signed on, and my post showed up under his signon, and I've corrected it and posted it those were my words? (not Mike's) And yeah, he's right to be pissed at your ignorant comments and too bad he didn't type what I heard him say out loud. I've been a fan of this sport for a long, long time, and I certainly push enough money through the windows to have a very vested interest. I see the same situations everyone else does. That I dare to interpret them differently than you do, or even how many people here do - based upon my own knowledge, contacts and experience - well, get over it. You're free to keep commenting. I don't get insulted to be called a gambler. You shouldn't be, either. (checking three times to make sure I am signed on under my own account)
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"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts |
#31
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#32
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![]() someone once said that if you told them they were cheating - 60,000 people would line up to try and figure out with who.
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ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ |
#33
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#34
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![]() Here's a sampling of some of the major recent Wolfson form reversals involving both his horses and himself.
* Here's the form of It's a Birds back when Todd Pletcher trained him. He ran away with last weekends $1 million Sunshine Million Classic for Wolfson. ![]() As you can see ... the horse was pretty much non-competitive in small field allowance races and minor stakes. Pletcher tried him on all three different forms of surfaces and wasn't getting much from him. * Here's the form of Ikigai, Rockerfeller, and Misque's Approval. Ikigai dominated a Graded Stake at GP two Saturday's ago running a 113 Beyer. As you can see - he was a faint-hearted maiden for Pletcher. He was actually entered in a maiden claiming turf sprint the first time Wolfson got him. Rockerfeller was a complete and utter bum with a 1-for-15 lifetime record before Wolfson got him. He consistantly ran Beyers in the 70's and had no talent at all. He was off the board in back-to-back N1X alw races at FG before being transformed into one of the nations best sprinters. the old guy Miesque's Approval had been off the board in back to back claiming races for Bill Mott before being transfered to Wolfson. Just two starts - and less than 3 months later - he took the Sunshine Million Turf at 49/1. Two races after that he upset Artie Schiller in the Makers Mark. He capped the year with a lopsided blowout win in the Breeders Cup Mile. ![]() It seems alarming that Wolfson is all of a sudden turning your typical maidens, claimers, and allowance horses into elite stake horses ... but what is far more troubling to me is the dramatic form reversal that Wolfson has made with his trainer profile and trainer stats. From a decade long span between 1996 through 2005 - Wolfson has year in and year out been very consistant. His win % was between 15-to-23% - and his yearly ROI had never once risen as high as $1.80 in any of those 10 years. Basically, the guy was just your solid 20% trainer who placed horses in spots they could win - but who's horses typically were overbet. From '96 to '05 he was 374-for-1,869 (20% wins) $1.54 ROI. Now, the same consistant guy who shows a 23% loss on the betting dollar over an entire decade - and never once raises his ROI as high as $1.80 for 10 straight years does the following.... 2006: 44-for-168 (26% wins) $2.89 ROI 2007: 52-for-191 (27% wins) $2.15 ROI 2008: 62-for-204 (30% wins) $1.98 ROI 2009: 4-for-23 (17% wins) $2.69 ROI From '06 to '09 he is 162-for-586 (27% wins) $2.32 ROI A solid seven percent spike in win percentage and an otherwordly $0.78 spike in ROI!! You ought not be a genius to see that something happened precisely between 2005 and 2006 that shifted Marty Wolfson from a solid dependable trainer into an absolute super trainer who's stable yields huge win percentages and spectacular profits from a betting standpoint. He's obviously one of the trainers out there who has a real edge right now. Is it something illegal? Who knows. Is it something detectable? .. who knows. It would be extremely irresponsible to pretend that he doesn't. |
#35
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![]() As I said before, one of the things I'll always regret is that I never got a chance to see what Wolfson could have turned Cigar and Theatrical into after getting them out of Mott's incapable hands.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine |
#36
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![]() this thread had not yet seen the light of day (so to speak) when i went to bed last night.
but i had read on drf where dutrow had gotten his panties in a wad over beyers article, and expected something would show here soon. i find it amusing that a guy with his track record regarding positives, overages, etc, would be soooo hurt and insulted that someone dared question any of his amazing results. why do you think it might be, mr. dutrow, that anyone would raise an eyebrow when one of your horses runs a lifetime best? i'm sure it's absolutely because the horse gained 50 pounds and had a dental appointment. sounds perfectly plausible to me. |
#37
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 01-30-2009 at 06:06 AM. |
#38
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BUT, we all have heard that certain things used in horses leads to sterility, sooo who knows? but there are a lot of big performing horses who did just fine in the shed.... |
#39
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![]() Looking at It's A Bird's TG sheet, the corresponding races for Pletcher, mostly on turf and synth, were three 5's, a 6, and a 7. His one race at Bay Meadows, his only dirt try, was a 9.
With Wolfson, all on Florida dirt, he has run 4, 3, three 1's, and a 2, not including Saturday's performance. All this improvement was accomplished at age 5. I have no problem with Wolfson's coming on Steve's show yesterday and defending himself, needless to say. It was his "blanket" defense of everyone else that I found questionable. Not to mention, he's the first person I have ever heard defend Scott Lake. The attitude that Beyer's column is bad for the game, and therefore should not have been written, is something I completely disagree with. This pervasive attitude of when something happens, deal with it quietly and then sweep it under the rug, is the absolute reason we are having this discussion NOW. |
#40
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |