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I remember earlier this year you told me POTN was the favorite for the Classic because of the surface. |
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#23
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You said Baffert would have him ready to fire a career best effort in the BCC. |
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#27
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Steve Crist posted on his blog today, "If Cowboy Cal and Court Vision are now the leading American hopes for the Breeders' Cup Mile, the europeans should sleep well tonight."
He posted again after the Goodwood, "They're not only sleeping well in Europe tonight, they're probably laughing. Gitano Hernando had been considered a more serious candidate for the $500k Marathon than the $5 million Classic, but today's result may make his connections, and several others, take a longer look at the Classic. Students of time, however, will note that Zenyatta's winning time of 1:42.89 for 8.5f was sharply inferior to Gitano Hernando's 1:48.39 for 9f in the Goodwood 35 minutes earlier." Look for the Europeans to be overflowing the entry box, which should make some of the races more difficult to handicap and less attractive for American bettors. Last edited by mbahadur : 10-11-2009 at 01:44 AM. |
#28
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Why? Because of Crist's comments?
All the Euros already realize how soft the BC races will be this year and plenty of them have been pointing here since last year's successful invasion. The races become far more intriguing as an American bettor with the Euros in partially because if you do your homework you'll have a huge edge on those you'll be sharing the pools with and subsequently because those who can't handicap Euro form will rely on the mostly weaker American contingent and skew the odds accordingly. |
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Forever Together seems to have lost a step this year.
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[quote=mbahadur]Steve Crist posted on his blog today, "If Cowboy Cal and Court Vision are now the leading American hopes for the Breeders' Cup Mile, the europeans should sleep well tonight."
He posted again after the Goodwood, "They're not only sleeping well in Europe tonight, they're probably laughing. Gitano Hernando had been considered a more serious candidate for the $500k Marathon than the $5 million Classic, but today's result may make his connections, and several others, take a longer look at the Classic. Students of time, however, will note that Zenyatta's winning time of 1:42.89 for 8.5f was sharply inferior to Gitano Hernando's 1:48.39 for 9f in the Goodwood 35 minutes earlier." If Goldakova is the heavy choice in the mile, I will have no problem at all trying to beat her with CC and CV. |
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#32
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i love that Steve calls it the Distaff still instead of Ladies Classic
__________________
You can buy my horse racing/gambling novel Southbound at Amazon, BN, or Powells or various bookstores. On twitter @BeemieAwards |
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$5 million Breeders' Cup Classic
Summer Bird (Ice) Gio Ponti (Clement) Rip Van Winkle (O'Brien) Mastercraftsman (O'Brien) Mine That Bird (Woolley) Einstein (Pitts-Blasi) Colonel John (Harty) Richard's Kid (Baffert) Zenyatta (Shirreffs) ** Quality Road (Pletcher) Gitano Hernando [Questionable] (Botti) $3 million Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Turf Conduit [Questionable/Doubtful] (Stoute) Spanish Moon (Stoute) Just as Well (Sheppard) Dar Re Mi (Gosden) Precious Passion (Hartman) Telling (Hobby) Times Gone By (Mandella) Spring House *Canani) Skyrush (Vienna ) $2 million Breeders' Cup Distaff Zenyatta (Shirreffs) ** Mushka (Mott) Proviso (Frankel) Music Note (bin Suroor) Cocoa Beach (bin Suroor) Life is Sweet (Shirreffs) Careless Jewel (J. Carroll) Rainbow View (Gosden) Miss Isella (Wilkes) $2 million TVG Breeders' Cup Mile Battle of Hastings (Mullins) Colonel John (Harty) Courageous Cat (Mott) Court Vision (Dutrow) Cowboy Cal (Pletcher) Delegator (Meehan) Famous Name (Weld) Ferneley (Cecil) Ghanaati (Hills) Global Hunter (Avila) Goldikova (Head) Karelian (Arnold) Jungle Wave (Attard) Justenuffhumor (McLaughlin) Lord Shanakill (Jarvis) Mastercraftsman (O'Brien) Mr. Sidney (Mott) Rendezvous (Hollendorfer) Skyrush (Vienna ) Sterwins (Pierce) Sweet Hearth (de Royer-Dupre) Veranar (de Royer-Dupre) Whatsthescript (Sadler) Zacinto (Stoute) $2 million Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Sprint Zensational (Baffert) Fatal Bullet (Baker) Capt. Candyman Can (Wilkes) Kodiak Kowboy (Asmussen) Gayego (bin Suroor) Cost of Freedom (Sadler) Square Eddie (O'Neill) Riley Tucker (Baffert) $2 million Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf Midday (Cecil) Pure Clan (Holthus) Magical Fantasy (Gallagher) Look Here (Beckett) Gozzip Girl (Albertrani) Shalanaya Dar Re Mi (Gosden) Forever Together (Sheppard) Ghanaati (Hills) Diamondrella (Penna) ** Criticism (Albertrani) Rutherriene (Clement) $2 million Grey Goose Breeders' Cup Juvenile Noble's Promise (McPeek) Aikenite (Pletcher) Lookin at Lucky (Baffert) D' Funnybone (R. Dutrow) Connemara Citrus Kid (Contessa) Bear Tough Guy (Baker) Backtalk (Amoss) Dublin (Lukas) Pulsion (Biancone) Gallant Gent (C. Lewis) Aspire (Kenneally) $2 million Grey Goose Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Negligee (Terranova) She Be Wild (Catalano) Blind Luck (Hollendorfer) Beautician (McPeek) Always a Princess (Baffert) Bickersons (Breen) Amen Hallelujah (R. Dutrow) Devil May Care (Pletcher) Biofuel (Baker) $1 million Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Pyro (bin Suroor) Mr. Sidney (Mott) ** Crown of Thorns (Mandella) Monzante (Mitchell) Quality Road (Pletcher) Girolamo (bin Suroor) Midshipman (bin Suroor) Tizway (Bond) Burley's Gold (Dutrow) Misremembered (Baffert) $1 million Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint Ventura (Frankel) Indian Blessing (Baffert) Sara Louise (bin Suroor) Seventh Street (bin Suroor) Informed Decision (Sheppard) Evita Argentina (Sadler) Diamondrella (Penna) ** Game Face (Pletcher) $1 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Pounced (Gosden) Bridgetown (McPeek) Interactif (Pletcher) Al Zir (bin Suroor) Buzzword (bin Suroor) Viscount Nelson (O'Brien) Eskendereya (Pletcher) Codoy (Hubley) $1 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf Smart Seattle (Motion) Whydah (Pletcher) Bay to Bay (Lynch) [Would need to supplement] Termagant (?) Hibaayeb (Brittain) House of Grace (McPeek) Tapitsfly (Romans) You'll Be Mine (O'Brien) Jungletale (Asmussen) $1 million Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint California Flag (Koriner) Desert Code (Hofmans) Fleeting Spirit (Noseda) True to Tradition (Lake) Diamondrella (Penna) ** Silver Timber (C. Brown) Mr. Nightlinger (Calhoun) Cabnnonball (Ward) Noble Court (Sadler) Chamberlain Bridge (Calhoun) $500,000 Breeders' Cup Marathon Rising Moon (R. Dutrow) Nite Light (Pletcher) Muhannak (?) Septimus *O'Brien) Schiaparelli (bin Suroor) Mastery (bin Suroor) Father Time (Cecil) Askat Tau (Tregoing) Geordieland (Osbourne)
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#36
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I love the other Stoute horse in the turf if Conduit is doubtful.
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#37
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Thanks Steve. This is getting very interesting as we get closer to the big day.
One question, have you heard that Hero's Reward (not on your list) is not going to run in the BC Turf Sprint? He is entered in Saturday's prep race in Canada along with Chamberlain Bridge, who I noticed you have on this list. I remember Hero's Reward had trouble in last year's BC race (down the hill) but was prominent in the stretch. |
#38
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Geordieland out of the Marathon... Gladiatorus to the MIle.
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Great job Steve.....Looking forward to the pre-entries on the 26th
Last edited by Scav : 10-15-2009 at 01:00 PM. |
#40
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And with Kodiak Kowboy questionable, this is the worst sprint field in years. I think Midnight Lute could come out of retirement tomorrow and easily beat this field. |