A question for all of you planning to bet Sidney's Candy

[chucklestheclown]

I don't think he can overcome the post.

[kgar311]

Ill book all win bets on this piece and ill give 10-1, who wants some?????

[richard burch]

he has to be as good as big brown was to win from post 20. is he?

if you look at his pps, he needs to be in 1st going into that first turn or he's done. so i hope everyone bets on him so i can reap the rewards.

add to it that he has never raced on dirt.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by kgar311

Ill book all win bets on this piece and ill give 10-1, who wants some?????

I'll take $10 bucks worth. Do you have paypal ?

[kgar311]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

I'll take $10 bucks worth. Do you have paypal ?

yep

[Port Conway Lane]

Great, done deal. Send me the $100 and if he loses I'll send you back $112.50 to cover your paypal takeout.

[kgar311]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

Great, done deal. Send me the $100 and if he loses I'll send you back $112.50 to cover your paypal takeout.

I think I would be more comfortable if you gave me the 10 first. Im not sending you a hundred bucks, I don't know you. Ill tell you what, im a man of my word, if you just want to do a cyber handshake we got ourselves a deal. My hands extended.

[kgar311]

And if this thing wins money will be in your paypal my first access to a comp.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by kgar311

I think I would be more comfortable if you gave me the 10 first. Im not sending you a hundred bucks, I don't know you. Ill tell you what, im a man of my word, if you just want to do a cyber handshake we got ourselves a deal. My hands extended.

Ok against my better judgement I'll make the bet. Cyber handshake.

[kgar311]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

Ok against my better judgement I'll make the bet. Cyber handshake.

Deal, hey and I may have fibbed about the money going in right on Sat night, I haven't used my paypal in a while and just checked it out, it says 3-5 business days to fund my account from my bank account so it may take a few days to go through. If you still want in let me know. If so PM me your email associated with the account and ill send you mine

[Port Conway Lane]

No problem. My checkcard should be an instant transfer. Wait until the race is run then we'll exchange.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by richard burch

he has to be as good as big brown was to win from post 20.

No he doesn't.

Originally Posted by richard burch

if you look at his pps, he needs to be in 1st going into that first turn or he's done.

You can't really think it's that black and white.

Originally Posted by richard burch

add to it that he has never raced on dirt.

That's been more of a positive angle than a negative one in this year's Derby preps.

[slotdirt]

I'm coming around to Sidney's Candy. Every year after 2007, I tell myself that I'm not going to get suckered into betting horses who prep on poly, but after the way Line of David ran in Arkansas, and even Lookin at Lucky in the Rebel, I dont' see any reason why Sidney's Candy can't win this thing. He's way more likely than 75 percent of the field.

[tector]

A sealed race track--IF that is what he gets--may suit him.

[slotdirt]

BTW, ateam - I think it might be time to resurrect this blog.

[NTamm1215]

I'm loving how many people are getting onto Sidney's Candy. I'll be here to eat a big pile of crow if he loses.

NT

[ranger5830]

If you like Sidney's Candy , I would recommend watching the 2nd race at Santa Anita on 12/30/09, Sidney missed the break, tried to rate behind the leaders, made a 3-wide menacing move on the turn and flattened out. If he can't rate successfully at 3-5 in a 6 furlong race it's hard to imagine him doing it successfully at 1 1/4 miles from the extreme outside post. He just hasn't shown a willingness to pass horses.

[CSC]

From a pedigree standpoint, there's enough precedent set from Candy Ride's offspring to guess he will like the dirt being he is also out of a Storm Cat mare. From a value, running style and 1st time dirt point of view, how low is low on him?

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

BTW, ateam - I think it might be time to resurrect this blog.

I just thought about it the other day but it's too late. Maybe after the Derby.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I'm loving how many people are getting onto Sidney's Candy. I'll be here to eat a big pile of crow if he loses.

NT

Why would you eat crow if he loses ?