Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > The Steve Dellinger Discourse Den
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-18-2012, 05:04 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
Default Gallup: Romney 52% Obama 45%

According to the latest Gallup poll, Romney has opened up a commanding lead. This is the best poll yet for Romney. I am somewhat skeptical because the betting lines still have Obama as a solid favorite.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/el...ma-romney.aspx

Real Clear Politics is now showing Romney taking his first lead in the electoral college.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-18-2012, 08:13 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
Default

A new poll just came out showing that Romney is leading Pennsylvania.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/poll-s...3#.UICahG_A-Qx
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-18-2012, 10:10 PM
geeker2's Avatar
geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,235
Default

The fat lady is clearing her voice.
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-18-2012, 10:43 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,102
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by geeker2 View Post
The fat lady is clearing her voice.
I wouldn't go that far. As I said before, all the betting places still have Obama as a solid favorite. In addition, there are other polls that still show Obama leading.

I think it will be a very close race.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-19-2012, 04:43 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by geeker2 View Post
The fat lady is clearing her voice.
Loads of free money waiting for you at Intrade. Mortgage the house and go all in.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-19-2012, 08:40 AM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Obama is finished. Feel free to play the game if you'd like. Throw a few quid down on Obama if you're sure.

But me? I've seen too many robberies the past few years to justify putting my quid on the line for two as.sholes.

Don't care either way. The decline continues with either of them.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-19-2012, 09:00 AM
geeker2's Avatar
geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,235
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
Loads of free money waiting for you at Intrade. Mortgage the house and go all in.

Saving my cash for Maylan Studart on the turf.
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-19-2012, 09:10 AM
MaTH716's Avatar
MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Jersey
Posts: 11,438
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by geeker2 View Post
Saving my cash for Maylan Studart on the turf.
What, is she going to start stripping on it?
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-19-2012, 06:58 PM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

^^Optimal report

Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-19-2012, 07:14 PM
hi_im_god's Avatar
hi_im_god hi_im_god is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 4,043
Default

i was just saying there was a way to make money regardless of the result.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 10-20-2012, 08:09 PM
Riot's Avatar
Riot Riot is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 14,153
Default

I hope every conservative here strongly goes all-in on the premise that Mitt Romney will be the next president of the United States
__________________
"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 10-20-2012, 09:39 PM
geeker2's Avatar
geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,235
Default

Fat lady doing scales......
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 10-22-2012, 08:29 AM
joeydb's Avatar
joeydb joeydb is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Southeastern PA
Posts: 3,044
Default

The election's not here yet, so would never assume one side or the other is "done".

However, it is supposedly unprecedented that a candidate with an over 50% score in the Gallup poll with less than 3 weeks to go (when the poll was first taken) would lose. That does not of course mean that it can't happen. But it has not happened yet.

What no one knows is how fast or slow a poll can rise or fall. Hundreds of millions of voters making individual decisions are of course independent from each other. But treated as a population and evaluated with correlative statistics, it is apparently unlikely that the poll would change that fast.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:59 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.