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#21
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![]() I think this will cause more breakdowns as the trainer
will tell the jock make sure you don't lose by 25. Many times you see the jock give up when the horse doesn't have it |
#22
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![]() could you imagine if Pimlico had the 14-day rule?
Ky Derby horses couldn't run in the Preakness. Good thing the Belmont is 3-weeks after the Preakness. |
#23
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#24
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![]() Today's (Friday, January 23rd's) first race is a $12,500 claimer. Was this rule for only maiden claimers or was it extended to open claimers? Pretty clearly, the open claimers are carded which has me asking the question. (The alternative is that NYRA needed this race in order to fill out today's eight race card.)
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#25
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#26
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The very best thing that happened to NYRA today is that everyone involved in playing the horses was focused on Las Vegas. There were only 52 horses today in nine races at NYRA. Two 3-horse fields, two 4-horse fields. Five races that might have been playable on the card. Andy Serling must have been tearing his remaining hair out today. Back in 1986, Paul Moran was relegated to covering the opening at Suffolk Meadows in May in addition to his usual NYRA responsibilities. His column started with the observation that only 55 quarter-horses passed the entry box and proceeded to slaughter the re-opened track. What would Paul think about the impact of today's 14-day rule and the fact that management at NYRA believes that the problem with breakdowns is in the difference between x > 14 and x >= 14? |
#27
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![]() Upstart is trained by Rick Violette and ridden by Jose Ortiz. He broke his maiden at Saratoga winning going away by 5 1/4 lengths. He then raced 9 days later and won the Funny Cide stakes for NY Breds. In that race Upstart stalked the favorite Bustin It and trailed his counterpart by 2 1/2 lengths at the top of the stretch before closing to the finish line for a one-length victory.
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#28
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For all the bashing of Aqueduct, my impression is that the maiden, allowance and stakes racing so far at the meet has been pretty good. The upper level claiming races have also been competitive. The "problem area," if you will, has been the bottom-level claimers; that's where the vast majority of the break-downs have occurred. I don't understand why NYRA was unwilling to acknowledge this fact (rather, stating that there was no factor linking a majority of the breakdowns). Had the decision been mine, I would have raised the bottom claiming level to $20,000 and then do the best you can in terms of filling races (and this would be partially contrary to self-interest, as our partnership owns one horse that my proposed rule would likely result in us having to ship out of town to run). If you only run six or seven races a day, or cut back the number of race days per week, that's the price you have to pay in this political environment. |
#29
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No track can possibly do what they are trying here and expect to live. Particularly when you are competing with Gulfstream, Tampa, FG, Oaklawn, etc. this time of year. In my opinion, the only way to work this (and this will be an extremely unpopular opinion) is to run a 3 day week, running two of those days on industry dark days to limit the exposure to competition. That way you will get attention to 5 horse fields when it's the only game going. Save the best fields/stake races for Saturday, and run live with what you can fill on Monday and Tuesday. And pray like a bandit for the Main Track to open early. |
#30
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As for "open" claimers, I think raising the bottom would have a significant effect. A few years ago, when the first rash of inner track fatalities occurred, the bottom claiming level for the winter meet was $7500, and there were many Finger Lakes horses wintering here. NYRA raised the bottom to $12,500 last winter, and few of those horses were here last winter. If NYRA were to raise the bottom to $20,000, will there be some horsemen running their horses over their heads? Sure. But the difference in New York between $20,000 and $10,000 is far greater than the difference between, for example, $5,000 and $8,000 at a track like Tampa. |
#31
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Remember that the original task force report capped claimers to run for a purse at twice their claiming price. Taking a true $10,000 claimer and putting that horse into a $20,000 claimer to run for a $40,000 purse was a secondary problem that originally existed; perhaps a clause is required at your $20,000 baseline that says "only horses that finished in the top four at $16,000 may enter"? Putting in a claiming floor as suggested will have a huge impact on Winter Racing in that you might not only lose the three races already sacrificed on Wednesdays through Friday, but you might lose another six to eight races per week in their entirety. |
#32
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I'm not willing to concede that it's cheap horses that are the main cause/source of breakdowns and by eliminating the venue for them you eliminate the breakdowns happening. And really don't want to rehash the argument of what is the cause. I've definitely noticed an increase in Finger Lakes horses this meet (@ Tampa) - and just like their Fort Eire compatriots, they aren't winning here either. The fact is, it's a horse shortage situation and the quality of product here has fallen as a result of having to write races for what you have available to run. If NYRA is to continue down this path, they HAVE to cut race days. They aren't going to open anytime mid week to run a 6 race card. Players are not going to invest full price for handicapping material for 6 six horse field races (pre-scratch). Furthermore, chasing 60% of the barn off the property by removing their races would devastate and already exacerbated situation Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 01-26-2015 at 03:24 PM. |
#33
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I understand completely what the impact of raising the bottom claiming price to $20,000 might be. The issue is, in this political environment, how many races can NYRA, for want of a better word, "safely" conduct. If that number is only 25 or thirty per week, so be it. That is a lot better than having the political opportunists, feigning outrage over equine fatalities, shutting racing down altogether should more bottom level horses break down. |
#34
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#35
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It's not as if NYRA won't be able to card good races; they may just have to run less of them. Yesterday, we ran in a state-bred NW2x allowance/optional claiming event that was split into two competitive divisions after 18 horses passed the entry box. The meet's maiden races have been particularly strong, to the point where several Pletcher shippers from Florida have been defeated (even in the state-bred ranks). Whether you think he can ultimately get a classic distance, the first inner track Derby prep was won by a very nice horse in El Kabier. |
#36
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![]() One thing that might be missed is that the owner cashes down to 5th place. The trainer and jockey only cash to 3rd. I've always had issues with jockeys that quit on me when they were out of the top 3. Sure it's only a couple hundred dollars, but it helps.
Anyone remember Shifty Sheik ? |
#37
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Ill-informed journalists such as Joe Drape like to throw around numbers that make Aqueduct look like a financial loser for NYRA, but as I always heard Charlie Hayward explain it, the fact is that, because Aqueduct pays lower purses, it actually supplements significantly the purse account for Belmont (where the incremental increase in handle over Aqueduct on non-Belmont Stakes days would not otherwise support its purse structure). Aqueduct's signal is still the third highest handle producing track in the nation during the winter (behind only Gulfstream and Santa Anita). For those who don't like the product, there are plenty of other tracks on which wagers can be placed. NYRA operates a year-round circuit. Several horsemen live year-round in New York. What would you have them and their families do during the period that Aqueduct is shuttered? If you force them to relocate (Florida and Maryland are improving their products these days and aggressively courting horsemen), you may never get them back. While the horsemen that live in New York on a year-round basis may not be supplying the majority of the stakes horses for the Belmont and Saratoga meets, they are supplying a vast majority of the horses that fill four or five races a day at those venues. Marin Panza recently stated that it is a problem that a small number of the horsemen earn very large percentages of the total purse money; shutting down Aqueduct would only exacerbate that problem. Overall, an Aqueduct-less NYRA probably results in weaker Saratoga and Belmont meets which, in turn, presents a whole host of other regional economic implications. And this does not speak at all to the negative impact that closing Aqueduct for three months would have upon the OTBs and their governmental beneficiaries.... |
#38
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#39
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![]() That was quick
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire |
#40
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__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |