Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #21  
Old 11-30-2006, 11:46 AM
Nascar1966 Nascar1966 is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 1,626
Default Overhauling Derby Eligibility

I would do it to resemble something like how the top seven horses get in the Breeders Cup races. Make up a point system for graded stake races. This should reward the horses who consistently perform in the top two and three year old races before the Derby. Im sure there might be a horse or two who will get enough points as a two year old, but do nothing as a three year old. No system is without its flaws.


Anyone else have some input on this?
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 11-30-2006, 12:00 PM
Linny's Avatar
Linny Linny is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: NY
Posts: 2,104
Default

My suggestion would be a point system. Graded earnings are worth points but G1's worth more than G2's etc. Also route races would count for more than sprints and 3yo races would be worth more than 2yo races.

Honestly, I really don't think the system is flawed right now, as long as owners are fair and don't take advantage of it. The owner of a speedy sprinter with no route graded earning but plenty of 2yo form and $$$ in sprints could prevent a contender from getting in. This just doesn't happen that often.
For the most part, the horses in the Derby are the ones that belong there and the ones "kept out" by the rules (RHT for example) are usually out for a reason. Lets face it, every trainer knows the rules. If they skip races and cherry pick their spots or play games with the colt's schedule, they run the risk of being bumped.

Last edited by Linny : 11-30-2006 at 12:03 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 11-30-2006, 12:02 PM
Linny's Avatar
Linny Linny is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: NY
Posts: 2,104
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by eurobounce
The vote to suspend Carmouche was 7-1. I wonder who that 1 person was that voted against the suspension and the reasoning.
Only in Louisiana.
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 11-30-2006, 12:04 PM
eurobounce
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Linny
My suggestion would be a point system. Graded earnings are worth pints but G1's worth more than G2's etc. Also route races would count for more than sprints and 3yo races would be worth more than 2yo races.

Honestly, I really don't think the system is flawed right now, as long as owners are fair and don't take advantage of it. The owner of a speedy sprinter with no route graded earning but plenty of 2yo form and $$$ in sprints could prevent a contender from getting in. This just doesn't happen that often.
For the most part, the horses in the Derby are the ones that belong there and the ones "kept out" but the rules (RHT for example) are usually out for a reason. Lets face it, every trainer knows the rules. If they skip races and cherry pick their spots or play games with the colt's schedule, the run the risk of being bumped.
There are all sorts of ways you can use to come up with the Derby field. However, there really hasnt been a horse that was left off that really had a shot at winning the derby. If the horse does get left off because of earning, then it is doubtful that the horse would have enough points earned.
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 11-30-2006, 04:45 PM
smartyalex's Avatar
smartyalex smartyalex is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: L'ville
Posts: 222
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by eurobounce
This is the horse I like as well. I wont be betting this race because I do not know much about that track down there. It does seem to have some tight turns. And isnt it going to be around 3 turns? But one horse I know I dont like is Officer Rocket.
Well with such expertise on the sport.......can you please tell us why you "don't like" Officer Rocket in this race? You sound very confident. Might I ask what your opinion is based on?
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 11-30-2006, 04:58 PM
eurobounce
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by smartyalex
Well with such expertise on the sport.......can you please tell us why you "don't like" Officer Rocket in this race? You sound very confident. Might I ask what your opinion is based on?
Well it is easy to pick against 1 horse in such a large field. But I will give you my reasoning as to why I do not like him in this spot. I think the distance is going to be a little too far for him. I also do not think his race at Arlington was all that good. It was 1 mile in the slop and he dead heated for first to Got The Last Laugh. His Iroquois race was not all that spectacular. He is facing some good horses in here with Xchanger and Birdbirdistheword.
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 11-30-2006, 05:16 PM
smartyalex's Avatar
smartyalex smartyalex is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: L'ville
Posts: 222
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by eurobounce
Well it is easy to pick against 1 horse in such a large field. But I will give you my reasoning as to why I do not like him in this spot. I think the distance is going to be a little too far for him. I also do not think his race at Arlington was all that good. It was 1 mile in the slop and he dead heated for first to Got The Last Laugh. His Iroquois race was not all that spectacular. He is facing some good horses in here with Xchanger and Birdbirdistheword.

Well, In reply to your Arlington qoute, I see that your "Top 4 2 y.o." pick was Street Sense.......Well, enough said. We know who lost to Officer Rocket's lousy performance in that race! As far as the Iroquois, you do know that the horse flipped his soft palate in the race and has since had a myectomy. That MIGHT explain his fifth place finish. Also, have you seen his latest works? His last work was three-quarters in 1:11 and change.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 11-30-2006, 05:24 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by smartyalex
Well, In reply to your Arlington qoute, I see that your "Top 4 2 y.o." pick was Street Sense.......Well, enough said. We know who lost to Officer Rocket's lousy performance in that race! As far as the Iroquois, you do know that the horse flipped his soft palate in the race and has since had a myectomy. That MIGHT explain his fifth place finish. Also, have you seen his latest works? His last work was three-quarters in 1:11 and change.

Taking this a little personally......aren't ya?

Anything you want to tell us?
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 11-30-2006, 05:28 PM
smartyalex's Avatar
smartyalex smartyalex is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: L'ville
Posts: 222
Thumbs up

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Taking this a little personally......aren't ya?

Anything you want to tell us?
No, not at all. I am just giving my 2 cents! Nothing personal. I love to read this message board......don't post very often unless I feel that something needs further explanation. We'll all see how this turns out tommorow.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 12-01-2006, 11:21 AM
eurobounce
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by smartyalex
Well, In reply to your Arlington qoute, I see that your "Top 4 2 y.o." pick was Street Sense.......Well, enough said. We know who lost to Officer Rocket's lousy performance in that race! As far as the Iroquois, you do know that the horse flipped his soft palate in the race and has since had a myectomy. That MIGHT explain his fifth place finish. Also, have you seen his latest works? His last work was three-quarters in 1:11 and change.
First of all the race at Arlington was in the slop and there is no way i would ever take Street Sense in the slop. But yes, he is my top 2 year old. But the slop is not for him. The race was not that good at all in my opinion for any of the horses involved. I know he flipped his soft palate and had the myectomy. His works have been ok. I like how you mention just one work. He also worked 6 furlongs in 1:16 and 5 furlongs in 1:01 as well. I think that the distance is what is going to get him. We shall see come Saturday.
Reply With Quote
  #31  
Old 12-01-2006, 12:14 PM
brianwspencer's Avatar
brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 4,894
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by smartyalex
No, not at all. I am just giving my 2 cents! Nothing personal. I love to read this message board......don't post very often unless I feel that something needs further explanation. We'll all see how this turns out tommorow.
He's actually my choice for the win in there, so I'm with ya on this one.
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 12-01-2006, 01:59 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,611
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I've got no sympathy for any " late bloomer " that doesn't get in due to earnings. I'll take my chances that the truly deserving will make it and only ridiculous trainers that never run their horses will risk missing the big dance with a legit contendor.

The ones that belong will dance the dances and get the earnings.
Amen.

My idea has always been that the 1-2 finishers in the Arkansas, Santa Anita, and Florida Derbies, as well as the 1-2 finishers in the Wood and Blue Grass get automatic berths. That gives u 10 horses. The next four would be based on earnings as a 3yo after u get the automatic qualifiers. If any of those 14 drop out, the next one on the list makes it.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 12-02-2006, 02:17 AM
eurobounce
 
Posts: n/a
Default

I guess I was right with Officer Rocket. Was in contention and then just folded like a cheap suit. I know he was bumped and then was rushed up. But he lost by like a mile. I just dont think horse is a two turn horse.
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 12-02-2006, 07:32 AM
abe1947
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Well I was wrong! I guess McPeek & Baffert have two for the Derby next year, by earnings anyway. At least my three came in together. Only instead of 1-2-3 they were 5-6-7.
Reply With Quote
  #35  
Old 12-02-2006, 07:54 AM
brianwspencer's Avatar
brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 4,894
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by eurobounce
I guess I was right with Officer Rocket. Was in contention and then just folded like a cheap suit. I know he was bumped and then was rushed up. But he lost by like a mile. I just dont think horse is a two turn horse.
He just never looked comfortable. I don't think that he's going to be a two-turn star, but I think he'll turn out to be one of the better of his generation.

He never really settled last night.
Reply With Quote
  #36  
Old 12-02-2006, 09:26 AM
smartyalex's Avatar
smartyalex smartyalex is offline
Bowie
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: L'ville
Posts: 222
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by eurobounce
I guess I was right with Officer Rocket. Was in contention and then just folded like a cheap suit. I know he was bumped and then was rushed up. But he lost by like a mile. I just dont think horse is a two turn horse.
Touche! As metiioned in another post, he just didn't look comfortable. I wish they could find this horse a "Jock" and stick w/ him as well. Euro, you got me on this one. I think Officer Rocket will still be a horse to watch out for during the Oaklawn meet. He could also use a nice break. He left his stable at the Spires Monday morning. "Vanned" to Oaklawn......left for Delta Downs on the 28th. Now headed back home to Oaklawn. Time will tell.
Reply With Quote
  #37  
Old 12-02-2006, 09:44 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,939
Default

altho the earnings system is flawed, they have to have some way to limit starters. and of course any way they did it, there would be flaws and arguments against. hell, all these years they had the rules to get in the bc races, and people still complained.
everyone knows the rules--they need to plan accordingly. certainly this million dollar race was available to anyone who was interested.
also, a more 'important' race doesn't necessarily guarantee a better quality performer come bc day. look at the bluegrass stakes recently. then there's tapits wood memorial. just because it's an historic race, and not an upstart like the jackpot, doesn't really mean it will generate a better or deeper field.
__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all.
Abraham Lincoln
Reply With Quote
  #38  
Old 12-02-2006, 10:21 AM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
Amen.

My idea has always been that the 1-2 finishers in the Arkansas, Santa Anita, and Florida Derbies, as well as the 1-2 finishers in the Wood and Blue Grass get automatic berths. That gives u 10 horses. The next four would be based on earnings as a 3yo after u get the automatic qualifiers. If any of those 14 drop out, the next one on the list makes it.
The only issue is with this is that you are giving recent history more credit then past history. What they do as 2 year olds should be consider, also earlier in the year. Ideally, I would love to have the option to use a race as a tune up like they did with Monarchos and run my eyeballs out in the Derby, the above and you won't be able to do that.

The Kentucky Derby Entry thing seems to be one of those things that is very broken, but a fair and equal way to figure it out hasn't come to the forfront
Reply With Quote
  #39  
Old 12-02-2006, 10:24 AM
SentToStud's Avatar
SentToStud SentToStud is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,065
Default

What horse has been left out the past 4-5 years that anyone here feels had a solid shot?
Reply With Quote
  #40  
Old 12-02-2006, 10:38 AM
oracle80
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
What horse has been left out the past 4-5 years that anyone here feels had a solid shot?
Rock Hard Ten and although the way that Barbaro ran it wouldn't have mattered, but SunRiver certainly could have hit the board.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:54 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.