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#41
04-11-2015, 08:48 AM
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tweeted just a few minutes ago....
Mike Welsch @DRFWelsch 3m3 minutes ago Violette on Upstart. "He's got a temperature and we'll see where that leads us. If he's really sick then we're in trouble. Mike Welsch @DRFWelsch 3m3 minutes ago "We can overcome missing the breeze today. He's really fit. If he has to stay in the stall for a week then that's a different story"
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"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato 
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#42
04-11-2015, 02:00 PM
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Tod Marks Photo - Daybreak over Oklahoma
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#43
04-11-2015, 11:29 PM
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I was thinking today that I don't recall a year of Derby Preps like this where the "chalk" won so much. In other years, you have horses on one circuit or another who are "chalk" and win, but on others you get some "new players". Nothing that won most of these Derby Preps paid much, if any. They were all bet, they were expected and they delivered. That's a good thing in a good way in that these are good horses who we expect good performances from and they deliver. A mark of a good horse. Time will tell, but for now it looks like a good crop.
The intriguing question is "How fast can they run ?" We've seen Dortmund win, American Pharoah, Carpe Diem, International Star, Mubtaahij (if he runs), Frosted and others. They won, but is there more if needed ? Was the prep their top or is their more, and how much more ? We can look at their numbers, Beyer, Thorograph or whatever, but you have to wonder what else is there. We know what was there, but is that it ? Is there more or was that it ? I just know some, or all of them maybe have something else. We just have to find or guess who. It's kind of a great situation this year. We have some good horses who are very consistent, as opposed to other years. It may be hard betting, but that's OK too. I'm going to look at some prep film over and I'm not necessarily going to look for a "trip" but I'm going to look at the way the horse is running, his stride, his demeanor, determination and energy and look to see if this horse is showing me he may have something more. Another gear, another step, another level. I'm going to be looking at those horses like Dortmund and American Pharoah and say "How really good are you ?"
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#45
04-12-2015, 07:46 PM
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#46
04-12-2015, 08:18 PM
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As of now my big three are Dortmund, American Pharoah and Upstart. Ill probably cover Frosted in a back up kind of way.
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#47
04-12-2015, 08:59 PM
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#49
04-13-2015, 06:55 AM
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Kentucky Oaks
1. Condo Commando (Rodriguez) 2. I’m a Chatterbox (Jones) 3. Stellar Wind (Sadler) 4. Birdatthewire (Romans) 5. Lovely Maria (Jones) 6. Include Betty (Proctor) 7. Oceanwave (Catalano) 8. Angela Renee (Pletcher) 9. Sarah Sis (Mason) -- Maybellene -- Possible (Baffert) 10. Eskenformoney (Pletcher) 11. Puca (Mott) 12. Shook Up (Asmussen) -- Luminance -- Possible (Baffert) 13. Forever Unbridled (Stewart) 14. Achiever’s Legacy (Hollendorfer) ------------------------------------- 15. Money'soncharlotte (Breen) 16. Danessa Deluxe (Navarro) 17. Callback (Baffert) 18. Wonder Gal (Gyarmati)
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 04-27-2015 at 02:57 PM.
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#50
04-13-2015, 07:38 AM
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My key horse in Derby Day verticals and horizontals will be One Lucky Dane.
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#51
04-13-2015, 11:23 AM
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I keep hearing how deep this field is but honestly I dont see it. Feels like maybe 3-4 horses can win this thing.
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"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire
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#52
04-13-2015, 11:51 AM
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Quote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5bd0rf8RSeo Cheers, O
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"Good luck had just stung me, so to the race track I did go" - Levon Helm
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#53
04-13-2015, 12:08 PM
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
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#56
04-13-2015, 07:21 PM
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War Story
May have a different trainer for the KY Derby? days coming?
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#57
04-13-2015, 09:43 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 04-14-2015 at 07:28 AM.
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#58
04-14-2015, 07:32 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#59
04-14-2015, 07:33 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#60
04-16-2015, 07:37 AM
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At what point will we start to get some probables for the other Oaks/Derby stakes? Just wondering as I'm starting to research..
Thanks Steve for the PP's.
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