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#41
10-24-2007, 02:27 PM
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My exotics best-bet as far as the price vs. the talent in relation to the field would be 20-1 on Purim.
Best bet otherwise has got to be Hystericalady at anything near 8-1, but she appears to have the look of the wiseguy horse and I'd expect her to take a lot of cash from that. I guess whittling it down, given that I don't think Hystericalady will be anything near 8-1, that the one other horse I'm loving for the price is Wicked Style. 10-1 on an unbeaten runner sounds fine to me. 
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#42
10-24-2007, 02:39 PM
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Who said "Dylan Thomas, we may get soft turf"?????
Just to let you know, DT hates soft turf. If it was soft by Saturday, you will seriously have to consider tossing him. If it does become soft, don't be surprised even if he gets scratched. My best bet would be Unbridled Belle in the Distaff. She did really well to win last time with the trouble she managed to find during the race. She had a few of these behind last time and i think she is a great bet. Her pedigree suggests she will keep improving with age and it looks like she is doing just that.
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Avatar ~ Nicky Whelan  and now we murderers because we kill time
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#43
10-24-2007, 02:50 PM
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Discreet Cat will be 1/9 after the kid puts his $62 quadrillion bet down on him....so the best value horses will probably come from that race.
I actually do like Gottcha Gold in that one if he goes off at anywhere close to his 8/1 ML, but I doubt he will.
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#45
10-24-2007, 02:53 PM
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DO NOT GO SOFTLY INTO THAT GOOD NIGHT..........young swine.
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#46
10-24-2007, 03:08 PM
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Quote:
 Morty, you are like George Washington on drugs
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Avatar ~ Nicky Whelan and now we murderers because we kill time
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#47
10-24-2007, 03:29 PM
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Most likely winner-Lady Joanne
Bomb Longshot: Silent Name in the mile & Slew's Tiznow in the Juv
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#48
10-24-2007, 03:31 PM
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Looks like weather from europe so let's go with three Europeans.
Dylan Thomas - best bet - Don't see them beating him even if turf is soft by american standards Excellent Art- Too classy for these George Washington- longshot (20-1 ML) probably won't win but 20-1 is worth a shot
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#49
10-24-2007, 04:20 PM
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Don't you be jumping on my bandwagon. He is my long shot pick. Slew's Tiznow/Old Man Buck exacta!!! Those two will be battling it down to the wire. OH and my gut pick so far is Host.
__________________
"Until one has loved an animal, part of their soul remains unawaken.
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#50
10-24-2007, 08:13 PM
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In all honesty, after spending a good deal of time looking over the PPs today, my top two bets of the day remain a win bet on Street Sense and a Curlin-Street Sense exacta box in the Classic. Street Sense's last work sealed it for me.
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#51
10-24-2007, 10:13 PM
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Juvy Fillies
#8 Izzara - She's been green, but she has an enormous amount of upside. She'll love the distance and many of the fillies here would rather be sprinting and will be weeded out as they turn for home. McAnally (HOF Trainer) has a very nice filly that will score at 5-1 or so. Load Up Good Racing Luck
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
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#52
10-24-2007, 10:47 PM
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Grass Mile...
Nobiz takes money, the Euro takes money on the outside. Why not Kip Deville? The horse is always in the mix. Nothing super fantastic just seems to give himself a chance in almost every race. We will see how overlooked he is.
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#53
10-24-2007, 11:09 PM
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#54
10-25-2007, 06:14 AM
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He also has that ability to quicken in a few strides, often catching some of the best horses flat footed. He will need a bit of luck, but he is definitley good enough to win this despite his draw. He deserves some luck after the year he has had so far. If he was given better rides this year, his form would read 1111..... all of those coming in Gr1 races.
__________________
Avatar ~ Nicky Whelan and now we murderers because we kill time
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#55
10-25-2007, 09:27 AM
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#56
10-25-2007, 09:49 AM
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ok, ok. im just following the lead on Slew's Tiznow! He ran well on the dirt at 7F and think he moves forward off the Breeders' Futurity race and 2 turns should hit him between the eyes........McPeek claims Old Man Buck is a dirt horse on the show last night, but he never ran him on the dirt and he couldve at Ellis. Still, at 30-1 or higher he's worth throwing in underneath for your exotics.
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#57
10-25-2007, 10:11 AM
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Quote:
 I think Slew's Tiznow is improving at the right time. Question is: Is he good enough? Old Man Buck I think has potential especially if it is sloppy...
__________________
"Until one has loved an animal, part of their soul remains unawaken.
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#59
10-25-2007, 11:28 AM
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My best bet or value play will be Balance in the distaff at 20-1ml. At first look it looks like i'm really reaching here, but on a day like BC that's what im looking for, a forgotten horse.
The last time Balance ran two turns on a conventional dirt track(or wet) she was the winner of the Gr.1 Santa Margarita at the same distance of the distaff. Before that she was an easy winner of the La Canada on a wet track. She then hooked Nashoba's Key on synthetic tracks at Hollywood and Del Mar and didnt discrace herself against a superior synthetic runner. Her last race at Belmont is not as bad as it looks on paper . She blew the start then was prematurely sent very wide on the final turn. She was 3-1 that day and will be 20-1 or better against the same horses today.
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#60
10-25-2007, 12:31 PM
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My prediction??? Nebraska gets drilled again by 40 points or more and Callahan still thinks he is doing an excellent job. All the while he is working on his resume on the sidelines. Is there a worse football coach anywhere???
__________________
Like a famous coach once said, "There's no "I" in TEAM.....but there is "U" in SUCK."
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