7/23: Saratoga (Opening Day)

[Kasept]

Eludicated thoughts regarding commencement of another Spa session earlier (http://www.derbytrail.com/writings/display.php?ID=49), with this particular Wednesday on the calendar as welcome in these parts as the first true spring day after a long winter. It has been a different kind of period of discontent since the bitter 2008 Triple Crown managed to denegrate far more than celebrate the sport and industry. The next six weeks can go a long way towards bridging the dischord around racing by providing an authentic representation of the game's purest qualities and attributes.

I hope everyone enjoys the 36 days of Saratoga, and I wish all good luck in their racing-related ventures.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE

Distinct possibility that the day is affected by heavy weather.. Turf course was less than firm as of late Tuesday..

Pre-Scratches...


1st: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Very tricky opener with host of possibilities.. Note pace scenario could shift should course come up heavy..

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #10 SCR
Best Value: #4 SCR
Next Best: #2 SCR
Exotics Add: #9 SCR


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Cognito 2-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Brave Victory 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e SCR
Exotics Add: #8 In Speight of It 15-1 4th


3rd: OC/C, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Accredit 8-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Connecticut Yankee 5-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Bordeaux Bandit 12-1 5th


4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #4 Strategic Vision 8-1 10th
Best Value: #6 Miracle Causeway 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Cops Fever 3-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #1 SCR WON (Remaining half of entry)


5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Fiddlers Afleet 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 SCR
Next Best: #2 Lookin At Her 9-2 WON
Super Add: #7 Vinnie Van Go 7-2 2nd

$1 Exacta Paid $22.10
$1 Trifecta Paid $41.75


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-7
3: 1
4: 1-3-4-6
5: 1-2-7-8

3x1x4x4 = $48

$1 P4 Paid $119.50


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, DD, P3)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #5 Of All Times 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Jazz Nation 6-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Marq of Love 7-2 5th
Exotics Add: #2 SCR


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #2 SCR WON (Remaining half of entry)
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #3 Continental Reins 15-1 2nd (Other half of entry)
Exotics Add: #9 SCR

$1 Exacta Paid $16.90


8th: The High Rock Spring, NYB-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #5 SCR
Next Best: #4 SCR
Best Value #7 SCR
Exotics Add: #10 Posted 6-1 4th


9th: 90th Schuylerville (Gr. III), 2yo-F, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Collegiate 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Renda 15-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Ocean Colors 5-2 9th
Super Add: #5 Chartreux 15-1 6th


10th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #1e Levine entry 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Fregata 10-1 5th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #9 Drums of Thunder 15-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2
8: 4-5-7
9: 1-3-4
10: 1-2-4-6-7-8-9-11

1x3x3x8 = $72


Good luck!
Steve