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Old 07-24-2008, 02:58 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,674
Default 7/24: Saratoga (Day 2)

Opener a washout as unrelenting rain pelted the Spa off and on all day long. Had no chance to adjust selections to reflect changes, so work for Day 1 a bit of a waste though early P4 ($120.00) was still laying there if played blindly. Racing Office's decision to devote half of the first card of the meet to turf a costly one too as 28 horses defected from the 5 estwhile lawn events. Thursday likely to see more rain early before the forecast brightens tremendously for the twilight Friday racing and the big first weekend. Don't expect any grass races, save for the featured Lake Placid Friday, until Saturday.

Thursday's Steeplechase opener has been cancelled, but racing will start at 1:35pm with the 2nd as originally carded to accomodate broader simulcast schedules...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Red Seven 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Stunning Electra 9-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Not a Peep 3-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Imthequeenofqueens 10-1 4th


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Goretty 5-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Climb to the Stars 20-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Aunt Marge 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Hanna Banana 12-1 8th


4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OTT (P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #13 Scott's Choice 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1A (POE) Vladimira 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #3 Shirley Law 20-1 6th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Interesting group of baby gals featuring debut of Phipps' Siren Serenade (#4), the next daughter of Versailles Treaty (dam of Saarland) by Unbridled's Song, and several others with strong marks for win early/wet going success.. Top pair (#'s 1e-8) stand out to me, but watch board for clues on other trifecta supporting cast members..

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Market at Midday 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Mine All Mine 7-2 WON
Best Value: #3 SCR


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-5-10
3: 6-8
4: 1-3-13
5: 1-8

4x2x3x1 = $24


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OTT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Tempest Storm 6-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Easy Ashley 8-1 2nd


7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Super fun mix of top level ALW/STK types.. If Trombetta keeps Street Magician in off the injury break, it telegraphs 'ready' for return..

Most Likely: #6 Temecula Creek 8-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Visionaire 6-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Street Magician 6-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OTT (P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #1A-MTO (POE) Loving Vindication 5-2 WON
Best Value: #9 Aidan 20-1 6th
Next Best: #2B-MTO (POE) Freakstein 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Quiet Meadow 20-1 7th


9th: 94th Sanford (Gr. II), 2yo, 6f (DD)

#4 Notonthesamepage, who would have been a single in multis, has scratched due to a fever..

Most Likely: #3 Desert Party 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Officer Ipod 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Phosphorescent 10-1 4th


10th: CLM, 3+, 9f (

Most Likely: #4 SCR
Best Value: #2 King Mobay 10-1 WON
Next Best: #5 SCR
Super Add: #3 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6
8: 1-2-7-9
9: 1-2-3
10: 2-4

3x4x2x1 = $24

$1 P4 Paid $236.75


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 07-25-2008 at 05:56 AM.
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