#41
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#42
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__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window! Ed |
#43
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What you seem to be missing is that people see the Dutrow's and the Mullins as cheaters for two reasons, they do get caught often enough and horses make such unexplainable improvements when they come under their care. Although, calling someone a cheater just because they move a horse up here and there can be unfair as well as horses can have problems, mental or physical, or bad habits that can be fixed which a prior trainer may not have been able to figure out which can explain improvement as well. |
#44
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Certainly it is logical to conclude that MTB likes the slop and some of the improvement could be attributed to that and that you should move him up when he gets a muddy surface again. It is just one tool amongst many handicapping tools you can use although you would like to see a bigger sample than one race before making the conclusion, but you can certainly find some longshots based on seeing good races under certain conditions. A good example would be Accredit from earlier on the Churchill card on Saturday, I am doing this from memory, but I gave Accredit a chance to win that race at a decent price based upon the fact that he was 4 for 4 on off tracks and had run some good speed figures if I remember correctly. However, just because a horse has not run well in the off going once or twice does not mean they don't like it, the horse may have had traffic problems, bad trips, etc. |
#45
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#46
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-4 TG figure for RA
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#47
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With her type of trip seems like a 113-116 beyer would be more in line with the neg# 4 |
#48
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#49
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__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#50
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