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  #41  
Old 10-29-2009, 08:05 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
Skip Away did beat Cigar by a nose that day, but maybe the 5 lb weight break had something to do with it!

--Dunbar
This a point that isn't brought up enough in my opinion, Skip Away beat Cigar by a head that day while getting a 5lb advantage. If that is the best he could do with a Cigar probably past his prime, one must wonder how he would have fared against Cigar when he was at his best. Not as well, one would surmise.
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  #42  
Old 10-29-2009, 08:16 AM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
This a point that isn't brought up enough in my opinion, Skip Away beat Cigar by a head that day while getting a 5lb advantage. If that is the best he could do with a Cigar probably past his prime, one must wonder how he would have fared against Cigar when he was at his best. Not as well, one would surmise.

Well wasnt Skip Away 3 years old? Try having Skip Away at HIS prime and Cigar at his prime if you want to make this kind of comparison.

But I know you always think the 2nd place finisher is better than the first place finisher
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  #43  
Old 10-29-2009, 08:34 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Antitrust32
Well wasnt Skip Away 3 years old? Try having Skip Away at HIS prime and Cigar at his prime if you want to make this kind of comparison.

But I know you always think the 2nd place finisher is better than the first place finisher
In a 5 race series all things equal, I would take Cigar over Skip Away whether it's 1 1/8 or 1 1/4. Skip Away at his best was very good but in terms of consistency Cigar would be my choice, You knew he would always run his race. I do know Bailey in his book was emphatic that he was the best horse he had ever ridden and he would know, but I understand the interest in comparing horses. I'm actually more interested how Cigar would have matched up with Holy Bull, that is the rivalry that for unfortunate reasons never materialized.
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  #44  
Old 10-29-2009, 11:33 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Antitrust32
Well wasnt Skip Away 3 years old? Try having Skip Away at HIS prime and Cigar at his prime if you want to make this kind of comparison.
Yes, I knew I was opening a can of worms with the weight comment. I agree that Skip Away had yet to reach his peak ability. The flip side is that Cigar had already been to Dubai that year and was pretty clearly past his prime.

Since we can't have each at his prime, we can only look at the race we did get. I don't think the 3-yr-old Skip Away would have beaten the 6-yr-old Cigar at equal weights that day.

--Dunbar
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  #45  
Old 10-29-2009, 04:09 PM
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I would give Skip Away a slight edge over both Holy Bull and Cigar.
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  #46  
Old 10-29-2009, 05:20 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I would give Skip Away a slight edge over both Holy Bull and Cigar.
I'd give Awesome Again a slight edge over all three.

And a chasm advantage in the shed.
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  #47  
Old 10-30-2009, 09:26 AM
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Ability to win major races
Ability to beat good horses
Ability to run fast figures
Ability to win with dominance

Ability to handle different surfaces
Ability to handle a wide range of distances
Ability to handle tough trips, bad rides, and unfavorable circumstances
Ability to ship and consistantly run near top form away from home circuit
Ability to have participated in a lot of major races


These two groups of criteria 'define' a great race horse for me. I had the fortune to see the great groups of horses in the 70's and 80's and still believe these decades of thoroughbreds were far superior to what we are seeing now.
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  #48  
Old 10-30-2009, 09:39 AM
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I think to be a great horse you have to be able to run at least a 115 BSF twice in a row.
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  #49  
Old 10-30-2009, 09:40 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
This a point that isn't brought up enough in my opinion, Skip Away beat Cigar by a head that day while getting a 5lb advantage. If that is the best he could do with a Cigar probably past his prime, one must wonder how he would have fared against Cigar when he was at his best. Not as well, one would surmise.
The problem with this is that Cigar was just as good at the end of 1996 as he was at the end of 1995. His races in the Woodward, JCGC, and BC Classic were every bit as good the seconed time as the first. The difference was the competition. Whereas in 1995, he was facing the likes of Unaccounted For and L'Carriere, the next year it was Skip Away, Louis Quartorze, and Alphabet Soup. Had he had the same comp in 1996 as he did the previous years, he would have won the races again.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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  #50  
Old 10-30-2009, 10:42 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
The problem with this is that Cigar was just as good at the end of 1996 as he was at the end of 1995. His races in the Woodward, JCGC, and BC Classic were every bit as good the seconed time as the first. The difference was the competition. Whereas in 1995, he was facing the likes of Unaccounted For and L'Carriere, the next year it was Skip Away, Louis Quartorze, and Alphabet Soup. Had he had the same comp in 1996 as he did the previous years, he would have won the races again.
I've heard that before, but that is inconclusive, we can wish for Holy Bull and Skip Away all to have run in the same era also, but that's not going to happen. The only thing I go by is visually watching his races and using an experienced eye to analyze it, I don't subscribe to the beyer comparison's as definitive as many do here, but after the Pacific Classic you can hear it it Bailey's interview afterward as much as he didn't wanted to say it, I think his quote was " I didn't think there was any scenario in a race that Cigar couldn't overcome" until today. He took the heat for laying down impossible fractions 1:09 and change for 6 furlongs in the Pacific where he may have survived that battle in 95 but not 96, but more importantly he was intimating this was not the same Cigar after the race. In my opinion this was most likely the case also.
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  #51  
Old 10-30-2009, 10:55 AM
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Post Race Pacific Classic Mott & Bailey Interview:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rgZ-x...eature=related

And The Race itself: Geeze whatever happened to racing...What a race. Look at Dramatic Gold pulled up before the 1/4 pole.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jDJD_jjvqRk
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  #52  
Old 10-30-2009, 11:14 AM
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I don't know that there is any way to define "great"... I realize its apples to oranges, but Bo Jackson is by open lengths the "greatest" human athlete I have ever seen... but does that make him a "great" baseball player or an all-time "great" NFL player? When you compare Bo to Emmitt Smith, Terrell Davis, LDT, etc., on numbers alone he doesn't compare, but I think most people would say I'll take a healthy Bo over any of those "All-time Greats". Does that make Bo "Great"? I think so. I think there are three types of Greatness... your "compliers"- the Emmitt Smiths and the Cigars of the world, who are consistently outstanding performers, but don't necessarily give you the "holy sh*t, did I just see that" performance; your "freaks"- the Bo Jacksons and [insert equine athlete of your choice] of the world, that either due to injury or unforeseen circumstances don't get to produce for extended periods of time, but leave the indelible impression on you from those few dramatic and overly impressive performances; and the rarest of all, the ones who are both... the Secretariats, the Bids, the Jordans and the Tigers, of the world, who are "Great" no matter the definition.
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  #53  
Old 10-30-2009, 11:24 AM
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Ability to be consistant and not go in and out of top form
Ability to handle a wide range of distances
Ability to handle tough trips, bad rides, and unfavorable circumstances
Ability to carry high weight or give weight away to good horses
Ability to run fast figures
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  #54  
Old 10-30-2009, 12:27 PM
johnny pinwheel johnny pinwheel is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
I agree about Tiznow, and Invasor " I think Bernardini was much better though" Giants Causeway was also great.
thats funny, because invasor made bernardini look like a plow horse when they raced each other. just like he did to discreet cat. if you beat the best, you are the best. thats my problem with zenyatta, she beat leathal heat last out a horse that can't win diddly but is in zenyttas pp's a few times. to be great you have to travel around, beat the best and do it when things don't go your way. watch invasor win the witney when the pace was crawling, he closed anyway, or rachel winning the preakness and woodward. they dogged her all the way around and she held off the finishers. winning HARD races under HARD conditions makes you great. any horse can run 4 jumps and win against hopelessly lower comp! the great ones take all comers and goes any where to find them!
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  #55  
Old 10-30-2009, 09:28 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
I'd give Awesome Again a slight edge over all three.

And a chasm advantage in the shed.
Awesome Again was not even close to those three when you look at overall body of work.

He's like A.P. Indy both as a race horse and sire.
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  #56  
Old 10-30-2009, 09:34 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel
thats funny, because invasor made bernardini look like a plow horse when they raced each other. just like he did to discreet cat.
Discreet Cat beat Invasor into a pulp when they first met in Dubai - and DC was a 3yo and Invasor a 4yo.

The 2nd time they met was in the Dubai World Cup ... Discreet Cat reportedly had all kinds of health problems and was last the whole way.. getting beat like 30 lengths and finishing well behind a Sauadi horse.

I think Da Tara would have smacked around the version of DC we saw at age 4.
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  #57  
Old 10-30-2009, 10:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Discreet Cat beat Invasor into a pulp when they first met in Dubai - and DC was a 3yo and Invasor a 4yo.

The 2nd time they met was in the Dubai World Cup ... Discreet Cat reportedly had all kinds of health problems and was last the whole way.. getting beat like 30 lengths and finishing well behind a Sauadi horse.

I think Da Tara would have smacked around the version of DC we saw at age 4.
I think Invasor was spotting DC like 11lbs in the UAE Derby.
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  #58  
Old 10-30-2009, 11:08 PM
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9 pounds ... which equals just 3.24 lengths on the Thoro-Graph and Ragozin scales at that distance .. DC beat him by 7 lengths... so if you insist on factoring in the weight give DC credit for a 3.76 length victory.

Anyone remember Invasor's next start - about 6 or 7 weeks after that race? He looked dead beat in the Pimlico Special .. but rebroke again late to win at like 7/1 odds.

DC was insanely good prior to his 2nd trip to Dubai. He sucked donkey farts after that.
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  #59  
Old 10-30-2009, 11:55 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
9 pounds ... which equals just 3.24 lengths on the Thoro-Graph and Ragozin scales at that distance .. DC beat him by 7 lengths... so if you insist on factoring in the weight give DC credit for a 3.76 length victory.

Anyone remember Invasor's next start - about 6 or 7 weeks after that race? He looked dead beat in the Pimlico Special .. but rebroke again late to win at like 7/1 odds.

DC was insanely good prior to his 2nd trip to Dubai. He sucked donkey farts after that.
I first thought 9 but, was too lazy to look it up so I guessed 11.
I bet Invasor in the Pim Special. (REDBOARD Alert)
I threw down the tickets in disgust at the 16th pole.

I also bet against him in the Donn and had already started my walk to the window to cash, when he re-rallied against those crows.

Very nice horse, he would have donkey farted on all the older males this year.
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