Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Stakes Archive
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old 09-03-2010, 11:34 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
Convocation won't win.

CAN'T
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 09-03-2010, 11:42 AM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MaTH716 View Post
Is it really cracks or was it more of Johnny V letting him loaf in the lane and get nipped at the wire? I think they learned a hard lesson last time and it won't happen again.
Maybe, I understand not taking on a big favorite for the sake of taking on a favorite, however if I were singling him I would not be comfortable with the Pletcher rush back, considering how sporadic QR has run in his career. Pletch usually likes to space his races out. I wonder had he won the Whitney, would he even be in here, nevertheless this isn't GP or Belmont, it's a good opportunity in my opinion. Jerkins/Pletch exacta. How ironic would this be?
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 09-03-2010, 11:48 AM
Alan07 Alan07 is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,714
Default

How are these handicaps?
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 09-03-2010, 11:51 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MaTH716 View Post
Is it really cracks or was it more of Johnny V letting him loaf in the lane and get nipped at the wire? I think they learned a hard lesson last time and it won't happen again.
That 111 beyer and a nose second still kills these. Who is jumping up running a 110 or higher?
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 09-03-2010, 11:51 AM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

With the results so far in some of these stakes, I'm thinking that if QR doesn't win, Pletcher will turn in his SUPPLIER to the FEDS.
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:05 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
That 111 beyer and a nose second still kills these. Who is jumping up running a 110 or higher?
Obviously QR can win, but that would lead to virtually no discussion on this thread. When he showed up in the entries for this race, I'm sure alot of race fans were shocked given his history of light racing. If you would have asked me last month where he was headed next, I would have said 1-9 they would have pointed for the JCGC. I don't like this pattern, I guess we will just have to wait and see if anyone can jump up and give him a race.
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:06 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC View Post
Obviously QR can win, but that would lead to virtually no discussion on this thread. When he showed up in the entries for this race, I'm sure alot of race fans were shocked given his history of light racing. If you would have asked me last month where he was headed next, I would have said 1-9 they would have pointed for the JCGC. I don't like this pattern, I guess we will just have to wait and see if anyone can jump up and give him a race.

This has been the plan all along CSC. It was always Whitney-Woodward-BCC
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:08 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC View Post
Obviously QR can win, but that would lead to virtually no discussion on this thread. When he showed up in the entries for this race, I'm sure alot of race fans were shocked given his history of light racing. If you would have asked me last month where he was headed next, I would have said 1-9 they would have pointed for the JCGC. I don't like this pattern, I guess we will just have to wait and see if anyone can jump up and give him a race.
Anyone that pays attention to stuff couldn't have been too surprised. Pletcher has been talking about running in the Whitney then the Woodward since before the Met Mile.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...et-mile-lineup
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:08 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC View Post
Obviously QR can win, but that would lead to virtually no discussion on this thread. When he showed up in the entries for this race, I'm sure alot of race fans were shocked given his history of light racing. If you would have asked me last month where he was headed next, I would have said 1-9 they would have pointed for the JCGC. I don't like this pattern, I guess we will just have to wait and see if anyone can jump up and give him a race.
If you paid attention to anything Pletcher has said about his schedule this year, you wouldn't have been shocked. This race was always on the agenda after the Whitney. He won't lose.
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:08 PM
Alan07 Alan07 is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,714
Default

I suppose to protect him from not getting crushed at 1 1/4 at Belmont.
Reply With Quote
  #51  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:15 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alan07 View Post
I suppose to protect him from not getting crushed at 1 1/4 at Belmont.
Did he get crushed last year in the JCGC?
Reply With Quote
  #52  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:20 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC View Post
Obviously QR can win, but that would lead to virtually no discussion on this thread.
This horse has attained Pee VAL status. In other words, it's IRRELEVANT. Some of us had know previously but the Whitney made it clear, even to its most ardent supporters, that QR won't win the CLASSIC. QR has ZERO shot in the CLASSIC. Unless, of course, he's allowed to walk on the front end --- which won't happen. QR can beat as many plugs as one would want from now till the end of the year. But QR is not relevant as he's just not good enough when it comes to real horse distances.

We're sitting here debating whether Convocation can beat him. You know, the hanging, pick up the absolutely LAST pieces, Convocation.

If I were a trainer, any trainer, and I had a decent router, I'd take my best speed route horse and I'd run at QR early, then I'd have my better horse run at him late. This is a SURE recipe for success against QR. Doesn't work going 8F (on speed tracks) but it's MONEY at 9F and up. You'd think someone would actually implement this. I know that trainers of prior eras certainly would/did.

Last edited by the_fat_man : 09-03-2010 at 12:48 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #53  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:35 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

I get that Quality Road probably isn't winning the Classic, but the Woodward? He can't lose.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #54  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:36 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt View Post
I get that Quality Road probably isn't winning the Classic, but the Woodward? He can't lose.
I had another dream, but I will keep it to myself this time.
Reply With Quote
  #55  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:38 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by slotdirt View Post
I get that Quality Road probably isn't winning the Classic, but the Woodward? He can't lose.
With a price to match.
Reply With Quote
  #56  
Old 09-03-2010, 12:50 PM
clyde's Avatar
clyde clyde is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Welsh Pride!
Posts: 13,837
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Betsy View Post
I have no idea what you're talking about, but ok.
You don't know what anyone is talking about.

You don't even know what you are talking about.


Listen to your wuffie...it would help.
Reply With Quote
  #57  
Old 09-03-2010, 02:12 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Anyone that pays attention to stuff couldn't have been too surprised. Pletcher has been talking about running in the Whitney then the Woodward since before the Met Mile.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...et-mile-lineup
I actually do recall Pletcher's plans for QR, call me sceptical if you want, but I didn't think he was serious of running QR 2x within a month and then go into the classic on almost 2 months works.
Reply With Quote
  #58  
Old 09-03-2010, 02:17 PM
clyde's Avatar
clyde clyde is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Welsh Pride!
Posts: 13,837
Default

sceptical

septical

sal hippettical

hansel and grettical

hypothetical






You are floculating and don't even know it!
Reply With Quote
  #59  
Old 09-03-2010, 02:18 PM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Kanada
Reply With Quote
  #60  
Old 09-03-2010, 02:20 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man View Post
This horse has attained Pee VAL status. In other words, it's IRRELEVANT. Some of us had know previously but the Whitney made it clear, even to its most ardent supporters, that QR won't win the CLASSIC. QR has ZERO shot in the CLASSIC. Unless, of course, he's allowed to walk on the front end --- which won't happen. QR can beat as many plugs as one would want from now till the end of the year. But QR is not relevant as he's just not good enough when it comes to real horse distances.

We're sitting here debating whether Convocation can beat him. You know, the hanging, pick up the absolutely LAST pieces, Convocation.

If I were a trainer, any trainer, and I had a decent router, I'd take my best speed route horse and I'd run at QR early, then I'd have my better horse run at him late. This is a SURE recipe for success against QR. Doesn't work going 8F (on speed tracks) but it's MONEY at 9F and up. You'd think someone would actually implement this. I know that trainers of prior eras certainly would/did.
It's a win-win the way I see it, if he win big this weekend, I will be one that will be lining up to bet against him in the classic with this being his last prep. With his big beyers this horse will always be bet down, I don't see him being interesting as a betting proposition now or later this fall.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:44 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.