Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:16 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,431
Default

I'm bewildered as to Giant Oak suffering by general comparison in the analysis going on here. I'm going to assume that is a function of our complete unfamiliarity with horses staying around until they fully mature these days. There was a time when a horse that reached his peak at 5 or 6 was appreciated simply as a late developer and gleefully welcomed to the handicap ranks.

For those who have never seen one race much past their sophomore year, a horse doesn't reach physical maturity until age 4. It's odd that a horse would run a career best figure in his first start at age 5, (105 Beyer in Giant Oak's case), and be dismissed as fodder in a discussion trying to underwhelm Morning Line's foes.

I don't get it. Everyone bemoans horses taken to the shed too quickly, and yet when one stays around, Beyering 100+ in his last three races run between 9f-10f in traditionally serious Handicap Division races, he's scoffed at as an example of how bad the elder males are currently.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:16 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Come on man that was a bad bad group in the Donn. Where is Morning Line's fast race?
They are all bad Freddy. That is the point. You guys are getting excited because a horse had a dream trip and crushed Tweebster and Make Music For me.
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:18 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
I don't use figs when I bet so what they run is of little concern to me. The only reason I brought them up is because PG mentioned them.
I didnt realize you dont use figs. If Twirling Candy had run wire to wire and ran a huge fig it would not have mattered to me. In fact it is sort of more interesting that was able to sit off the pace and then kick clear. I realize he was hardly beating Formal Gold and Skip Away.
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:19 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
I hate Smiling Tiger and bet Euroears that day, but hell before that next start he was a total stud. I think Byk had him as Eclipse sprinter. TC was a bit wide in the Malibu also.
Of course you bet Euroears....your redboard aside, Smiling Tiger was a total stud before that?

Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:19 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
They are all bad Freddy. That is the point. You guys are getting excited because a horse had a dream trip and crushed Tweebster and Make Music For me.
My point was they are all bad, but at least TC is winning races.
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:20 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
They are all bad Freddy. That is the point. You guys are getting excited because a horse had a dream trip and crushed Tweebster and Make Music For me.
A dream trip for that horse is unpressed on a loose lead not galloping a half under restraint. This is the flaw I think many make. If that horse wanted too he could have run a bigger race by simply burying bad horses and running off.
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:21 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Of course you bet Euroears....your redboard aside, Smiling Tiger was a total stud before that?

Im sure me beting a first time GOAT is a lie.
Good way to deflect from the actual point though. Smiling Tiger won how many G1's last year? Where did he finish in the BC sprint?
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:22 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
I'm bewildered as to Giant Oak suffering by general comparison in the analysis going on here. I'm going to assume that is a function of our complete unfamiliarity with horses staying around until they fully mature these days. There was a time when a horse that reached his peak at 5 or 6 was appreciated simply as a late developer and gleefully welcomed to the handicap ranks.

For those who have never seen one race much past their sophomore year, a horse doesn't reach physical maturity until age 4. It's odd that a horse would run a career best figure in his first start at age 5, (105 Beyer in Giant Oak's case), and be dismissed as fodder in a discussion trying to underwhelm Morning Line's foes.

I don't get it. Everyone bemoans horses taken to the shed too quickly, and yet when one stays around, Beyering 100+ in his last three races run between 9f-10f in traditionally serious Handicap Division races, he's scoffed at as an example of how bad the elder males are currently.
It's probably because his last non DQ win before Saturday was in May of 2009, on the grass.
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:25 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,431
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Come on man that was a bad bad group in the Donn. Where is Morning Line's fast race?
He is consistantly fast Freddy, though not blindingly so. He stays a route of ground at a high and level cruising speed. I'm not sure why you would require a Tiznow out of an A.P. Indy mare to be excruciatingly fast, but the BC Mile and the SAR Allowance win were both negative numbers for him on Thoro-Graph coming in, and Saturday's race will fall close to a -1 as well. (That would be a top for him.)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:26 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
I'm bewildered as to Giant Oak suffering by general comparison in the analysis going on here. I'm going to assume that is a function of our complete unfamiliarity with horses staying around until they fully mature these days. There was a time when a horse that reached his peak at 5 or 6 was appreciated simply as a late developer and gleefully welcomed to the handicap ranks.

For those who have never seen one race much past their sophomore year, a horse doesn't reach physical maturity until age 4. It's odd that a horse would run a career best figure in his first start at age 5, (105 Beyer in Giant Oak's case), and be dismissed as fodder in a discussion trying to underwhelm Morning Line's foes.

I don't get it. Everyone bemoans horses taken to the shed too quickly, and yet when one stays around, Beyering 100+ in his last three races run between 9f-10f in traditionally serious Handicap Division races, he's scoffed at as an example of how bad the elder males are currently.
He might be getting good now, maybe he will be really good. Up to Saturday what had he done to make him any type of a player in this division? At the begining of last year he was just bad. He started the year running 3rd,5th,3rd,6th,4th and 5th in his first 6 races. Then maybe he got a little better, but he hangs badly twice, both times under 2-1 in the betting. Im not sure what about this horse made him any good coming into Saturday. Maybe now we can say he is OK because he won the Donn.
Not to mention his last win was about 2 years ago on grass.
Reply With Quote
  #51  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:26 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Im sure me beting a first time GOAT is a lie.
Good way to deflect from the actual point though. Smiling Tiger won how many G1's last year? Where did he finish in the BC sprint?
I'm sure it is too. Glad we are in agreement.

He finished 3rd in the Sprint (behind Hamazing Destiny) and beat the mighty Supreme Summit and EZ's Gentlemen in his grade 1 wins last year. What a stud. Just because a race is a grade 1, doesn't mean it has any quality in it.

These are all very basic concepts.
Reply With Quote
  #52  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:28 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
I'm bewildered as to Giant Oak suffering by general comparison in the analysis going on here. I'm going to assume that is a function of our complete unfamiliarity with horses staying around until they fully mature these days. There was a time when a horse that reached his peak at 5 or 6 was appreciated simply as a late developer and gleefully welcomed to the handicap ranks.

For those who have never seen one race much past their sophomore year, a horse doesn't reach physical maturity until age 4. It's odd that a horse would run a career best figure in his first start at age 5, (105 Beyer in Giant Oak's case), and be dismissed as fodder in a discussion trying to underwhelm Morning Line's foes.

I don't get it. Everyone bemoans horses taken to the shed too quickly, and yet when one stays around, Beyering 100+ in his last three races run between 9f-10f in traditionally serious Handicap Division races, he's scoffed at as an example of how bad the elder males are currently.
Nice generalization horses get better with age? Giant Oaks a bum and needs the 4 horses on the lead to ding dong to suck on by. I am surprised at you Giant Oak? Tell me how many Pletcherized 3 year olds have come off the Derby trail to be Handicap animals? Should we expect I Want Revenge to season with age? What do you make of the 38 sec last 3f's?
Reply With Quote
  #53  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:29 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
A dream trip for that horse is unpressed on a loose lead not galloping a half under restraint. This is the flaw I think many make. If that horse wanted too he could have run a bigger race by simply burying bad horses and running off.
A dream trip for every horse is unpressed galloping on a loose lead.
Reply With Quote
  #54  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:31 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
He is consistantly fast Freddy, though not blindingly so. He stays a route of ground at a high and level cruising speed. I'm not sure why you would require a Tiznow out of an A.P. Indy mare to be excruciatingly fast, but the BC Mile and the SAR Allowance win were both negative numbers for him on Thoro-Graph coming in, and Saturday's race will fall close to a -1 as well. (That would be a top for him.)
Love his guts and gameness how couldnt you. He is gorgeous colt and looks the part. Where is his fast race loosing to Datoka Phone at 30/1 or staying 9f's in front of a couple of cripples?
Reply With Quote
  #55  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:33 PM
Clip-Clop Clip-Clop is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Manningtown, Colorado
Posts: 2,727
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
I'm bewildered as to Giant Oak suffering by general comparison in the analysis going on here. I'm going to assume that is a function of our complete unfamiliarity with horses staying around until they fully mature these days. There was a time when a horse that reached his peak at 5 or 6 was appreciated simply as a late developer and gleefully welcomed to the handicap ranks.

For those who have never seen one race much past their sophomore year, a horse doesn't reach physical maturity until age 4. It's odd that a horse would run a career best figure in his first start at age 5, (105 Beyer in Giant Oak's case), and be dismissed as fodder in a discussion trying to underwhelm Morning Line's foes.

I don't get it. Everyone bemoans horses taken to the shed too quickly, and yet when one stays around, Beyering 100+ in his last three races run between 9f-10f in traditionally serious Handicap Division races, he's scoffed at as an example of how bad the elder males are currently.
You must spend enough time on here to know that all horses are slow and nobody is any good at all. Even the ridiculously fast horses from the last ten years are often mocked for only beating that crops bad horses. There is no positivity whatsoever. Damn shame too, this is one fun sport.
__________________
don't run out of ammo.
Reply With Quote
  #56  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:34 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Clip-Clop View Post
You must spend enough time on here to know that all horses are slow and nobody is any good at all. Even the ridiculously fast horses from the last ten years are often mocked for only beating that crops bad horses. There is no positivity whatsoever. Damn shame too, this is one fun sport.
Solid contribution. Thanks.
Reply With Quote
  #57  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:36 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Clip-Clop View Post
You must spend enough time on here to know that all horses are slow and nobody is any good at all. Even the ridiculously fast horses from the last ten years are often mocked for only beating that crops bad horses. There is no positivity whatsoever. Damn shame too, this is one fun sport.
Yep hated Zenyatta, QR, Rachel, goldikova, Zarkava. Uncle Mo etc etc. Go away this isn't for you. Hoss, Byk, Rollo etc. can handle it from here
Reply With Quote
  #58  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:41 PM
PSH's Avatar
PSH PSH is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Mill Valley, CA
Posts: 914
Default Twirling Candy

We were fortunate to get on the backstretch of Del Mar last August and were standing outside the Sadler barn when John came up to me and introduced himself. Told him that Hammerle had given our group passes and John pointed out the horses walking around the barnyard and then said do you want to see what a real racehorse looks like. He took us to the stall of Twirling Candy and said that he was the best horse that he had ever been around and compared him to having the physical quality of a Dwight Howard in the NBA. John then stated the only issue is a mental one with him and if TC could ever figure things out then the sky would be the limit....

It was a real treat for us and i will always remember John for his kindness and the time he spent in showing us around his barn.

Looks like TC is finally figuring things out on the mental side and i agree although he was visually very impressive this weekend it was against a field of less than stellar competitors.

I have a good feeling that John will ship TC outside of California during the Summer and Fall and hope that he does. It will be interesting to see how he fares against the older handicapping division back east.
__________________
"Everybody's honest, when they can afford to be."
Benny Binion
Reply With Quote
  #59  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:43 PM
Clip-Clop Clip-Clop is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Manningtown, Colorado
Posts: 2,727
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Yep hated Zenyatta, QR, Rachel, goldikova, Zarkava. Uncle Mo etc etc. Go away this isn't for you. Hoss, Byk, Rollo etc. can handle it from here
You would not have to look far to find hating for each of the aforementioned except maybe Zarkava.
__________________
don't run out of ammo.
Reply With Quote
  #60  
Old 02-07-2011, 04:50 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Clip-Clop View Post
You would not have to look far to find hating for each of the aforementioned except maybe Zarkava.
It's not hating. Only on message boards is discussing things considered hating.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:40 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.