Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old 10-23-2006, 01:45 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious

Personally, I feel that if Gorella or Wait a While were able to run even at 75% of what they are capable of on turf, they would dominate the Distaff.

Are you challenging yourself to make even crazier comments every time you post?
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 10-23-2006, 01:47 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,611
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Are you challenging yourself to make even crazier comments every time you post?
It's only crazy to u because u don't believe it. That doesn't make it crazy.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 10-23-2006, 01:51 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

No, it is insane to make that kind of comparison between dirt and turf racing, which are totally different " animals ", so to speak. And, it is even crazier to suggest that the top turf horses are THAT much better than top dirt horses. Perhaps you are exagerating for effect. Otherwise....whatever.
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 10-23-2006, 02:43 PM
Independent George's Avatar
Independent George Independent George is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 129
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
I don't bet nearly as much as I used to because it did get too painful. There were plenty of good wins. Plenty of tough losses. When I do bet, I try to bet on the horse I think is the best horse period and will appreciate the distance of the race. So yes, I do back my wild opinions with my money.

I think it's interesting that u say opinions get substantiated or invalidated by facts. I suppose u would say that if they ran Ouija Board in the Classic and she lost by 10, it would support your opinion. U could say "see, I knew she couldn't do anything in this spot" and feel validated. I, however, don't see it that way. Because she might lose there doesn't mean that she would have won in the other spot. And a loss still doesn't take away from the impetus behind the decision in the first place, which was to take on a new challenge. I still admire that. I don't think that u go into new challenges feeling like u have to win in order for it to be a successful decision. I come from a basketball background and many times I've taken a big shot and missed. But I was wide open and the opportunity presented itself so I had to take it. I said in previous thread about Lava Man that I think u have to dare to be great even when it's easy to settle for being good. A horse like Ouija Board, her position is set at this moment. It won't rise with a win in the F/M Turf and it won't suffer with a loss in the Classic. But with a win or top showing in the Classic, her place in history, whatever that is, will be elevated. And even if she were to win the Classic, I still don't feel like my opinion would be validated because I'm not looking at the result for validation. My opinion is only in regards to the decision making that put u in the position in the first place. To each his own though.
This reminds me of Joe Pesci's comment to Deniro in Raging Bull, "If you win, you win; if you lose, you still win." You just made a "can't lose" statement.
__________________
A pet ? It's a wild invalid.
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 10-23-2006, 03:02 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,611
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
No, it is insane to make that kind of comparison between dirt and turf racing, which are totally different " animals ", so to speak. And, it is even crazier to suggest that the top turf horses are THAT much better than top dirt horses. Perhaps you are exagerating for effect. Otherwise....whatever.
I'm not comparing dirt and turf racing. I know that the style of racing is very different. I am only saying that in my opinion, this year's top dirt horses aren't that good and that they are ripe for the taking. I think Gorella and the improved version of Wait a While could be good enough to beat the likes of Fleet Indian and Pine Island. I don't think they would beat the likes of Personal Ensign, Bayakoa, Azeri, Paseana, Inside Information, or even Dance Smartly. But I think they could be competitive with this year's group if they were able to come close to transferring their form to dirt.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 10-23-2006, 03:08 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,935
Default

If Gorella and Wait a While could race on the turf, while the others are on the dirt, it might be competitive. Your continued suggestion that Wait a While, who had WELL established dirt form, coincidentally improved as a racehorse exactly when placed on the turf is disturbingly illinformed.

Todd Pletcher, as I pointed out, was quoted in print BEFORE the American Oaks, that he always felt Wait a While was a better turf horse. Not that this proves anything but it hardly supports your unsupportable claim.

As for Gorella.....you think saying these things, even though there is nothing to back them up, gives them credence. It doesn't. Exactly how much difference between this year's Distaff field and the ones of the past you bring up do you think there really is ( in lengths )?
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 10-23-2006, 03:25 PM
repent repent is offline
Monmouth Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 823
Default

what the hell?
has it ever even been suggested that Gorella or WAW would run on dirt?
why would anyone even consider it(especially in Gorella's case)?
the Distaff is worth the same amount of money as both the BCM and the BCFMT, so why would you take a top turf horse and run her on the dirt for the same amount of money?

as for The Board-
does not make a lot of sense.
forget the suggestion that she would not appreciate the distance.
this is a horse that won both the English and Irish Oaks at 12f.
she won the BCFMT at 11f at Lone Star in 2004, so she could certainly do it again here.
and besides, if you can win Grade 1 European turf races at 10f while running uphill for half the race, you can "get" 11f on a completely flat CD turf course.



Repent
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 10-23-2006, 03:28 PM
FairPlay
 
Posts: n/a
Default

There's nothing on the Breeders' Cup web site to indicate Ouija Board is running in the Classic that I could find. Let's start another rumor: Lava Man will run in the BC Turf.

Last edited by FairPlay : 10-23-2006 at 03:31 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 10-23-2006, 03:29 PM
repent repent is offline
Monmouth Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 823
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FairPlay
There's nothing on the Breeders' Cup web site to indicate Ouija Board is running in the Classic that I could find. Let's start another rumor: Lava Man will run in the BC Turf.
yeah,
where is the link to back this rumor up?

I can find nothing on it.


Repent
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 10-23-2006, 03:37 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Of course there is nothing becuase it is a rumor that was heard. Hell, I hope it happens because she can't win, and will take some money. She could hit the board though
Reply With Quote
  #51  
Old 10-23-2006, 03:43 PM
Cunningham Racing
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Wait a While = special on the grass

Wait a While = average-good on the dirt

It goes against everything I believe in, but she is a complete anomoly...as a pedigree man, I will tell you that she shouldn't be better suited for the grass nine times out of 10 more so than the dirt...she hails from almost exclusively a main track family....BUT she is better on grass and her mechanics even make her look like a turf filly....it almost makes me wonder if Linamix snuck in and is really the stallion or if Maria's Mon is

I believe strongly in pedigrees ringing true to the identity of 90+% of horses as to the reasons for their strengths on the race track, BUT she is clearly the exception...

Last edited by Cunningham Racing : 10-23-2006 at 04:29 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #52  
Old 10-23-2006, 03:44 PM
eurobounce
 
Posts: n/a
Default

I dont have a problem with Ouija Board going in the Classic. In fact I love the move. She doesnt have anything else to prove on the turf so why not try the classic. It would be a great win. But what I am noticing is the lack of respect to the US Classic Division by European Horsemen. We will have some of the best horses in the world in one race. That is pretty exciting. Ouija Board, Bernardini, George Washington, Lava Man, Invasor etc etc. Going to be fun watching them all compete against each other. Call me crazy, but I would rather watch Ouija Board go againt Bernardini then the weak Filly and Mare Turf field.
Reply With Quote
  #53  
Old 10-23-2006, 04:21 PM
eurobounce
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
...dini better look over his shoulder now...this is a classy animal and could be the upsetter..or at least a tri include
Hooves, I cannot find anything that states she is going in the classic. The latest news is from the 12th and is states that she is going in the Filly and Mare Turf. The headlines all say skipping Champion Stakes for the BC. BC means Breeders Cup. I think she is going on the F&M and not the Classic. Although, I do not have a problem with her trying the Classic.
Reply With Quote
  #54  
Old 10-23-2006, 04:23 PM
King Glorious's Avatar
King Glorious King Glorious is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Beaumont, CA
Posts: 4,611
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
If Gorella and Wait a While could race on the turf, while the others are on the dirt, it might be competitive. Your continued suggestion that Wait a While, who had WELL established dirt form, coincidentally improved as a racehorse exactly when placed on the turf is disturbingly illinformed.

Todd Pletcher, as I pointed out, was quoted in print BEFORE the American Oaks, that he always felt Wait a While was a better turf horse. Not that this proves anything but it hardly supports your unsupportable claim.

As for Gorella.....you think saying these things, even though there is nothing to back them up, gives them credence. It doesn't. Exactly how much difference between this year's Distaff field and the ones of the past you bring up do you think there really is ( in lengths )?
I suppose u can show me something to back up your point of view that Gorella CAN'T be as good on dirt or better than she is on turf? To this point, all u have done is the same as I have done; give your opinion. U don't know anything to be fact more than I do so stop acting like u have fact on your side in the argument.

As for Wait a While, I will concede that in this one, u do have evidence to support your argument while I don't. But perhaps u can concede that I did not say she's as good on the dirt as on the grass. What I said is that IF she has improved as a racehorse and it isn't just the grass, then I think she'd be in with a good chance. It's not like she was a horrible dirt horse either. She was notches below the best in her division but she was still 8-3-1-3 with over $400k in earnings on dirt and a couple of 90 Beyers. That's not horrible. And this was only halfway through her 3yo season so there was still room for improvement. I don't deny that she's a better grass filly than dirt. It would be silly to deny that.

I happen to think this year's Distaff field is pretty horrible. I think horses like Personal Ensign and Bayakoa would be 6+ lengths better than them. I wouldn't take a shot against that type. Against these, I would. And I don't think either would have to be just as good on dirt as they are on grass.

Personally, I feel that 75% of what I've seen from Wait a While on the grass would be good enough to win the Distaff but 100% of her on the grass won't be good enough to beat Ouija Board and Film Maker. I think that Pine Island is probably the horse to beat in the Distaff and if she wins it, she's going to be the 3yo filly champion regardless of what Wait a While does in the F/M Turf. So go take the championship away from her.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
Reply With Quote
  #55  
Old 10-23-2006, 04:30 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

there may be nothing to it ...it makes for great conversation.....
Reply With Quote
  #56  
Old 10-23-2006, 04:50 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
Default

Two comments:

To me, the idea of dumping Ouija Board in to the BCC at this point in her career borders on criminal. Yes maybe there would be something to gain if she were to somehow pull off a reasonable finish, but if you think about it, what more does she really need to prove to anyone? Also I don’t think that there is nothing to lose. What about the risk of injury? With no dirt preps or dirt racing experience that I’m aware of, and knowing how game and determined she is, I would worry that she might be at risk of injury due to it being a very demanding dirt race and the fact that she has already campaigned extensively at high levels on grass this year. Frankly it’s hard for me to believe this is even being considered.

About Gorella, I don’t see her translating her form very well at all to dirt. This is just my opinion but she looks to me designed for turf being rather slight and long legged and her running style to me screams turf. The other thing about Gorella that struck me when I saw her at Arlington in August is that she has what I would call big ole paddle hooves. They just look incredibly wide given her size. It seems to me that I’ve read somewhere that this is a desirable trait for turfers.
Reply With Quote
  #57  
Old 10-23-2006, 04:52 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

I give this zero chance of happening. None.
Reply With Quote
  #58  
Old 10-23-2006, 05:04 PM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

I spoke to Ed Dunlap this afternoon at Tattersalls and he was inquiring about the weather in KY, not wanting soft ground. Said nothing about Classic or dirt. I will ask him tommorrow as he sells a couple I am interested in.
Reply With Quote
  #59  
Old 10-23-2006, 05:16 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

you da man...get some good ones..
Reply With Quote
  #60  
Old 10-23-2006, 05:31 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,454
Default Not going CLS..

Ouija Board will not cross enter into the Classic...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:05 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.