Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Reload this Page Any Derby Pool 1 thoughts?
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
Page 3 of 4 < 12 3 4 >
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old 02-11-2007, 08:25 AM
miraja2's Avatar
miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
  
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,157
Default
Right now Notional is 39/1. Obviously that will probably change over the course of the day given his performance yesterday.
Two questions:
1) What do you guys think his odds will be by the time it closes today?
2) When does it close exactly?
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 02-11-2007, 10:20 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
  
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
Right now Notional is 39/1. Obviously that will probably change over the course of the day given his performance yesterday.
Two questions:
1) What do you guys think his odds will be by the time it closes today?
2) When does it close exactly?
It closes at 6pm EST today. The Oaks pool stays open longer, 6:30 I think.

About half the money will be bet into the Derby pool today. I'm (wildly) guessing that Notional will close near 20-1.

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 02-11-2007, 02:39 PM
SCUDSBROTHER's Avatar
SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
Default
Not gunna get 50-1 on Liquidity.Pretty much this thing is a loser deal.I mean, you can't even get odds on a horse who is getting beat.
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 02-11-2007, 03:04 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
  
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Not gunna get 50-1 on Liquidity.Pretty much this thing is a loser deal.I mean, you can't even get odds on a horse who is getting beat.
Yeah, no way to beat this bet. There's that 16% takeout to overcome. Oh yeah, it's the same takeout as most races. I guess the other bettors must be too smart. You're up against some shrewd bettors, like those who have already dumped a few thou on Dreaming of Anna, whose trainer says she's now going to stay on dirt (much less, run against the boys anytime soon.) And then there's all the money that was bet on horses that ran yesterday before they ran, like Lawrence The Roman. Yeah, this looks hopeless alright.

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 02-11-2007, 03:25 PM
MajestikMX
 
Posts: n/a
Cool A little value in everything!!!
Check your cars ashtray or take back some cans & bottles for the deposit...if applicable, Just for $2 in change... Put $2 on anything and quite possibly in May, IF that horse wears the roses and you can hopefully find your ticket, there will be some value in cashing in an old wrinkled ticket, worth digging in that dirty ashtray, worth taking back sticky, raunchy smelling beer cans, for just $2 you might just win $40, $60 $100 or even more. Most people have a dollar and a dream everytime the lotto comes up 2 or 3x a week, why not as horseplayers we just have some fun with the futures?
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 02-11-2007, 03:28 PM
SCUDSBROTHER's Avatar
SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
Yeah, no way to beat this bet.
--Dunbar
AGREE...This far out,you need much better odds than these.Almost 90 days to avoid an injury.That's a long time for this breed.
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 02-11-2007, 03:40 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Thumbs up F.P. rules!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by estreetposse
Check your cars ashtray or take back some cans & bottles for the deposit...if applicable, Just for $2 in change... Put $2 on anything and quite possibly in May, IF that horse wears the roses and you can hopefully find your ticket, there will be some value in cashing in an old wrinkled ticket, worth digging in that dirty ashtray, worth taking back sticky, raunchy smelling beer cans, for just $2 you might just win $40, $60 $100 or even more. Most people have a dollar and a dream everytime the lotto comes up 2 or 3x a week, why not as horseplayers we just have some fun with the futures?
Welcome aboard! The first of a trio...I hope of the "Hilltopper" gang.
All we need to get on board are The "Backwheel" & "AppleMan".
Once you post here...it becomes an addiction.
When those guys join...Myra's boys will be complete.
The "valley" invasion has begun!
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Last edited by Hickory Hill Hoff : 02-11-2007 at 05:28 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 02-11-2007, 03:53 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default
The three from each pool (Derby/Oaks) that are worth a deuce -
ANY GIVEN SATURDAY, LIQUIDITY & RAVEL
BOCA GRANDE, OCTAVE & MISTICAL PLAN
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 02-11-2007, 04:48 PM
MajestikMX
 
Posts: n/a
Default
Just stopped to see Yak and the new "Myra" this wasn't doesn't say OH NOOO!!!!! when I come in though, but at least they got a new machine.

Just plopped some $$ down, didn't take any cans back though!!!

I don't know about "Backwheel" and "AppleMan" though, we'll have to work on them.
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 02-11-2007, 04:59 PM
zippyneedsawin's Avatar
zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
Oaklawn
  
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,064
Default
at 7/2, the field looks like the best choice to me for the oaks future bet right now.
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
Reply With Quote
  #51  
Old 02-11-2007, 05:26 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Question
Quote:
Originally Posted by estreetposse
Just stopped to see Yak and the new "Myra" this wasn't doesn't say OH NOOO!!!!! when I come in though, but at least they got a new machine.

Just plopped some $$ down, didn't take any cans back though!!!

I don't know about "Backwheel" and "AppleMan" though, we'll have to work on them.
Who did you go with in the "futures" ???
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #52  
Old 02-11-2007, 05:27 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by estreetposse
Just stopped to see Yak and the new "Myra" this wasn't doesn't say OH NOOO!!!!! when I come in though, but at least they got a new machine.
Just plopped some $$ down, didn't take any cans back though!!!

I don't know about "Backwheel" and "AppleMan" though, we'll have to work on them.
I'm sure Yak was @ the VFW by 5:01
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #53  
Old 02-11-2007, 05:29 PM
MajestikMX
 
Posts: n/a
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
Who did you go with in the "futures" ???
I took a handful...
Any Given Sat.
Notional
Drums of Thunder-was coming hard
Great Hunter

Stayed out of the Oaks till later action, Never get to watch it anyways!
Reply With Quote
  #54  
Old 02-11-2007, 05:47 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
  
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default
A good-sized late bet on Circular Quay has knocked the odds down to 12-1 with about 12 minutes left to bet!

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #55  
Old 02-11-2007, 05:58 PM
deltaforce97
 
Posts: n/a
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
A good-sized late bet on Circular Quay has knocked the odds down to 12-1 with about 12 minutes left to bet!

--Dunbar
I am a fan of CQ, but I cannot touch him at that price!!
Reply With Quote
  #56  
Old 02-11-2007, 06:17 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Cool
Quote:
Originally Posted by estreetposse
I took a handful...
Any Given Sat.
Notional
Drums of Thunder-was coming hard
Great Hunter

Stayed out of the Oaks till later action, Never get to watch it anyways!
Ended up "Pletcherize" took Any Given Saturday, Circular Quay & Ravel.
& in the Oaks - Octave & Boca Grande ...just loved that Shug runner since the Spa.
It doesn't hurt putting a deuce or two on this bet...after all it is gambling
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #57  
Old 02-11-2007, 06:25 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,430
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Not gunna get 50-1 on Liquidity.Pretty much this thing is a loser deal.I mean, you can't even get odds on a horse who is getting beat.
Liquidity ended 33-1.. Got down on him as Vegas is offering similar...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #58  
Old 02-11-2007, 06:57 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
  
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Liquidity ended 33-1.. Got down on him as Vegas is offering similar...
Liquidity was tempting, but I didn't go for it. I took a whole LOT of "All others", and a small amount of Adore The Gold, which I think also closed at 33-1.

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #59  
Old 02-11-2007, 08:04 PM
SCUDSBROTHER's Avatar
SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
Flemington
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: L.A.
Posts: 11,326
Default
WHAT DID EXHALE GO OFF AT? Badly wanted to play him,but the trainer is just not a 10f guy.He gets my prize for best stride.
Reply With Quote
  #60  
Old 02-11-2007, 08:17 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
  
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default
does anyone have the final odds? the site isn't working properly for me. . .
__________________
@BDiDonatoTDN
Reply With Quote
Reply
Page 3 of 4 < 12 3 4 >

« Previous Thread | Next Thread »


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:37 PM.

Contact Us - Derby Trail Steve Byk Steve’s Notes DT Stables DT Shoppe Gallery Contact Links Archive - Top

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.