Derby Trail Probables/Possibles

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by moses

...
Speaking of progeny, my wife is due to have our third daughter on April 28th. She’s gone early with the other two so I’m not too worried about the baby coming on Derby day but I checked and the hospital will have NBC available.

Also, as a sidenote: I tried but my wife rejected Rachel Alexandra as a name.

You should have first pretended to want to name her "Bayakoa" or "Zenyatta". After those, Rachel Alexandra would have sounded like a great name!

(Congrats, btw!)

[cal828]

Three daughters and a wife. You deserve a Congressional Medal of Honor or at least a Purple Heart.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

You should have first pretended to want to name her "Bayakoa" or "Zenyatta". After those, Rachel Alexandra would have sounded like a great name!

(Congrats, btw!)

Thanks. I jokingly suggested Zenyatta as a middle name for one of our other daughters. All I got was a dirty look and she started ignoring my name suggestions.

[moses]

Originally Posted by cal828

Three daughters and a wife. You deserve a Congressional Medal of Honor or at least a Purple Heart.

Haha, thanks. My daughters are only 5 and 3 right now and still like me...but let me get back to you in 10-15 years and see where things stand. Although, my 5 year old recently told me that "horse racing is boring." It'll be nice when I'm able to get them back to the track so they can see the horses close up. I think her tune will change.

[cal828]

Originally Posted by moses

Haha, thanks. My daughters are only 5 and 3 right now and still like me...but let me get back to you in 10-15 years and see where things stand. Although, my 5 year old recently told me that "horse racing is boring." It'll be nice when I'm able to get them back to the track so they can see the horses close up. I think her tune will change.

I hope you have success in getting them to like the sport. Neither of my grown kids share my enthusiasm for it. My son will go with me, if I ask him, but he has no real interest in the intellectual challenge of it and the same can be said for my daughter. She will go with her girlfriends or whichever guy she's dating, but it's more of a social thing for her. She even likes to go to Vegas, but
mostly for the shopping and the spa and the food and drink. She hardly gambles at all, if any.

[Kasept]

PANADOL will NOT travel to Derby..

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Kasept

CADDO RIVER a go for Derby..

Oy vey. Now John Ed Anthony leaning against running Caddo River. Looks like Preakness.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Oy vey. Now John Ed Anthony leaning against running Caddo River. Looks like Preakness.

At this rate, Sittin On Go might have a shot to make the starting gate based on that Iroquois win.

[Kasept]

Preakness.

[blackthroatedwind]

The cat's on the roof

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

The cat's on the roof

iOOOOOOOO!

[Kasept]

ROSARIO gets mount on ROCK YOUR WORLD supplanting RISPOLI (who could yet land GET HER NUMBER or DREAM SHAKE)..

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

ROSARIO gets mount on ROCK YOUR WORLD supplanting RISPOLI (who could yet land GET HER NUMBER or DREAM SHAKE)..

Wow.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Kasept

ROSARIO gets mount on ROCK YOUR WORLD supplanting RISPOLI (who could yet land GET HER NUMBER or DREAM SHAKE)..

Grimy

[Kasept]

4/30 (CD): Kentucky Oaks

1. Search Results (Irad Ortiz/Chad Brown)
2. Travel Column (Florent Geroux/Brad Cox)
3. Crazy Beautiful (Jose Ortiz/Kenny McPeek)
4. Pauline’s Pearl (Ricardo Santana/Steve Asmussen)
5. Malathaat (John Velazquez/Todd Pletcher)
6. Clairiere (Tyler Gaffalione/Steve Asmussen)
7. Will’s Secret (Jon Court, Dallas Stewart)
8. Millefeuille (Joel Rosario/Bill Mott)
9. Moraz (Umberto Rispoli/Michael McCarthy)
10. Ava’s Grace (David Cohen/Robertino Diodoro)
11. Pass the Champagne (Javier Castellano/George Weaver)
12. Maracuja (Kendrick Carmouche, Rob Atras)
13. Competitive Speed (Chris Landeros/Javier Gonzalez)
14. Coach (Luis Saez/Brad Cox)

[Kasept]

The 6th running of the $125,000 William Walker (Listed), run on Saturday, April 24 at 5 ½ furlongs on turf:

Bodenheimer (trainer Valorie Lund)
Cees Get Degrees (Michelle Lovell)
Charles Chrome (Reeve McGaughey)
Field Day (Brad Cox); Gagetown (Brad Cox)
The Wolfman (Phil Schoenthal)

Possible: Unitedandresolute (Tom Amoss)


The 3rd running of the $120,000 Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnight Stakes, run Tuesday, April 27 at 1 ½ miles:

Dack Janiel’s (Jack Sisterson)
Plus Que Parfait (Brendan Walsh)
Ry’s the Guy (Ian Wilkes)
Strong Tide (Mike Lauer)
You’re To Blame (Ron Moquett)


The 27th running of the $125,000 Kentucky Juvenile, run Wednesday, April 28 at five furlongs:

Bohemian Frost (John Ennis)
Saucy Lady T (James Chapman)
Shesgotattitude (Ennis)


The 16th running of the $120,000 Opening Verse Overnight Stakes, run Wednesday, April 28 at one mile on turf:

Captivating Moon (Chris Block)
Epic Dreamer (Mark Casse)
Sayyaaf (Mike Maker)
Set Piece (Brad Cox)
Spectacular Gem (Jimmy Baker)


The 11th running of the $150,000 Unbridled Sidney, run on Thursday, April 29 at 5 ½ furlongs on turf:

A Bit of Both (Mike Maker)
Ambassador Luna (James Gulick)
Change of Control (Michelle Lovell)
Foxxy Belle (Michael Ann Ewing)
Into Mystic (Brendan Walsh)
Lady Grace (Mark Casse)
She’sonthewarpath (Steve Margolis)
Wining Envelope (Chris Block)
Yes It’s Ginger (Greg Foley)


The 27th running of the $250,000 Twin Spires Turf Sprint (Grade II), run Friday, April 30 at 5 ½ furlongs on turf:

American Butterfly (D. Wayne Lukas)
Carotari (Brian Lynch)
Classy John (Dallas Stewart)
Diamond Oops (Patrick Biancone)
Firecrow (Ron Moquett)
Just Might (Michelle Lovell)
Sombeyay (Peter Miller)


The 37th Running of the $300,000 Edgewood (Grade II), run on Friday, April 30 at 1 1/16 miles on turf:

Aunt Pearl (IRE) (Brad Cox)
I Get It (Mark Casse);
Oliviaofthedesert (Kenny McPeek)
Postnup (Cherie DeVaux)
Queen of the Green (Jason Barkley)

Possible: Jouster (Todd Pletcher), Zaajel (Pletcher)


The 66th running of the $300,000 Eight Belles (Grade II), run on Friday April 30 at seven furlongs:

Abrogate (Steve Asmussen)
Dayoutoftheoffice (Tim Hamm)
Euphoric (Bernie Flint)
Slumber Party (Kelly Breen)
Sun Path (Brad Cox)
Windmill (Larry Jones)

Possible: Joyful Cadence (John Ortiz)


The 18th running of the $400,000 Alysheba (Grade II), run on Friday, April 30 at 1 1/16 miles:

Attachment Rate (Dale Romans)
Chess Chief (Dallas Stewart)
Maxfield (Brendan Walsh)
Roadster (Bob Baffert)
Sonneman (Steve Asmussen)
Visitant (Bill Morey)


The 36th running of the $500,000 La Troienne (Grade I), run on Friday, April 30 at 1 1/16 miles:

As Time Goes By (Bob Baffert)
Dunbar Road (Chad Brown)
Envoutante (Kenny McPeek)
Paris Lights (Bill Mott)
Sanenus (CHI) (Michael McCarthy)
Shedaresthedevil (Brad Cox)

Possible: Finite (Steve Asmussen)


The 30th running of the $500,000 American Turf (Grade II), run on Saturday, May 1 at 1 1/16 miles on turf:

Fire At Will (Mike Maker)
Holy Vow (John Ortiz)
Lucky Law (Patrick Biancone)
Palazzi (Mark Casse)
Winfromwithin (Todd Pletcher)


The 97th running of the $500,000 Pat Day Mile, (Grade II) run on Saturday, May 1 at one mile:

Excellent Timing (Chad Brown)
Gretzky the Great (Mark Casse)
Jackie’s Warrior (Steve Asmussen)
Prevalence (Brendan Walsh)
Whiskey Double (Steve Asmussen)

Possible: Dream Shake (Peter Eurton); Dreamer’s Disease (Robertino Diodoro)


The 36th running of the $500,000 Longines Distaff Turf Mile (Grade II), run on Saturday, May 1 at one mile on turf:

Abscond (Eddie Kenneally)
Blowout (Chad Brown)
Got Stormy (Mark Casse)
Princess Grace (Mike Stidham).


The 35th running of the $500,000 Derby City Distaff (Grade I), run on Saturday, May 1 at seven furlongs:

Bell’s the One (Neil Pessin)
Gamine (Bob Baffert)
Sconsin (Greg Foley)

Possible: Finite (Steve Asmussen); Hibiscus Punch (Justin Nixon); Unique Factor (Peter Miller)


The 86th running of the $500,000 Churchill Downs (Grade I), run on Saturday, May 1 at seven furlongs:

Charlatan (Bob Baffert)
Hog Creek Hustle (Vickie Foley)
Lexitonian (Jack Sisterson)
Tap It To Win (Mark Casse)

Possible: Bango (Greg Foley); Shashashakemeup (Peter Miller)


The 35th running of the $1 million Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic (Grade I), run on Saturday, May 1 at 1 1/8 miles on turf:

Arklow (Brad Cox)
Colonel Liam (Todd Pletcher)
Digital Age (Chad Brown)
Ivar (BRZ) (Paolo Lobo)
Masteroffoxhounds (Richard Baltas)
Ride a Comet (Mark Casse)
Smooth Like Strait (Michael McCarthy)
Domestic Spending (Chad Brown)

Possible: Flavius (Chad Brown), Spooky Channel (Brian Lynch)

[Kasept]

FINAL 3/8THS TIMES

[Dunbar]

Thanks!

[Kasept]

CADDO RIVER is now a Derby GO..

[moses]

Kind of interesting that 4 of the top 6 times are from the Blue Grass.

On that same day, Malathaat finished the 8.5 furlong Ashland in 1:42.94. Her final 1/16th was roughly 6.05. If we estimate that she would have finished the next 1/16th in 6.55 seconds, her time for 9 furlongs would have been 1:49.49 and her final 3/8ths would be under 36.5 seconds. That would put her 4th on that list.

I'm a little skeptical of those final Blue Grass fractions and what they mean for Derby Day.