TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL: Probables/Possibles

[Kasept]

Appears that you can add Seven Trunpets (Romans) to Arkansas Derby. Gary Stevens rides.

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Appears that you can add Seven Trumpets (Romans) to Arkansas Derby. Gary Stevens rides.

6 Starts...2 Wins....both at Churchill.

[cal828]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Appears that you can add Seven Trunpets (Romans) to Arkansas Derby. Gary Stevens rides.

Not in the draw for the Arkansas Derby. In pps for Lexington. Guess he's going there?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Appears that you can add Seven Trunpets (Romans) to Arkansas Derby. Gary Stevens rides.

Goes Lexington instead..

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by cal828

Not in the draw for the Arkansas Derby. In pps for Lexington. Guess he's going there?

Yes. So much easier than trying to get to Arkansas on short notice.

[cal828]

Rooting for My Boy Jack. Pace dependent, but looking like he will get the pace that he needs.

[Kasept]

1. Magnum Moon 150 (Lawana L. & Robert E. Low) Todd Pletcher/$1,140,000
2. Good Magic 134 (e Five & Stonestreet) Chad Brown/$1,838,400
3. Audible 110 (China Horse Club, Head of Plains, Starlight & WinStar) Todd Pletcher/$803,520
4. Noble Indy 110 (WinStar & Repole) Todd Pletcher/$640,000
5. Vino Rosso 107 (Repole & St. Elias) Todd Pletcher/$572,500
6. Bolt d’Oro 104 (Ruis Racing) Mick Ruis/$980,000
7. Enticed 103 (Godolphin) Kiaran McLaughlin/$545,880
8. Mendelssohn 100 (Coolmore) Aidan O’Brien/$1,947,299
9. Justify 100 (China Horse Club, Head of Plains, Starlight & WinStar) Bob Baffert/$600,000
10. Quip 90 (WinStar, China Horse Club & SF Racing) Rodolphe Brisset/$412,000
11. $-Flameaway 70 (John C. Oxley) Mark Casse/$672,260
12. Solomini 54 (Zayat Stables & Coolmore) Bob Baffert/$716,000
13. Bravazo 54 (Calumet Farm) D. Wayne Lukas/$359,913
14. My Boy Jack 52 (Don’t Tell My Wife Stables & Monomoy Stables) Keith Desormeaux/$622,000
15. Promises Fulfilled 52 (Robert J. Baron) Dale Romans/$266,480
16. Free Drop Billy 44 (Albaugh Family Stables) Dale Romans/$597,200
17. Lone Sailor 42 (G M B Racing) Tom Amoss/$273,347
18. Hofburg 40 (Juddmonte Farms) Bill Mott/$192,000
19. Firenze Fire 39 (Mr. Amore Stable) Jason Servis/$647,500
20. Gronkowski (Phoenix Thoroughbred) Jeremy Noseda/$79,496
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
21. Combatant 22 (Winchell & Willis Horton) Steve Asmussen/$350,000
22. Snapper Sinclair 22 (Bloom Racing) Steve Asmussen/$321,810
23. Reride 20 (Winchell) Steve Asmussen/$298,000
24. Dream Baby Dream 20 (Dream Baby Dream Racing) Steve Asmussen/$181,000
25. Restoring Hope 20 (Gary & Mary West) Bob Baffert/$100,000
26. Sporting Chance 12 (Robert C. Baker & William L. Mack) D. Wayne Lukas /$337,000
27. Greyvitos 12 (Triple B Farms) Adam Kitchingman /$310,000
28. Givemeaminit 12 (Valene Farms) Dallas Stewart / $196,000
29. Pony Up 12 (Calumet Farm) Todd Pletcher/$101,580
30. Machismo 5 (Loooch Racing) Anthony Quararolo/$25,422

[Kasept]

Runaway Ghost shin injury gets Firenze Fire back in..

[taxicab]

Talk about being on the bubble.
Steve Asmussen has runners 21-24.

[taxicab]

Sneaky good prep race: Tampa Bay Derby.
Kind of forgotten horse: Noble Indy.
Could be a solid jockey move: Victor on the Bolt.
Flying under the radar,but shouldn't be: Good Magic.
Jockey most likely to pickup a live mount: Drayden Van Dyke/Tyler Gafflione.
Run through a brick wall for you: Falameaway/My Boy Jack.
Clunk up for a minor award: Free Drop Billy.
He only cost how much ?: My Boy Jack......20k(Keith Desormeaux gets more out of less time and time again).
The power of Kentucky: Seventeen bred in the Bluegrass.

[Dunbar]

Quip may pass on the Derby, according to Elliott Walden, CEO and racing manager for WinStar Farm, as quoted in Bloodhorse:

"I don't know," Walden said when asked if Quip would be pointed for the Kentucky Derby. "He was second-best today. He ran hard. Good effort, and we'll see what happens."

https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-rac...arkansas-derby

[casp0555]

interesting facts that probably most players know but I don't....btw, this is not a jab at Justify.

https://www.usracing.com/news/analys...kentucky-derby

[cal828]

Originally Posted by casp0555

interesting facts that probably most players know but I don't....btw, this is not a jab at Justify.

https://www.usracing.com/news/analys...kentucky-derby

Interesting stuff that makes you think twice about what I think are probably at least half of everyone's top ten and maybe even top five. On the other hand like the odds board, horses can't read this stuff and it's hard to throw out anything trained by Pletcher and Baffert. This article didn't address it, but a person should probably throw out Mendelssohn too, since no UAE
winner has ever won the KD.

[richard burch]

I'm sticking with :


Only horse that ran 1-3/16 and crushed em'. He is going to break that UA Derby curse!............................unless he gets a bad post.

[richard burch]

Speaking of my new favorite horse, where is he?....Is he back in the States? I would prefer he was in Kentucky breathing their air.


Look at him! He is a very fit animal. Muscles on his muscles....Looks like Hagler in His prime.

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Runaway Ghost shin injury gets Firenze Fire back in..

Runaway Ghost


I liked that horse...hope he gets better.

[Kitan]

Back in Ireland, will ship very late like O'Brien runners normally do.

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by Kitan

Back in Ireland, will ship very late like O'Brien runners normally do.

not my preference,.......... boy this horse has a lot of frequent flier miles.

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by casp0555

interesting facts that probably most players know but I don't....btw, this is not a jab at Justify.

https://www.usracing.com/news/analys...kentucky-derby

He might end up being very good but I think Justify just needs more races and definitely don't like that he has never left Ca. and S.A.

[ScottJ]

Originally Posted by casp0555

interesting facts that probably most players know but I don't....btw, this is not a jab at Justify.

https://www.usracing.com/news/analys...kentucky-derby

The field size question was the big one in my mind before reading the article and was not surprised to see it mentioned. With this year's Derby, if Justify wins I lose.

If Mendelssohn wins (late shipper angle), I lose.

Those are just two trends that I play against typically.

I have loved Firenze Fire since last year, but think the distance and two turns is really not his game after watching him this year (one turn miler).

That leaves me with 17 others right now.