Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Breeders' Cup Archive
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #61  
Old 10-22-2007, 01:20 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Hard Spun...
Reply With Quote
  #62  
Old 10-22-2007, 01:25 PM
geeker2's Avatar
geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,235
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by alysheba4
i know alot of folks dont give tiago any credit, but he is going to run a HUGE race.
Trainer says horse is doing great and if Shirreffs thinks the horse can improve - I'm a believer.

He will be on my ticket - maybe at the top...as a huge value play...
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
Reply With Quote
  #63  
Old 10-22-2007, 02:35 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
Default

I'm not getting the Tiago enthusiasm. to me none of his races seem of the level that it would take to win this. you can say he might improve, but i'm not willing to assume that kind of improvement all of a sudden. he nosed Awesome Gem who was beat by Student Council who is skipping this race.
Reply With Quote
  #64  
Old 10-22-2007, 02:43 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
I'm not getting the Tiago enthusiasm. to me none of his races seem of the level that it would take to win this. you can say he might improve, but i'm not willing to assume that kind of improvement all of a sudden. he nosed Awesome Gem who was beat by Student Council who is skipping this race.
agree, he is slow as slow is.....(in regards to everyone else in the race, he is going to have to make up 10-12 lengths on a horse like Curlin, who will improve, not going to happen
Reply With Quote
  #65  
Old 10-22-2007, 02:56 PM
geeker2's Avatar
geeker2 geeker2 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: San Diego
Posts: 6,235
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
agree, he is slow as slow is.....(in regards to everyone else in the race, he is going to have to make up 10-12 lengths on a horse like Curlin, who will improve, not going to happen

Exacta or Tri ? hall of fame jockey in the irons
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
Reply With Quote
  #66  
Old 10-22-2007, 03:02 PM
miraja2's Avatar
miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,157
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by geeker2
Exacta or Tri ? hall of fame jockey in the irons
I don't think it makes a big difference who is in the irons.
IF Tiago takes a step forward, he MIGHT finish 3rd or 4th, but I see no scenario in which that horse is in the exacta. He is a nice horse, but there are five horses in the race that are - on paper - simply better than him, and there is no factor that stands out as a reason why that would change on Saturday.
For me he is for filling out the bottom of exotics only.
Reply With Quote
  #67  
Old 10-23-2007, 05:48 PM
brianwspencer's Avatar
brianwspencer brianwspencer is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 4,894
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
I don't think it makes a big difference who is in the irons.
IF Tiago takes a step forward, he MIGHT finish 3rd or 4th, but I see no scenario in which that horse is in the exacta. He is a nice horse, but there are five horses in the race that are - on paper - simply better than him, and there is no factor that stands out as a reason why that would change on Saturday.
For me he is for filling out the bottom of exotics only.
The horse just seems too slow to factor in for any meaningful placing. I think you're totally spot on in thinking that with a step forward from where he's at now -- he MAY have a shot to crack the super -- but given that nearly all of the entrants are faster than he is, and that Monmouth is going to play against his type given he has no discernibly noticeable turn of foot, he seems up against it.
Reply With Quote
  #68  
Old 10-23-2007, 05:51 PM
whodey17's Avatar
whodey17 whodey17 is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: indy
Posts: 2,318
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by brianwspencer
The horse just seems too slow to factor in for any meaningful placing. I think you're totally spot on in thinking that with a step forward from where he's at now -- he MAY have a shot to crack the super -- but given that nearly all of the entrants are faster than he is, and that Monmouth is going to play against his type given he has no discernibly noticeable turn of foot, he seems up against it.
I have to agree. I thought he might be a viable longshot, but I was completely wrong. Like you have said, he is simply too slow. With the absence of a speed duel, he is really up against it for even a 3rd or 4th place finish.
Reply With Quote
  #69  
Old 10-25-2007, 12:35 PM
johnny pinwheel johnny pinwheel is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: saratoga ny
Posts: 986
Default

i agree . lawyer ron has not raced well at the 10f. i like hardspun. loved the haskell run off the triple crown. the cut back and the win over street sense. its all systems go at 8 or 9 to 1!
Reply With Quote
  #70  
Old 10-27-2007, 01:31 AM
otisotisotis's Avatar
otisotisotis otisotisotis is offline
Aqueduct
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Pangea
Posts: 631
Default

no hard spun, street sense
that was an unfair match race
curlin, oh curlin
Reply With Quote
  #71  
Old 10-27-2007, 11:35 AM
NoChanceToDance's Avatar
NoChanceToDance NoChanceToDance is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: I live in a world of mystery
Posts: 2,907
Default

Dylan Thomas is out to 3/2 over here no. The major betting firms forecast him going off at 7/4 - 15/8 (if he makes the line up)
__________________
Avatar ~ Nicky Whelan

and now we murderers because we kill time
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:04 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.